Related papers: Pathwise superhedging on prediction sets
Path integral method in quantum mechanics provides a new thinking for barrier option pricing. For proportional step options, the option price changing process is similar to the one dimensional trapezoid potential barrier scattering problem…
Real-time probability forecasts for binary outcomes are routine in sports, online experimentation, medicine, and finance. Retrospective narratives, however, often hinge on pathwise extremes: for example, a forecast that becomes "90%…
Theoretical models applied to option pricing should take into account the empirical characteristics of the underlying financial time series. In this paper, we show how to price basket options when assets follow a shifted log-normal process…
We propose \textit{DeepMartingale}, a deep-learning framework for the dual formulation of discrete-monitoring optimal stopping problems under continuous-time models. Leveraging a martingale representation, our method implements a…
This paper is concerned with the study of insurance related derivatives on financial markets that are based on non-tradable underlyings, but are correlated with tradable assets. We calculate exponential utility-based indifference prices,…
Let $\xi=(\xi_t)$ be a locally finite $(2,\beta)$-superprocess in $\RR^d$ with $\beta<1$ and $d>2/\beta$. Then for any fixed $t>0$, the random measure $\xi_t$ can be a.s. approximated by suitably normalized restrictions of Lebesgue measure…
A discretization scheme for nonnegative diffusion processes is proposed and the convergence of the corresponding sequence of approximate processes is proved using the martingale problem framework. Motivations for this scheme come typically…
In this article, we develop a semigroup-theoretic framework for the analytic characterisation of martingales with path-dependent terminal conditions. Our main result establishes that a measurable adapted process of the form \[ V(t) -…
This research investigates pricing financial options based on the traditional martingale theory of arbitrage pricing applied to neural SDEs. We treat neural SDEs as universal It\^o process approximators. In this way we can lift all…
We consider a strictly pathwise setting for Delta hedging exotic options, based on F\"ollmer's pathwise It\=o calculus. Price trajectories are $d$-dimensional continuous functions whose pathwise quadratic variations and covariations are…
We propose an innovative data-driven option pricing methodology that relies exclusively on the dataset of historical underlying asset prices. While the dataset is rooted in the objective world, option prices are commonly expressed as…
We explicitly construct the supermartingale version of the Fr{\'e}chet-Hoeffding coupling in the setting with infinitely many marginal constraints. This extends the results of Henry-Labordere et al. obtained in the martingale setting. Our…
The objective of this paper is to develop a duality between a novel Entropy Martingale Optimal Transport problem (A) and an associated optimization problem (B). In (A) we follow the approach taken in the Entropy Optimal Transport (EOT)…
We show that our generalization of the Black-Scholes partial differential equation (pde) for nontrivial diffusion coefficients is equivalent to a Martingale in the risk neutral discounted stock price. Previously, this was proven for the…
We prove that the intersection cohomology of the Baily-Borel compactification of a complex Shimura variety is identified with the top weight quotient of the mixed Hodge structure on the reductive Borel-Serre compactification. This yields…
This paper makes mathematically precise the idea that conditional probabilities are analogous to path liftings in geometry. The idea of lifting is modelled in terms of the category-theoretic concept of a lens, which can be interpreted as a…
In this work we study the price-hedge issue for general defaultable contracts characterized by the presence of a contingent CSA of switching type. This is a contingent risk mitigation mechanism that allow the counterparties of a defaultable…
How to compute (super) hedging costs in rather general fi- nancial market models with transaction costs in discrete-time ? Despite the huge literature on this topic, most of results are characterizations of the super-hedging prices while it…
We consider the pricing of American put options in a model-independent setting: that is, we do not assume that asset prices behave according to a given model, but aim to draw conclusions that hold in any model. We incorporate market…
Simultaneous ascending auctions present agents with the exposure problem: bidding to acquire a bundle risks the possibility of obtaining an undesired subset of the goods. Auction theory provides little guidance for dealing with this…