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We present a novel distributionally robust framework for dynamic programming that uses kernel methods to design feedback control policies. Specifically, we leverage kernel mean embedding to map the transition probabilities governing the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-12-20 Licio Romao , Ashish R. Hota , Alessandro Abate

The canonical theory of sublinear expectations, a foundation of stochastic calculus under ambiguity, is insensitive to the non-convex geometry of primitive uncertainty models. This paper develops a new stochastic calculus for a structured…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-31 Qian Qi

This paper deals with an optimal position management problem for a market maker who has to face uncertain customer order flows in an illiquid market, where the market maker's continuous trading incurs a stochastic linear price impact.…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2015-09-08 Masaaki Fujii

In this paper we study the so-called minimum income condition order, which is used in some day-ahead electricity power exchanges to represent the production-related costs of generating units. This order belongs to the family of complex…

General Economics · Economics 2022-09-02 Dávid Csercsik

Machine learning force fields show great promise in enabling more accurate molecular dynamics simulations compared to manually derived ones. Much of the progress in recent years was driven by exploiting prior knowledge about physical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-11 Andreas Burger , Luca Thiede , Alán Aspuru-Guzik , Nandita Vijaykumar

We develop a theoretical trading conditioning model subject to price volatility and return information in terms of market psychological behavior, based on analytical transaction volume-price probability wave distributions in which we use…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2010-02-09 Leilei Shi , Yiwen Wang , Ding Chen , Liyan Han , Yan Piao , Chengling Gou

This paper focuses on linear-quadratic (LQ for short) mean-field games described by forward-backward stochastic differential equations (FBSDEs for short), in which the individual control region is postulated to be convex. The decentralized…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-04-09 Liangquan Zhang , Xun Li

We study discrete-time predictable forward processes when trading times do not coincide with performance evaluation times in a binomial tree model for the financial market. The key step in the construction of these processes is to solve a…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-12-05 Gechun Liang , Moris S. Strub , Yuwei Wang

We model real-world data markets, where sellers post fixed prices and buyers are free to purchase from any set of sellers, as a simultaneous game. A key component here is the negative externality buyers induce on one another due to data…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-02-16 Safwan Hossain , Yiling Chen

In this technical note, we consider the linear-quadratic time-inconsistent mean-field type leader-follower Stackelberg differential game with an adapted open-loop information structure. The objective functionals of the leader and the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-11-12 Jun Moon , Hyun Jong Yang

We analyze a market impact game between $n$ risk averse agents who compete for liquidity in a market impact model with permanent price impact and additional slippage. Most market parameters, including volatility and drift, are allowed to…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2020-01-06 Samuel Drapeau , Peng Luo , Alexander Schied , Dewen Xiong

We study a stochastic optimal control problem motivated by the operation of a large ensemble of residential storage devices coordinated by an energy aggregator. The aggregator remunerates prosumers in exchange for direct control of their…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-03 Margherita Fabini , Andrea Pascucci , Alessio Rondelli

In this paper, we study the optimal control of a discrete-time stochastic differential equation (SDE) of mean-field type, where the coefficients can depend on both a function of the law and the state of the process. We establish a new…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-10-05 Arzu Ahmadova , Nazim I. Mahmudov

Financial markets are often driven by latent factors which traders cannot observe. Here, we address an algorithmic trading problem with collections of heterogeneous agents who aim to perform optimal execution or statistical arbitrage, where…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-04-02 Philippe Casgrain , Sebastian Jaimungal

In this paper we formulate the now classical problem of optimal liquidation (or optimal trading) inside a Mean Field Game (MFG). This is a noticeable change since usually mathematical frameworks focus on one large trader in front of a…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2017-09-22 Pierre Cardaliaguet , Charles-Albert Lehalle

We develop a hierarchical Bayesian dynamic game for competitive inventory and pricing under incomplete information. Two firms repeatedly choose order quantities and prices while facing two layers of uncertainty: unknown market demand and…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-09 Debashis Chatterjee

We study a discrete-time consumption-based capital asset pricing model under expectations-based reference-dependent preferences. More precisely, we consider an endowment economy populated by a representative agent who derives utility from…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-01-24 Luca De Gennaro Aquino , Xuedong He , Moris Simon Strub , Yuting Yang

\emph{Kullback-Leibler} (KL) regularization is ubiquitous in reinforcement learning algorithms in the form of \emph{reverse} or \emph{forward} KL. Recent studies have demonstrated $\epsilon^{-1}$-type fast rates for decision making under…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Qingyue Zhao , Kaixuan Ji , Heyang Zhao , Quanquan Gu

During initial iterations of training in most Reinforcement Learning (RL) algorithms, agents perform a significant number of random exploratory steps. In the real world, this can limit the practicality of these algorithms as it can lead to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-17 Ashish Kumar Jayant , Shalabh Bhatnagar

The energy transition has increased the reliance on intermittent energy sources, destabilizing energy markets and causing unprecedented volatility, culminating in the global energy crisis of 2021. In addition to harming producers and…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2023-08-07 Jonas Hanetho