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Data-based decisionmaking must account for the manipulation of data by agents who are aware of how decisions are being made and want to affect their allocations. We study a framework in which, due to such manipulation, data becomes less…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-12-29 Alex Frankel , Navin Kartik

In modern applications, statisticians are faced with integrating heterogeneous data modalities relevant for an inference, prediction, or decision problem. In such circumstances, it is convenient to use a graphical model to represent the…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-08-30 Pierre E. Jacob , Lawrence M. Murray , Chris C. Holmes , Christian P. Robert

The large majority of inferences drawn in empirical political research follow from model-based associations (e.g. regression). Here, we articulate the benefits of predictive modeling as a complement to this approach. Predictive models aim…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-12-20 Skyler J. Cranmer , Bruce A. Desmarais

The exploration of complex physical or technological processes usually requires exploiting available information from different sources: (i) physical laws often represented as a family of parameter dependent partial differential equations…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-02-04 Albert Cohen , Wolfgang Dahmen , Ron DeVore

While trade-offs between modeling effort and model accuracy remain a major concern with system identification, resorting to data-driven methods often leads to a complete disregard for physical plausibility. To address this issue, we propose…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-08-23 Oliver Schön , Ricarda-Samantha Götte , Julia Timmermann

Neural networks are among the most accurate supervised learning methods in use today. However, their opacity makes them difficult to trust in critical applications, especially when conditions in training may differ from those in practice.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-10-03 Andrew Slavin Ross

Common practice in modern machine learning involves fitting a large number of parameters relative to the number of observations. These overparameterized models can exhibit surprising generalization behavior, e.g., ``double descent'' in the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-03 Pratik Patil , Jin-Hong Du , Ryan J. Tibshirani

Novel vehicular communication methods are mostly analyzed simulatively or analytically as real world performance tests are highly time-consuming and cost-intense. Moreover, the high number of uncontrollable effects makes it practically…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2019-11-22 Benjamin Sliwa , Christian Wietfeld

The emergence of data-driven machine learning (ML) has facilitated significant progress in many complicated tasks such as highly-automated driving. While much effort is put into improving the ML models and learning algorithms in such…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-06-02 Marvin Klingner , Konstantin Müller , Mona Mirzaie , Jasmin Breitenstein , Jan-Aike Termöhlen , Tim Fingscheidt

Numerical approximations of partial differential equations (PDEs) are routinely employed to formulate the solution of physics, engineering, and mathematical problems involving functions of several variables, such as the propagation of heat…

Diffusion models have demonstrated empirical successes in various applications and can be adapted to task-specific needs via guidance. This paper studies a form of gradient guidance for adapting a pre-trained diffusion model towards…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-17 Yingqing Guo , Hui Yuan , Yukang Yang , Minshuo Chen , Mengdi Wang

We present a model-based derivative-free method for optimization subject to general convex constraints, which we assume are unrelaxable and accessed only through a projection operator that is cheap to evaluate. We prove global convergence…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-03-18 Matthew Hough , Lindon Roberts

We introduce the concept of decision-focused surrogate modeling for solving computationally challenging nonlinear optimization problems in real-time settings. The proposed data-driven framework seeks to learn a simpler, e.g. convex,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-12-27 Rishabh Gupta , Qi Zhang

Algorithm designers typically assume that the input data is correct, and then proceed to find "optimal" or "sub-optimal" solutions using this input data. However this assumption of correct data does not always hold in practice, especially…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-10-13 Hal Daumé , Samir Khuller , Manish Purohit , Gregory Sanders

Using a time series model to mimic an observed time series has a long history. However, with regard to this objective, conventional estimation methods for discrete-time dynamical models are frequently found to be wanting. In fact, they are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-19 Yingcun Xia , Howell Tong

Human drivers produce a vast amount of data which could, in principle, be used to improve autonomous driving systems. Unfortunately, seemingly straightforward approaches for creating end-to-end driving models that map sensor data directly…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-11-10 Yi Xiao , Felipe Codevilla , Christopher Pal , Antonio M. Lopez

Real-world experiments involve batched & delayed feedback, non-stationarity, multiple objectives & constraints, and (often some) personalization. Tailoring adaptive methods to address these challenges on a per-problem basis is infeasible,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-11 Ethan Che , Daniel R. Jiang , Hongseok Namkoong , Jimmy Wang

Model-based Reinforcement Learning (MBRL) holds promise for data-efficiency by planning with model-generated experience in addition to learning with experience from the environment. However, in complex or changing environments, models in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-24 Esra'a Saleh , John D. Martin , Anna Koop , Arash Pourzarabi , Michael Bowling

When predictive models are used to support complex and important decisions, the ability to explain a model's reasoning can increase trust, expose hidden biases, and reduce vulnerability to adversarial attacks. However, attempts at…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-11 Dimitris Bertsimas , Arthur Delarue , Patrick Jaillet , Sebastien Martin

Predictive models are being increasingly used to support consequential decision making at the individual level in contexts such as pretrial bail and loan approval. As a result, there is increasing social and legal pressure to provide…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-02 Amir-Hossein Karimi , Gilles Barthe , Borja Balle , Isabel Valera