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We derive mixing properties for a broad class of Poisson count time series satisfying a certain contraction condition. Using specific coupling techniques, we prove absolute regularity at a geometric rate not only for stationary…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-08 Paul Doukhan , Anne Leucht , Michael H Neumann

We consider integer-valued GARCH processes, where the count variable conditioned on past values of the count and state variables follows a so-called Skellam distribution. Using arguments for contractive Markov chains we prove that the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-08-14 Paul Doukhan , Naushad Mamode Khan , Michael H. Neumann

For the multivariate COGARCH(1,1) volatility process we show sufficient conditions for the existence of a unique stationary distribution, for the geometric ergodicity and for the finiteness of moments of the stationary distribution by a…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-01 Robert Stelzer , Johanna Vestweber

Conditions for the existence of strictly stationary multivariate GARCH processes in the so-called BEKK parametrisation, which is the most general form of multivariate GARCH processes typically used in applications, and for their geometric…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-08-02 Farid Boussama , Florian Fuchs , Robert Stelzer

We study the class of semi-Levy driven continuous-time GARCH, denoted by SLD-COGARCH, process. The statistical properties of this process are characterized. We show that the state process of such process can be described by a random…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-31 M. Mohammadi , S. Rezakhah , N. Modarresi

There is a serious and long-standing restriction in the literature on heavy-tailed phenomena in that moment conditions, which are unrealistic, are almost always assumed in modelling such phenomena. Further, the issue of stability is often…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-02 Yuxin Tao , Dong Li

We establish sufficient conditions for exponential convergence to a unique quasi-stationary distribution in the total variation norm. These conditions also ensure the existence and exponential ergodicity of the Q-process, the process…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-01 Aurélien Velleret

The aim of this paper is to provide conditions which ensure that the affinely transformed partial sums of a strictly stationary process converge in distribution to an infinite variance stable distribution. Conditions for this convergence to…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-10-20 Katarzyna Bartkiewicz , Adam Jakubowski , Thomas Mikosch , Olivier Wintenberger

We investigate the properties of a continuous time GARCH process as the solution to a L\'evy driven stochastic functional integral equation. This process occurs as a weak limit of a sequence of discrete time GARCH processes as the time…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-04-25 Adam Nie

A class of nonlinear ARCH processes is introduced and studied. The existence of a strictly stationary and $\beta$-mixing solution is established under a mild assumption on the density of the underlying independent process. We give…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Youssef Sa\"{ı}di , Jean-Michel Zako\"{ı}an

We provide conditions for the existence and the unicity of strictly stationary solutions of the usual Dynamic Conditional Correlation GARCH models (DCC-GARCH). The proof is based on Tweedie's (1988) criteria, after having rewritten…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-03-30 Jean-David Fermanian , Hassan Malongo

We propose a new model for nonstationary integer-valued time series which is particularly suitable for data with a strong trend. In contrast to popular Poisson-INGARCH models, but in line with classical GARCH models, we propose to pick the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-28 Anne Leucht , Michael H. Neumann

In this paper we study the simple semi-L\'evy driven continuous-time generalized autoregressive conditionally heteroscedastic (SS-COGARCH) process. The statistical properties of this process are characterized. This process has the potential…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-03-05 M. Mohammadi , S. Rezakhah , N. Modarresi

Engle and Russell (1998, Econometrica, 66:1127--1162) apply results from the GARCH literature to prove consistency and asymptotic normality of the (exponential) QMLE for the generalized autoregressive conditional duration (ACD) model, the…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-07-06 Giuseppe Cavaliere , Thomas Mikosch , Anders Rahbek , Frederik Vilandt

We study the long time behaviour of a Markov process evolving in $\mathbb{N}$ and conditioned not to hit 0. Assuming that the process comes back quickly from infinity, we prove that the process admits a unique quasi-stationary distribution…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-04-04 Servet Martinez , Jaime San Martin , Denis Villemonais

For Markov processes with absorption, we provide general criteria ensuring the existence and the exponential non-uniform convergence in total variation norm to a quasi-stationary distribution. We also characterize a subset of its domain of…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-24 Nicolas Champagnat , Denis Villemonais

We present a new drift condition which implies rates of convergence to the stationary distribution of the iterates of a \psi-irreducible aperiodic and positive recurrent transition kernel. This condition, extending a condition introduced by…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Randal Douc , Gersende Fort , Eric Moulines , Philippe Soulier

This paper examines some probabilistic properties of the class of periodic GARCH processes (PGARCH) which feature periodicity in conditional heteroskedasticity. In these models, the parameters are allowed to switch between different…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-09-20 Abdelouahab Bibi , Abdelhakim Aknouche

This paper considers the statistical inference of the class of asymmetric power-transformed $\operatorname{GARCH}(1,1)$ models in presence of possible explosiveness. We study the explosive behavior of volatility when the strict stationarity…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-10-31 Christian Francq , Jean-Michel Zakoïan

\noindent Consider an infinite collection of particles on the real line moving according to independent Brownian motions and such that the $i$-th particle from the left gets the drift $g_{i-1}$. The case where $g_0=1$ and $g_{i}=0$ for all…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-09 Sayan Banerjee , Amarjit Budhiraja
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