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Related papers: Bayesian Inference of Selection in the Wright-Fish…

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To model discrete sequences such as DNA, proteins, and language using diffusion, practitioners must choose between three major methods: diffusion in discrete space, Gaussian diffusion in Euclidean space, or diffusion on the simplex. Despite…

Sweepstakes reproduction refers to a highly skewed individual recruitment success without involving natural selection and may apply to individuals in broadcast spawning populations characterised by Type III survivorship. We consider an…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-14 Jonathan A Chetwynd-Diggle , Bjarki Eldon

Inference after model selection has been an active research topic in the past few years, with numerous works offering different approaches to addressing the perils of the reuse of data. In particular, major progress has been made recently…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-02 Snigdha Panigrahi , Jonathan Taylor , Asaf Weinstein

Phylodynamics seeks to estimate effective population size fluctuations from molecular sequences of individuals sampled from a population of interest. One way to accomplish this task formulates an observed sequence data likelihood exploiting…

The transition distribution of a sample taken from a Wright-Fisher diffusion with general small mutation rates is found using a coalescent approach. The approximation is equivalent to having at most one mutation in the coalescent tree of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-09-12 Conrad J. Burden , Robert C. Griffiths

The paper analyzes theoretically and empirically the performance of likelihood weighting (LW) on a subset of nodes in Bayesian networks. The proposed scheme requires fewer samples to converge due to reduction in sampling variance. The…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-07-02 Bozhena Bidyuk , Rina Dechter

Fleming-Viot diffusions are widely used stochastic models for population dynamics which extend the celebrated Wright-Fisher diffusions. They describe the temporal evolution of the relative frequencies of the allelic types in an ideally…

Computation · Statistics 2026-01-07 Filippo Ascolani , Stefano Damato , Matteo Ruggiero

Our motivation comes from the large population approximation of individual based models in population dynamics and population genetics. We propose a general method to investigate scaling limits of finite dimensional population size Markov…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-07 Vincent Bansaye , Maria-Emilia Caballero , Sylvie Méléard

Reproductive phenology, growth and mortality rates are key ecological parameters that determine population dynamics and are therefore of vital importance to stock assessment models for fisheries management. In many fish species, the…

Other Quantitative Biology · Quantitative Biology 2020-06-23 Vicenç Moltó , Andres Ospina-Alvarez , Mark Gatt , Miquel Palmer , Ignacio A. Catalán

We study a class of processes that are akin to the Wright-Fisher model, with transition probabilities weighted in terms of the frequency-dependent fitness of the population types. By considering an approximate weak formulation of the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-08-28 Fabio A. C. C. Chalub , Max O. Souza

Coupled Wright-Fisher diffusions have been recently introduced to model the temporal evolution of finitely-many allele frequencies at several loci. These are vectors of multidimensional diffusions whose dynamics are weakly coupled among…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-07 Chiara Boetti , Matteo Ruggiero

We derive a Bayesian framework for incorporating selection effects into population analyses. We allow for both measurement uncertainty in individual measurements and, crucially, for selection biases on the population of measurements, and…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2019-04-10 Ilya Mandel , Will M. Farr , Jonathan R. Gair

We develop a global and hierarchical scheme for the forward Kolmogorov (Fokker-Planck) equation of the diffusion approximation of the Wright-Fisher model of population genetics. That model describes the random genetic drift of several…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2015-09-21 Julian Hofrichter , Tat Dat Tran , Jürgen Jost

Bayesian estimation is increasingly popular for performing model based inference to support policymaking. These data are often collected from surveys under informative sampling designs where subject inclusion probabilities are designed to…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-13 Luis G. Leon-Novelo , Terrance D. Savitsky

The membership inference problem for publicly released statistics from a private dataset is well-studied. When developing and formally analyzing attack strategies, however, the focus has been on attacks that model the population using only…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2026-05-29 Lisa Oakley , Sam Stites , Cameron Moy , Steven Holtzen , Alina Oprea , Marco Gaboardi

Diffusion models have emerged as powerful tools for solving inverse problems, yet prior work has primarily focused on observations with Gaussian measurement noise, restricting their use in real-world scenarios. This limitation persists due…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-11 Alessandro Micheli , Mélodie Monod , Samir Bhatt

To study population dynamics, ecologists and wildlife biologists use relative abundance data, which are often subject to temporal preferential sampling. Temporal preferential sampling occurs when sampling effort varies across time. To…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-14 Michael R. Schwob , Mevin B. Hooten , Travis McDevitt-Galles

Until recently, the use of Bayesian inference in population genetics was limited to a few cases because for many realistic population genetic models the likelihood function cannot be calculated analytically . The situation changed with the…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-01-16 Christoph Leuenberger Daniel Wegmann Laurent Excoffier

Using graphical methods based on a `lookdown' and pruned version of the {\em ancestral selection graph}, we obtain a representation of the type distribution of the ancestor in a two-type Wright-Fisher population with mutation and selection,…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-17 Ellen Baake , Ute Lenz , Anton Wakolbinger

The two-parameter Poisson--Dirichlet diffusion, introduced in 2009 by Petrov, extends the infinitely-many-neutral-alleles diffusion model, related to Kingman's one-parameter Poisson--Dirichlet distribution and to certain Fleming--Viot…