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This paper explores Bayesian estimation for categorical data, focusing on simple yet effective models that provide a foundation for applying more advanced methods accurately and reliably in real-world applications. We begin by revisiting…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-03 Jan Kalina

Empirical evidence shows that ensembles, such as bagging, boosting, random and rotation forests, generally perform better in terms of their generalization error than individual classifiers. To explain this performance, Schapire et al.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-10 Waldyn Martinez , J. Brian Gray

We provide an information-theoretic analysis of the generalization ability of Gibbs-based transfer learning algorithms by focusing on two popular transfer learning approaches, $\alpha$-weighted-ERM and two-stage-ERM. Our key result is an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-03 Yuheng Bu , Gholamali Aminian , Laura Toni , Miguel Rodrigues , Gregory Wornell

Ensemble classifiers have been investigated by many in the artificial intelligence and machine learning community. Majority voting and weighted majority voting are two commonly used combination schemes in ensemble learning. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-17 Shengli Wu , Weimin Ding

This paper focuses on understanding how the generalization error scales with the amount of the training data for deep neural networks (DNNs). Existing techniques in statistical learning require computation of capacity measures, such as VC…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-06 Devansh Bisla , Apoorva Nandini Saridena , Anna Choromanska

Ensembles, as a widely used and effective technique in the machine learning community, succeed within a key element -- "diversity." The relationship between diversity and generalization, unfortunately, is not entirely understood and remains…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-10 Yijun Bian , Huanhuan Chen

The generalization of machine learning models has a complex dependence on the data, model and learning algorithm. We study train and test performance, as well as the generalization gap given by the mean of their difference over different…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-29 Carlos A. Gomez-Uribe

Many dynamic ensemble selection (DES) methods are known in the literature. A previously-developed by the authors, method consists in building a randomized classifier which is treated as a model of the base classifier. The model is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-17 Pawel Trajdos , Marek Kurzynski

A plethora of research has been done in the past focusing on predicting student's performance in order to support their development. Many institutions are focused on improving the performance and the education quality; and this can be…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-05-15 MohammadNoor Injadat , Abdallah Moubayed , Ali Bou Nassif , Abdallah Shami

We study model evaluation and model selection from the perspective of generalization ability (GA): the ability of a model to predict outcomes in new samples from the same population. We believe that GA is one way formally to address…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-10-19 Ning Xu , Jian Hong , Timothy C. G. Fisher

Failure of machine learning models to generalize to new data is a core problem limiting the reliability of AI systems, partly due to the lack of simple and robust methods for comparing new data to the original training dataset. We propose a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-26 W. Max Schreyer , Christopher Anderson , Reid F. Thompson

The classification problem is a significant topic in machine learning which aims to teach machines how to group together data by particular criteria. In this paper, a framework for the ensemble learning (EL) method based on group decision…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-12 Jingyi He , Xiaojun Zhou , Rundong Zhang , Chunhua Yang

Quantifying the data uncertainty in learning tasks is often done by learning a prediction interval or prediction set of the label given the input. Two commonly desired properties for learned prediction sets are \emph{valid coverage} and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-31 Yu Bai , Song Mei , Huan Wang , Yingbo Zhou , Caiming Xiong

Ensemble learning is a mainstay in modern data science practice. Conventional ensemble algorithms assign to base models a set of deterministic, constant model weights that (1) do not fully account for individual models' varying accuracy…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-02 Jeremiah Zhe Liu , John Paisley , Marianthi-Anna Kioumourtzoglou , Brent A. Coull

Confidence measures for the generalization error are crucial when small training samples are used to construct classifiers. A common approach is to estimate the generalization error by resampling and then assume the resampled estimator…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-06-18 Eric B. Laber , Susan A. Murphy

A generalization of Gy's theory for the variance of the fundamental sampling error is reviewed. Practical situations where the generalized model potentially leads to more accurate variance estimates are identified as: clustering of…

Applications · Statistics 2009-11-10 Bastiaan Geelhoed

We investigate the learning dynamics of classifiers in scenarios where classes are separable or classifiers are over-parameterized. In both cases, Empirical Risk Minimization (ERM) results in zero training error. However, there are many…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-23 Julius Martinetz , Christoph Linse , Thomas Martinetz

Ensemble clustering has demonstrated great success in practice; however, its theoretical foundations remain underexplored. This paper examines the generalization performance of ensemble clustering, focusing on generalization error, excess…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-04 Xu Zhang , Haoye Qiu , Weixuan Liang , Hui Liu , Junhui Hou , Yuheng Jia

Statistical inference, a central tool of science, revolves around the study and the usage of statistical estimators: functions that map finite samples to predictions about unknown distribution parameters. In the frequentist framework,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-15 Maxime Peyrard , Kyunghyun Cho

For many tasks of data analysis, we may only have the information of the explanatory variable and the evaluation of the response values are quite expensive. While it is impractical or too costly to obtain the responses of all units, a…

Computation · Statistics 2023-04-07 Wei Zheng , Ting Tian , Xueqin Wang