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Quantifying uncertainty in a model's predictions is important as it enables the safety of an AI system to be increased by acting on the model's output in an informed manner. This is crucial for applications where the cost of an error is…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-05-31 Aria Khoshsirat

Uncertainty quantification is an important part of many performance critical applications. This paper provides a simple alternative to existing approaches such as ensemble learning and bayesian neural networks. By directly modeling the loss…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-28 Yi Hung Lim

Multiscale models allow for the treatment of complex phenomena involving different scales, such as remodeling and growth of tissues, muscular activation, and cardiac electrophysiology. Numerous numerical approaches have been developed to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-06-28 Marco Favino , Alessio Quaglino , Sonia Pozzi , Rolf Krause , Igor Pivkin

In the present work, a multi-scale framework for neural network enhanced methods is proposed for approximation of function and solution of partial differential equations (PDEs). By introducing the multi-scale concept, the total solution of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-09-07 Xiaodan Ren

We present a critical survey on the consistency of uncertainty quantification used in deep learning and highlight partial uncertainty coverage and many inconsistencies. We then provide a comprehensive and statistically consistent framework…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-14 Peter Jan van Leeuwen , J. Christine Chiu , C. Kevin Yang

This paper introduces a novel uncertainty quantification framework for regression models where the response takes values in a separable metric space, and the predictors are in a Euclidean space. The proposed algorithms can efficiently…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-09 Gábor Lugosi , Marcos Matabuena

While recent foundation models have enabled significant breakthroughs in monocular depth estimation, a clear path towards safe and reliable deployment in the real-world remains elusive. Metric depth estimation, which involves predicting…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-01-15 Steven Landgraf , Rongjun Qin , Markus Ulrich

We develop a generative model-based approach to Bayesian inverse problems, such as image reconstruction from noisy and incomplete images. Our framework addresses two common challenges of Bayesian reconstructions: 1) It makes use of complex,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-24 Vanessa Böhm , François Lanusse , Uroš Seljak

Based on the model's resilience to computational noise, model quantization is important for compressing models and improving computing speed. Existing quantization techniques rely heavily on experience and "fine-tuning" skills. In the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-22 Daning Cheng , Wenguang Chen

We propose a data-driven approach to quantify the uncertainty of models constructed by kernel methods. Our approach minimizes the needed distributional assumptions, hence, instead of working with, for example, Gaussian processes or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-08-06 Balázs Csanád Csáji , Krisztián Balázs Kis

The performance of modern deep learning-based systems dramatically depends on the quality of input objects. For example, face recognition quality would be lower for blurry or corrupted inputs. However, it is hard to predict the influence of…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-09-13 Roman Kail , Kirill Fedyanin , Nikita Muravev , Alexey Zaytsev , Maxim Panov

Machine learning can significantly improve performance for decision-making under uncertainty across a wide range of domains. However, ensuring robustness guarantees requires well-calibrated uncertainty estimates, which can be difficult to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Christopher Yeh , Nicolas Christianson , Alan Wu , Adam Wierman , Yisong Yue

Multilevel techniques are efficient approaches for solving the large linear systems that arise from discretized partial differential equations and other problems. While geometric multigrid requires detailed knowledge about the underlying…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-01-23 Tareq. U. Zaman , Scott P. MacLachlan , Luke N. Olson , Matt West

Among the many ways of quantifying uncertainty in a regression setting, specifying the full quantile function is attractive, as quantiles are amenable to interpretation and evaluation. A model that predicts the true conditional quantiles…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-10 Youngseog Chung , Willie Neiswanger , Ian Char , Jeff Schneider

Existing methods for estimating uncertainty in deep learning tend to require multiple forward passes, making them unsuitable for applications where computational resources are limited. To solve this, we perform probabilistic reasoning over…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-08 Javier Antorán , James Urquhart Allingham , José Miguel Hernández-Lobato

Neural networks make accurate predictions but often fail to provide reliable uncertainty estimates, especially under covariate distribution shifts between training and testing. To address this problem, we propose a Bayesian framework for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-22 Yuli Slavutsky , David M. Blei

This paper addresses a multi-scale finite element method for second order linear elliptic equations with arbitrarily rough coefficient. We propose a local oversampling method to construct basis functions that have optimal local…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-08-04 Thomas Y. Hou , Pengfei Liu

Model-based deep learning solutions to inverse problems have attracted increasing attention in recent years as they bridge state-of-the-art numerical performance with interpretability. In addition, the incorporated prior domain knowledge…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-09-18 Frederik Hoppe , Claudio Mayrink Verdun , Felix Krahmer , Hannah Laus , Holger Rauhut

Neural networks predictions are unreliable when the input sample is out of the training distribution or corrupted by noise. Being able to detect such failures automatically is fundamental to integrate deep learning algorithms into robotics.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-02-18 Antonio Loquercio , Mattia Segù , Davide Scaramuzza

Quantifying uncertainty in deep regression models is important both for understanding the confidence of the model and for safe decision-making in high-risk domains. Existing approaches that yield prediction intervals overlook distributional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-02 Adriel Sosa Marco , John Daniel Kirwan , Alexia Toumpa , Simos Gerasimou