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The main goal of this paper is to provide an algorithm for the random sampling of Butcher trees and the probabilistic numerical solution of ordinary differential equations (ODEs). This approach complements and simplifies a recent approach…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2025-11-11 Qiao Huang , Nicolas Privault

In many areas of applied statistics and machine learning, generating an arbitrary number of independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.) samples from a given distribution is a key task. When the distribution is known only through…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-10-29 Ulysse Marteau-Ferey , Francis Bach , Alessandro Rudi

Decision trees are a popular family of models due to their attractive properties such as interpretability and ability to handle heterogeneous data. Concurrently, missing data is a prevalent occurrence that hinders performance of machine…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-01 Pasha Khosravi , Antonio Vergari , YooJung Choi , Yitao Liang , Guy Van den Broeck

We propose a relative entropy gradient sampler (REGS) for sampling from unnormalized distributions. REGS is a particle method that seeks a sequence of simple nonlinear transforms iteratively pushing the initial samples from a reference…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-07 Xingdong Feng , Yuan Gao , Jian Huang , Yuling Jiao , Xu Liu

Nonparametric estimation of the conditional distribution of a response given high-dimensional features is a challenging problem. It is important to allow not only the mean but also the variance and shape of the response density to change…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-12-05 Francesca Petralia , Joshua Vogelstein , David B. Dunson

Copulas are a powerful tool for modeling multivariate distributions as they allow to separately estimate the univariate marginal distributions and the joint dependency structure. However, known parametric copulas offer limited flexibility…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-11 Tim Janke , Mohamed Ghanmi , Florian Steinke

We propose a replica-exchange method (REM) which does not use pseudo random numbers. For this purpose, we first give a conditional probability for Gibbs sampling replica-exchange method (GSREM) based on the heat bath method. In GSREM,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-09-22 Ryo Urano , Yuko Okamoto

Finite mixtures of matrix normal distributions are a powerful tool for classifying three-way data in unsupervised problems. The distribution of each component is assumed to be a matrix variate normal density. The mixture model can be…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-03-07 Cinzia Viroli

While statistical learning methods have proved powerful tools for predictive modeling, the black-box nature of the models they produce can severely limit their interpretability and the ability to conduct formal inference. However, the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-08-30 Lucas Mentch , Giles Hooker

Diffusion models (DMs) are a class of generative machine learning methods that sample a target distribution by transforming samples of a trivial (often Gaussian) distribution using a learned stochastic differential equation. In standard…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-08-15 Luke Causer , Grant M. Rotskoff , Juan P. Garrahan

We propose a deep generative approach to sampling from a conditional distribution based on a unified formulation of conditional distribution and generalized nonparametric regression function using the noise-outsourcing lemma. The proposed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-22 Xingyu Zhou , Yuling Jiao , Jin Liu , Jian Huang

Given i.i.d. data from an unknown distribution, we consider the problem of predicting future items. An adaptive way to estimate the probability density is to recursively subdivide the domain to an appropriate data-dependent granularity. A…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-12-30 Marcus Hutter

Tree-based ensemble methods such as random forests, gradient-boosted trees, and Bayesianadditive regression trees have been successfully used for regression problems in many applicationsand research studies. In this paper, we study ensemble…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-21 Alexandre Seiller , Éric Gaussier , Emilie Devijver , Marianne Clausel , Sami Alkhoury

We establish the validity of bootstrap methods for empirical likelihood (EL) inference under the density ratio model (DRM). In particular, we prove that the bootstrap maximum EL estimators share the same limiting distribution as their…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-24 Weiwei Zhuang , Weiqi Yang , Jiahua Chen

In this paper, we propose a general framework for testing the conditional distribution equality in a two-sample problem, which is most relevant to covariate shift and causal discovery. Our framework is built on neural network-based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-27 Siming Zheng , Tong Wang , Meifang Lan , Yuanyuan Lin

In recent years, gradient boosted decision trees have become popular in building robust machine learning models on big data. The primary technique that has enabled these algorithms success has been distributing the computation while…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-20 Vignesh Nanda Kumar , Narayanan U Edakunni

Set prediction is about learning to predict a collection of unordered variables with unknown interrelations. Training such models with set losses imposes the structure of a metric space over sets. We focus on stochastic and underdefined…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-23 David W. Zhang , Gertjan J. Burghouts , Cees G. M. Snoek

Many unsupervised representation learning methods belong to the class of similarity learning models. While various modality-specific approaches exist for different types of data, a core property of many methods is that representations of…

In real-world applications, the limited availability of labeled outcomes presents significant challenges for statistical inference due to high collection costs, technical barriers, and other constraints. In this work, we propose a method to…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-14 Menghan Yi , Yanlin Tang , Huixia Judy Wang

Modern generative models are roughly divided into two main categories: (1) models that can produce high-quality random samples, but cannot estimate the exact density of new data points and (2) those that provide exact density estimation, at…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-24 Omri Ben-Dov , Pravir Singh Gupta , Victoria Fernandez Abrevaya , Michael J. Black , Partha Ghosh