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Related papers: Bayesian Methods for Exoplanet Science

200 papers

In the last two decades, Bayesian inference has become commonplace in astronomy. At the same time, the choice of algorithms, terminology, notation, and interpretation of Bayesian inference varies from one sub-field of astronomy to the next,…

In support of the National Acadamies' Exoplanet Science Strategy, this whitepaper outlines key technology challenges for studying the diversity of worlds in the Galaxy and in searching for habitable planets. Observations of habitable…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2018-03-14 Brendan Crill , Nick Siegler , Shawn Domagal-Goldman , Eric Mamajek , Karl Stapelfeldt

This chapter provides a overview of Bayesian inference, mostly emphasising that it is a universal method for summarising uncertainty and making estimates and predictions using probability statements conditional on observed data and an…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-02-11 Christian P. Robert , Jean-Michel Marin , Judith Rousseau

Moment-based estimation filters have successfully aided spacecraft navigation for decades. However, future missions plan to venture into deep-space regimes with significant round-trip light-time telecommunication delays, operate in…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2025-08-13 Benjamin L. Hanson , Todd A. Ely , Thomas R. Bewley , Aaron J. Rosengren

Future space telescopes may be able to directly image $\sim$10 - 100 planets with sizes and orbits consistent with habitable surface conditions ("exo-Earth candidates" or EECs), but observers will face difficulty in distinguishing these…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2020-02-27 Alex Bixel , Dániel Apai

By detecting light from extrasolar planets,we can measure their compositions and bulk physical properties. The technologies used to make these measurements are still in their infancy, and a lack of self-consistency suggests that previous…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2017-06-15 Cassandra S. Henderson , Andrew J. Skemer , Caroline V. Morley , Jonathan J. Fortney

This paper offers a comprehensive introduction to Bayesian inference, combining historical context, theoretical foundations, and core analytical examples. Beginning with Bayes' theorem and the philosophical distinctions between Bayesian and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-08 Juan Sosa , Carlos A. Martínez , Danna Cruz

Recent advancements of complex network representation among several disciplines motivated the investigation of exoplanetary dynamics by means of recurrence networks. We are able to recover different dynamical regimes by means of various…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2019-08-07 Tamas Kovacs

There is an opportunity to advance both solar system and extrasolar planetary studies that does not require the construction of new telescopes or new missions but better use and access to inter-disciplinary data sets. This approach…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2019-03-19 Daniel J. Crichton , J. Steve Hughes , Gael Roudier , Robert A. West , Jeffrey Jewell , Geoffrey Bryden , Mark Swain , T. Joseph W. Lazio

Understanding the properties of transient gravitational waves and their sources is of broad interest in physics and astronomy. Bayesian inference is the standard framework for astro-physical measurement in transient gravitational-wave…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2020-10-07 Rory Smith , Gregory Ashton , Avi Vajpeyi , Colm Talbot

(Abridged) The discovery of extrasolar planetary systems revealed an unexpected diversity of planetary systems that has revolutionized planet formation theory. A strong program of theoretical research is essential to maximize both the…

High-contrast imaging surveys for exoplanet detection have shown giant planets at large separations to be rare. It is important to push towards detections at smaller separations, the part of the parameter space containing most planets. The…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2021-03-16 M. Samland , J. Bouwman , D. W. Hogg , W. Brandner , T. Henning , M. Janson

In astronomical and cosmological studies one often wishes to infer some properties of an infinite-dimensional field indexed within a finite-dimensional metric space given only a finite collection of noisy observational data. Bayesian…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2014-06-26 Ewan Cameron

This paper derives practical algorithms, based on Bayesian inference methods, for several data analysis problems common in time series analysis of astronomical and other data. One problem is the determination of the lag between two time…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-10-20 Jeffrey D. Scargle

Goal 1 of the National Academies of Science, Engineering and Mathematics Exoplanet Science Strategy is "to understand the formation and evolution of planetary systems as products of the process of star formation, and characterize and…

In the last decade, over a million stars were monitored to detect transiting planets. Manual interpretation of potential exoplanet candidates is labor intensive and subject to human error, the results of which are difficult to quantify.…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2017-12-20 Kyle A. Pearson , Leon Palafox , Caitlin A. Griffith

For much of human history we have wondered how our solar system formed, and whether there are any other planets like ours around other stars. Only in the last 20 years have we had direct evidence for the existence of exoplanets, with the…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2013-08-26 Jeffrey L. Coughlin

We present the progress of work to streamline and simplify the process of exoplanet observation by citizen scientists. International collaborations such as ExoClock and Exoplanet Watch enable citizen scientists to use small telescopes to…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2026-01-21 Oisín Creaner , Anna Preis , Cormac Ryan , Nika Gorchakova

The frequency of planets in binaries is an important issue in the field of extrasolar planet studies because of its relevance in the estimation of the global planet population of our galaxy and the clues it can give to our understanding of…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2020-02-28 Mariangela Bonavita , Silvano Desidera

Over the past several decades, thousands of planets have been discovered outside of our Solar System. These planets exhibit enormous diversity, and their large numbers provide a statistical opportunity to place our Solar System within the…