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Temporal non-stationarity, the phenomenon that time series distributions change over time, poses fundamental challenges to reliable time series forecasting. Intuitively, the complex time series can be decomposed into two factors, \ie…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-21 Mingyuan Xia , Chunxu Zhang , Zijian Zhang , Hao Miao , Qidong Liu , Yuanshao Zhu , Bo Yang

Deep neural networks are powerful tools to detect hidden patterns in data and leverage them to make predictions, but they are not designed to understand uncertainty and estimate reliable probabilities. In particular, they tend to be…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-11-10 Bat-Sheva Einbinder , Yaniv Romano , Matteo Sesia , Yanfei Zhou

Predicting the future is an important aspect for decision-making in robotics or autonomous driving systems, which heavily rely upon visual scene understanding. While prior work attempts to predict future video pixels, anticipate activities…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-12-13 Hsu-kuang Chiu , Ehsan Adeli , Juan Carlos Niebles

In this paper, we address the intricate challenge of gaze vector prediction, a pivotal task with applications ranging from human-computer interaction to driver monitoring systems. Our innovative approach is designed for the demanding…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-03-06 Abeer Banerjee , Naval K. Mehta , Shyam S. Prasad , Himanshu , Sumeet Saurav , Sanjay Singh

Video prediction is commonly referred to as forecasting future frames of a video sequence provided several past frames thereof. It remains a challenging domain as visual scenes evolve according to complex underlying dynamics, such as the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-05-12 Hafez Farazi , Jan Nogga , Sven Behnke

In this paper we propose a unified framework for structured prediction with latent variables which includes hidden conditional random fields and latent structured support vector machines as special cases. We describe a local entropy…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-07-03 Alexander Schwing , Tamir Hazan , Marc Pollefeys , Raquel Urtasun

Current state-of-the-art classification and detection algorithms rely on supervised training. In this work we study unsupervised feature learning in the context of temporally coherent video data. We focus on feature learning from unlabeled…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2015-09-09 Ross Goroshin , Joan Bruna , Jonathan Tompson , David Eigen , Yann LeCun

Temporal set prediction involves forecasting the elements that will appear in the next set, given a sequence of prior sets, each containing a variable number of elements. Existing methods often rely on intricate architectures with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-25 Ashish Ranjan , Ayush Agarwal , Shalin Barot , Sushant Kumar

Uncertainty-quantification methods are applied to estimate the confidence of deep-neural-networks classifiers over their predictions. However, most widely used methods are known to be overconfident. We address this problem by developing an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-19 Luigi Sbailò , Luca M. Ghiringhelli

In this paper, we consider high-dimensional stationary processes where a new observation is generated from a compressed version of past observations. The specific evolution is modeled by an encoder-decoder structure. We estimate the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-21 Nathawut Phandoidaen , Stefan Richter

Video prediction is a pixel-wise dense prediction task to infer future frames based on past frames. Missing appearance details and motion blur are still two major problems for current predictive models, which lead to image distortion and…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-05-25 Beibei Jin , Yu Hu , Qiankun Tang , Jingyu Niu , Zhiping Shi , Yinhe Han , Xiaowei Li

We consider the problem of uncertainty estimation in the context of (non-Bayesian) deep neural classification. In this context, all known methods are based on extracting uncertainty signals from a trained network optimized to solve the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-25 Yonatan Geifman , Guy Uziel , Ran El-Yaniv

In this paper the application of uncertainty modeling to convolutional neural networks is evaluated. A novel method for adjusting the network's predictions based on uncertainty information is introduced. This allows the network to be either…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2016-12-23 Rene Grzeszick , Sebastian Sudholt , Gernot A. Fink

We present a new model DrNET that learns disentangled image representations from video. Our approach leverages the temporal coherence of video and a novel adversarial loss to learn a representation that factorizes each frame into a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-15 Remi Denton , Vighnesh Birodkar

Self-supervised learning of image representations by predicting future frames is a promising direction but still remains a challenge. This is because of the under-determined nature of frame prediction; multiple potential futures can arise…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-08-12 Huiwon Jang , Dongyoung Kim , Junsu Kim , Jinwoo Shin , Pieter Abbeel , Younggyo Seo

We present a deep learning framework for quantifying and propagating uncertainty in systems governed by non-linear differential equations using physics-informed neural networks. Specifically, we employ latent variable models to construct…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-26 Yibo Yang , Paris Perdikaris

Probabilistic models often use neural networks to control their predictive uncertainty. However, when making out-of-distribution (OOD)} predictions, the often-uncontrollable extrapolation properties of neural networks yield poor uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-19 Pierre Segonne , Yevgen Zainchkovskyy , Søren Hauberg

Given a sequence of sets, where each set contains an arbitrary number of elements, the problem of temporal sets prediction aims to predict the elements in the subsequent set. In practice, temporal sets prediction is much more complex than…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-09 Le Yu , Leilei Sun , Bowen Du , Chuanren Liu , Hui Xiong , Weifeng Lv

This paper considers the problem of data-driven prediction of partially observed systems using a recurrent neural network. While neural network based dynamic predictors perform well with full-state training data, prediction with partial…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-04-07 Debdipta Goswami

Temporal prediction is inherently uncertain, but representing the ambiguity in natural image sequences is a challenging high-dimensional probabilistic inference problem. For natural scenes, the curse of dimensionality renders explicit…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-11-05 Pierre-Étienne H. Fiquet , Eero P. Simoncelli