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We study the problem of prediction with expert advice when the number of experts in question may be extremely large or even infinite. We devise an algorithm that obtains a tight regret bound of $\widetilde{O}(\epsilon T + N + \sqrt{NT})$,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-02-28 Alon Cohen , Shie Mannor

Time series forecasting plays an increasingly important role in modern business decisions. In today's data-rich environment, people often aim to choose the optimal forecasting model for their data. However, identifying the optimal model…

Applications · Statistics 2021-12-17 Xixi Li , Fotios Petropoulos , Yanfei Kang

A major technique in learning-augmented online algorithms is combining multiple algorithms or predictors. Since the performance of each predictor may vary over time, it is desirable to use not the single best predictor as a benchmark, but…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-19 Antonios Antoniadis , Christian Coester , Marek Eliáš , Adam Polak , Bertrand Simon

Long-term time series forecasting (LTSF) aims to predict future values of a time series given the past values. The current state-of-the-art (SOTA) on this problem is attained in some cases by linear-centric models, which primarily feature a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-03 Ronghao Ni , Zinan Lin , Shuaiqi Wang , Giulia Fanti

Observational data are often accompanied by natural structural indices, such as time stamps or geographic locations, which are meaningful to prediction tasks but are often discarded. We leverage semantically meaningful indexing data while…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-16 Esther Rolf , Michael I. Jordan , Benjamin Recht

We address the problem of sequential prediction with expert advice in a non-stationary environment with long-term memory guarantees in the sense of Bousquet and Warmuth [4]. We give a linear-time algorithm that improves on the best known…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-25 James Robinson , Mark Herbster

This paper studies online algorithms augmented with multiple machine-learned predictions. While online algorithms augmented with a single prediction have been extensively studied in recent years, the literature for the multiple predictions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-14 Keerti Anand , Rong Ge , Amit Kumar , Debmalya Panigrahi

We consider a general framework of online learning with expert advice where regret is defined with respect to sequences of experts accepted by a weighted automaton. Our framework covers several problems previously studied, including…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-10-24 Mehryar Mohri , Scott Yang

Smoothing is essential to many oceanographic, meteorological and hydrological applications. The interval smoothing problem updates all desired states within a time interval using all available observations. The fixed-lag smoothing problem…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2015-06-26 S. Ravela , D. McLaughlin

Several applications in time series forecasting require predicting multiple steps ahead. Despite the vast amount of literature in the topic, both classical and recent deep learning based approaches have mostly focused on minimising…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-15 Ignacio Hounie , Javier Porras-Valenzuela , Alejandro Ribeiro

In this paper, we study a variant of the framework of online learning using expert advice with limited/bandit feedback. We consider each expert as a learning entity, seeking to more accurately reflecting certain real-world applications. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-02-21 Adish Singla , Hamed Hassani , Andreas Krause

We explore the fundamental problem of sorting through the lens of learning-augmented algorithms, where algorithms can leverage possibly erroneous predictions to improve their efficiency. We consider two different settings: In the first…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2023-11-03 Xingjian Bai , Christian Coester

We show how to utilize machine learning approaches to improve sliding window algorithms for approximate frequency estimation problems, under the ``algorithms with predictions'' framework. In this dynamic environment, previous…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2024-09-19 Rana Shahout , Ibrahim Sabek , Michael Mitzenmacher

Forecast combination is widely recognized as a preferred strategy over forecast selection due to its ability to mitigate the uncertainty associated with identifying a single "best" forecast. Nonetheless, sophisticated combinations are often…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-17 Xiaoqian Wang , Yanfei Kang , Feng Li

Here, we study different update rules in stochastic gradient descent (SGD) for online forecasting problems. The selection of the learning rate parameter is critical in SGD. However, it may not be feasible to tune this parameter in online…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-23 Tianhao Zhu , Sergul Aydore

We study the problem of smooth imitation learning for online sequence prediction, where the goal is to train a policy that can smoothly imitate demonstrated behavior in a dynamic and continuous environment in response to online, sequential…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-06-06 Hoang M. Le , Andrew Kang , Yisong Yue , Peter Carr

Machine learning algorithms dedicated to financial time series forecasting have gained a lot of interest. But choosing between several algorithms can be challenging, as their estimation accuracy may be unstable over time. Online aggregation…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-07-07 Carl Remlinger , Brière Marie , Alasseur Clémence , Joseph Mikael

We consider a variation on the problem of prediction with expert advice, where new forecasters that were unknown until then may appear at each round. As often in prediction with expert advice, designing an algorithm that achieves…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-09-01 Jaouad Mourtada , Odalric-Ambrym Maillard

We study how we can adapt a predictor to a non-stationary environment with advises from multiple experts. We study the problem under complete feedback when the best expert changes over time from a decision theoretic point of view. Proposed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-08-08 Vishnu Raj , Sheetal Kalyani

We revisit the fundamental problem of prediction with expert advice, in a setting where the environment is benign and generates losses stochastically, but the feedback observed by the learner is subject to a moderate adversarial corruption.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-05 Idan Amir , Idan Attias , Tomer Koren , Roi Livni , Yishay Mansour