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We introduce a sound and complete equational theory capturing equivalence of discrete probabilistic programs, that is, programs extended with primitives for Bernoulli distributions and conditioning, to model distributions over finite sets…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2024-08-28 Robin Piedeleu , Mateo Torres-Ruiz , Alexandra Silva , Fabio Zanasi

For a family of random intermittent dynamical systems with a superattracting fixed point we prove that a phase transition occurs between the existence of an absolutely continuous invariant probability measure and infinite measure depending…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-05-31 Charlene Kalle , Benthen Zeegers

We consider a change of measure by a martingale $Z_t$ and clarify that in general $1/Z_t$ is only a supermartingale under the changed measure. We then give a necessary and sufficient condition for the event that the limit of the martingale…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Simon Harris , Matthew Roberts

We present a new inductive rule for verifying lower bounds on expected values of random variables after execution of probabilistic loops as well as on their expected runtimes. Our rule is simple in the sense that loop body semantics need to…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2021-08-12 Marcel Hark , Benjamin Lucien Kaminski , Jürgen Giesl , Joost-Pieter Katoen

The probabilistic satisfiability of a logical expression is a fundamental concept known as the partition function in statistical physics and field theory, an evaluation of a related graph's Tutte polynomial in mathematics, and the…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2022-06-09 Stephen Eubank , Madhurima Nath , Yihui Ren , Abhijin Adiga

The existence of a (p-)optimal propositional proof system is a major open question in (proof) complexity; many people conjecture that such systems do not exist. Krajicek and Pudlak (1989) show that this question is equivalent to the…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2010-02-03 Edward A. Hirsch , Dmitry Itsykson

Piecewise Deterministic Markov Processes (PDMPs) are studied in a general framework. First, different constructions are proven to be equivalent. Second, we introduce a coupling between two PDMPs following the same differential flow which…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-03 Alain Durmus , Arnaud Guillin , Pierre Monmarché

Decisiveness of infinite Markov chains with respect to some (finite or infinite) target set of states is a key property that allows to compute the reachability probability of this set up to an arbitrary precision. Most of the existing works…

Formal Languages and Automata Theory · Computer Science 2023-06-01 Alain Finkel , Serge Haddad , Lina Ye

Essential tasks for the verification of probabilistic programs include bounding expected outcomes and proving termination in finite expected runtime. We contribute a simple yet effective inductive synthesis approach for proving such…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2023-02-09 Kevin Batz , Mingshuai Chen , Sebastian Junges , Benjamin Lucien Kaminski , Joost-Pieter Katoen , Christoph Matheja

We provide sufficient conditions for polynomial rate of convergence in the weak law of large numbers for supercritical general indecomposable multi-type branching processes. The main result is derived by investigating the embedded…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-11-07 Alexander Iksanov , Matthias Meiners

We prove a strong law of large numbers for a class of strongly mixing processes. Our result rests on recent advances in understanding of concentration of measure. It is simple to apply and gives finite-sample (as opposed to asymptotic)…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-07-30 Aryeh Kontorovich , Anthony Brockwell

In this paper, we consider a modified version of a well-known submartingale condition fortheweak convergence of probabilitymeasures, adapted to the semi-Markov case. In this setting, it is convenient to work with an embedded Markov chain…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-30 Vitaliy Golomoziy

We investigate the almost sure asymptotic properties of vector martingale transforms. Assuming some appropriate regularity conditions both on the increasing process and on the moments of the martingale, we prove that normalized moments of…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-05 Bernard Bercu , Peggy Cénac , Guy Fayolle

We present a new approach to proving non-termination of non-deterministic integer programs. Our technique is rather simple but efficient. It relies on a purely syntactic reversal of the program's transition system followed by a…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2021-04-06 Krishnendu Chatterjee , Ehsan Kafshdar Goharshady , Petr Novotný , Đorđe Žikelić

This work provides a novel convergence analysis for stochastic optimization in terms of stopping times, addressing the practical reality that algorithms are often terminated adaptively based on observed progress. Unlike prior approaches,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-07-17 Yasong Feng , Yifan Jiang , Tianyu Wang , Zhiliang Ying

For logic programs with arithmetic predicates, showing termination is not easy, since the usual order for the integers is not well-founded. A new method, easily incorporated in the TermiLog system for automatic termination analysis, is…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Nachum Dershowitz , Naomi Lindenstrauss , Yehoshua Sagiv , Alexander Serebrenik

Scientific explanation often requires inferring maximally predictive features from a given data set. Unfortunately, the collection of minimal maximally predictive features for most stochastic processes is uncountably infinite. In such…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-05-31 Sarah E. Marzen , James P. Crutchfield

This note provides upper bounds on the number of operations required to compute by value iterations a nearly optimal policy for an infinite-horizon discounted Markov decision process with a finite number of states and actions. For a given…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-01-29 Eugene A. Feinberg , Gaojin He

The law of large numbers is one of the fundamental properties which algorithmically random infinite sequences ought to satisfy. In this paper, we show that the law of large numbers can be effectivized for an arbitrary Schnorr random…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-12-29 Kohtaro Tadaki

In this paper, we derive power guarantees of some sequential tests for bounded mean under general alternatives. We focus on testing procedures using nonnegative supermartingales which are anytime valid and consider alternatives which…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-15 Amaury Durand , Olivier Wintenberger
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