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We consider a class of weakly interacting particle systems of mean-field type. The interactions between the particles are encoded in a graph sequence, i.e., two particles are interacting if and only if they are connected in the underlying…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-07-06 Gianmarco Bet , Fabio Coppini , Francesca R. Nardi

We derive the asymptotic distribution of ordinal-pattern frequencies under weak dependence conditions and investigate the long-run covariance matrix not only analytically for moving-average, Gaussian, and the novel generalized coin-tossing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-24 Angelika Silbernagel , Christian Weiß

We propose a computational method for large deviation statistics of time-averaged quantities in general Markov processes. In our proposed method, we repeat a response measurement against external forces, where the forces are determined by…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-03-12 Takahiro Nemoto , Shin-ichi Sasa

In the past decades, weak convergence theory for stochastic processes has become a standard tool for analyzing the asymptotic properties of various statistics. Routinely, weak convergence is considered in the space of bounded functions…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-08-15 Axel Bücher , Johan Segers , Stanislav Volgushev

We study the asymptotics of large, moderate and normal deviations for the connected components of the sparse random graph by the method of stochastic processes. We obtain the logarithmic asymptotics of large deviations of the joint…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Anatolii A. Puhalskii

We utilize the weak convergence method to establish the Freidlin--Wentzell large deviations principle (LDP) for stochastic delay differential equations (SDDEs) with super-linearly growing coefficients, which covers a large class of cases…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-04 Diancong Jin , Ziheng Chen , Tau Zhou

One of the main differences between the central limit theorem and the Poisson law of small numbers is that the former possesses the large sample property (LSP), i.e., the error of normal approximation to the sum of $n$ independent…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-25 Tianshu Cong , Aihua Xia , Fuxi Zhang

The extremes of a stationary time series typically occur in clusters. A primary measure for this phenomenon is the extremal index, representing the reciprocal of the expected cluster size. Both a disjoint and a sliding blocks estimator for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-07-14 Betina Berghaus , Axel Bücher

In various practical situations, we encounter data from stochastic processes which can be efficiently modelled by an appropriate parametric model for subsequent statistical analyses. Unfortunately, the most common estimation and inference…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-12 Rohan Hore , Abhik Ghosh

We present a large deviations theory of the spin-spin correlation functions in the Random Field Ising Model on the Bethe lattice, both at finite and zero temperature. Rare events of atypically correlated variables are particularly important…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2014-07-02 Flaviano Morone , Giorgio Parisi , Federico Ricci-Tersenghi

We prove a large deviation principle for the sum of n independent heavy-tailed random variables, which are subject to a moving cut-off boundary at location n. Conditional on the sum being large at scale n, we show that a finite number of…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-17 Céline Kerriou , Peter Mörters

One of the first steps in applications of statistical network analysis is frequently to produce summary charts of important features of the network. Many of these features take the form of sequences of graph statistics counting the number…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-14 Jonathan R. Stewart

The incidence of rare events in fast-slow systems is investigated via analysis of the large deviation principle (LDP) that characterizes the likelihood and pathway of large fluctuations of the slow variables away from their mean behavior --…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-02-17 Freddy Bouchet , Tobias Grafke , Tomás Tangarife , Eric Vanden-Eijnden

We study an inhomogeneous sparse random graph on [N] = {1, . . . , N } as introduced in a seminal paper by Bollobas, Janson and Riordan (2007): vertices have a type (here in a compact metric space S), and edges between different vertices…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-21 Luisa Andreis , Wolfgang König , Heide Langhammer , Robert I. A. Patterson

For any hyperbolic rational map and any net of Borel probability measures on the space of Borel probability measures on the Julia set, we show that this net satisfies a strong form of the large deviation principle with a rate function given…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2009-05-13 Henri Comman

A complete set of generalized spin-squeezing inequalities is derived for an ensemble of particles with an arbitrary spin. Our conditions are formulated with the first and second moments of the collective angular momentum coordinates. A…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-01-27 Giuseppe Vitagliano , Iagoba Apellaniz , Inigo L. Egusquiza , Geza Toth

We prove the the large deviation principle(LDP) for the law of the one-dimensional semilinear stochastic partial differential equations driven by nonlinear multiplicative noise. Firstly, combining the energy estimate and approximation…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-03-09 Qiyong Cao , Hongjun Gao

A key insight from statistical physics about spin systems on random graphs is the central role played by Gibbs measures on trees. We determine the local weak limit of the hardcore model on random regular graphs asymptotically until just…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-05-26 Nayantara Bhatnagar , Allan Sly , Prasad Tetali

Let $A$ be a transition probability kernel on a finite state space $\Delta^o =\{1, \ldots , d\}$ such that $A(x,y)>0$ for all $x,y \in \Delta^o$. Consider a reinforced chain given as a sequence $\{X_n, \; n \in \mathbb{N}_0\}$ of…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-20 Amarjit Budhiraja , Adam Waterbury

Considerable literature has been devoted to developing statistical inferential results for risk measures, especially for those that are of the form of L-functionals. However, practical and theoretical considerations have highlighted quite a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-05-31 Abdelhakim Necir , Ričardas Zitikis