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For complex nonlinear systems, it is challenging to design algorithms that are fast, scalable, and give an accurate approximation of the stability region. This paper proposes a sampling-based approach to address these challenges. By…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-05-24 Péter Antal , Tamás Péni , Roland Tóth

We discuss the discrete data assimilation problem for the 3D viscous primitive equations arising in the modeling of large scale phenomena in oceanic dynamics. Our main result states possibility of asymptotically reliable prognosis based on…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2013-08-08 Igor Chueshov

Data assimilation is the process to fuse information from priors, observations of nature, and numerical models, in order to obtain best estimates of the parameters or state of a physical system of interest. Presence of large errors in some…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-11-06 Vishwas Rao , Adrian Sandu , Michael Ng , Elias Nino-Ruiz

Continuous data assimilation (CDA) nudges observational data into governing equations to recover the underlying flow and improve predictions. Existing rigorous CDA analyses focus primarily on incompressible flows, yet no physical flow is…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-04-30 Aytekin Çıbık , Rui Fang

This paper presents new results concerning the observer design for wide classes of nonlinear systems with both sampled and delayed measurements. By using a small gain approach we provide sufficient conditions, which involve both the delay…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2012-07-05 Tarek Ahmed-Ali , Iasson Karafyllis , Francoise Lamnabhi-Lagarrigue

We analyze continuous data assimilation by nudging for the 3D Ladyzhenskaya equations. The analysis provides conditions on the spatial resolution of the observed data that guarantee synchronization to the reference solution associated with…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-08-10 Yu Cao , Andrea Giorgini , Michael Jolly , Ali Pakzad

While the formulation of most data assimilation schemes assumes an unbiased observation model error, in real applications, model error with nontrivial biases is unavoidable. A practical example is the error in the radiative transfer model…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-17 John Harlim , Tyrus Berry

Nonlinear dynamical systems are ubiquitous in nature and they are hard to forecast. Not only they may be sensitive to small perturbations in their initial conditions, but they are often composed of processes acting at multiple scales.…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2025-10-06 Chenyu Dong , Davide Faranda , Adriano Gualandi , Valerio Lucarini , Gianmarco Mengaldo

We introduce a data assimilation strategy aimed at accurately capturing key non-Gaussian structures in probability distributions using a small ensemble size. A major challenge in statistical forecasting of nonlinearly coupled multiscale…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-04-01 Di Qi , Jian-Guo Liu

Cross-sectional observations from a dynamical system can be modeled via steady-state distributions of Markov processes. The major challenge is then to determine whether the process parameters can be identified and estimated from the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-19 Cecilie Olesen Recke , Niels Richard Hansen

In this paper we address the challenging problem of designing globally convergent estimators for the parameters of nonlinear systems containing a non-separable exponential nonlinearity. This class of terms appears in many practical…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-11-17 Romeo Ortega , Alexey Bobtsov , Ramon Costa-Castello , Nikolay Nikolaev

We develop an algebraic framework for sequential data assimilation of partially observed dynamical systems. In this framework, Bayesian data assimilation is embedded in a non-abelian operator algebra, which provides a representation of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-29 David Freeman , Dimitrios Giannakis , Brian Mintz , Abbas Ourmazd , Joanna Slawinska

This paper introduces a second-order differential inclusion for unconstrained convex optimization. In continuous level, solution existence in proper sense is obtained and exponential decay of a novel Lyapunov function along with the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-03-01 Hao Luo

We propose an iterative estimating equations procedure for analysis of longitudinal data. We show that, under very mild conditions, the probability that the procedure converges at an exponential rate tends to one as the sample size…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-12-18 Jiming Jiang , Yihui Luan , You-Gan Wang

Data assimilation is uniquely challenging in weather forecasting due to the high dimensionality of the employed models and the nonlinearity of the governing equations. Although current operational schemes are used successfully, our…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2018-05-09 Lea Oljača , Jochen Bröcker , Tobias Kuna

Equations governing the nonlinear dynamics of complex systems are usually unknown and indirect methods are used to reconstruct their manifolds. In turn, they depend on embedding parameters requiring other methods and long temporal sequences…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2020-06-24 Valeria d'Andrea , Manlio De Domenico

Sequential data collection has emerged as a widely adopted technique for enhancing the efficiency of data gathering processes. Despite its advantages, such data collection mechanism often introduces complexities to the statistical inference…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-11-09 Mufang Ying , Koulik Khamaru , Cun-Hui Zhang

State estimation in multi-layer turbulent flow fields with only a single layer of partial observation remains a challenging yet practically important task. Applications include inferring the state of the deep ocean by exploiting surface…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-09-30 Zhongrui Wang , Nan Chen , Di Qi

We study a nonlinear-nudging modification of the Azouani-Olson-Titi continuous data assimilation (downscaling) algorithm for the 2D incompressible Navier-Stokes equations. We give a rigorous proof that the nonlinear-nudging system is…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2023-04-04 Elizabeth Carlson , Adam Larios , Edriss S. Titi

Data assimilation (DA) methods use priors arising from differential equations to robustly interpolate and extrapolate data. Popular techniques such as ensemble methods that handle high-dimensional, nonlinear PDE priors focus mostly on state…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-05 Rafael Anderka , Marc Peter Deisenroth , So Takao