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Multi-stream sequential change detection involves simultaneously monitoring many streams of data and trying to detect when their distributions change, if at all. Here, we theoretically study multiple testing issues that arise from detecting…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-04 Sanjit Dandapanthula , Aaditya Ramdas

Time series data often contain initial transient periods before reaching a stable state, posing challenges in analysis and interpretation. In this paper, we propose a novel approach to detect and estimate the end of the initial transient in…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-01 Leonardo Scandurra , Pavlos Alexias , Eugene de Villiers

An energy efficient distributed Change Detection scheme based on Page's CUSUM algorithm was presented in \cite{icassp}. In this paper we consider a nonparametric version of this algorithm. In the algorithm in \cite{icassp}, each sensor runs…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2009-08-17 Taposh Banerjee , Vinod Sharma

In this paper the asymptotic distribution of the stopping time in Page's sequential cumulative sum (CUSUM) procedure is presented. Page as well as ordinary cumulative sums are considered as detectors for changes in the mean of observations…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-08-07 Stefan Fremdt

We address the problem of detecting a change in the distribution of a high-dimensional multivariate normal time series. Assuming that the post-change parameters are unknown and estimated using a window of historical data, we extend the…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-02-12 Robert Malinas , Dogyoon Song , Benjamin D. Robinson , Alfred O. Hero

Change point detection (CPD) aims to locate abrupt property changes in time series data. Recent CPD methods demonstrated the potential of using deep learning techniques, but often lack the ability to identify more subtle changes in the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-21 Tim De Ryck , Maarten De Vos , Alexander Bertrand

We consider a change detection problem in which the arrival rate of a Poisson process changes suddenly at some unknown and unobservable disorder time. It is assumed that the prior distribution of the disorder time is known. The objective is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Erhan Bayraktar , Semih Sezer

In this paper we consider the problem of quickly detecting changes in an intermittent signal that can (repeatedly) switch between a normal and an anomalous state. We pose this intermittent signal detection problem as an optimal stopping…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-04-27 Jasmin James , Jason J. Ford , Timothy L. Molloy

We study the Non-Stationary Reinforcement Learning (RL) under distribution shifts in both finite-horizon episodic and infinite-horizon discounted Markov Decision Processes (MDPs). In the finite-horizon case, the transition functions may…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-31 Ha Manh Bui , Felix Parker , Kimia Ghobadi , Anqi Liu

Theory and algorithms are developed for detecting changes in the distribution of statistically periodic random processes. The statistical periodicity is modeled using independent and periodically identically distributed processes, a new…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-08-14 Taposh Banerjee , Prudhvi Gurram , Gene Whipps

In this paper, we propose and analyze an attack detection scheme for securing the physical layer of a networked control system against attacks where the adversary replaces the true observations with stationary false data. An independent and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-01-06 Arunava Naha , Andre Teixeira , Anders Ahlen , Subhrakanti Dey

We consider the sequential change-point detection problem of detecting changes that are characterized by a subspace structure. Such changes are frequent in high-dimensional streaming data altering the form of the corresponding covariance…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-06-29 Liyan Xie , George V. Moustakides , Yao Xie

We consider the online monitoring of multivariate streaming data for changes that are characterized by an unknown subspace structure manifested in the covariance matrix. In particular, we consider the covariance structure changes from an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-04-12 Liyan Xie , Yao Xie , George V. Moustakides

This paper considers the problem of sequentially detecting a change in the joint distribution of multiple data sources under a sampling constraint. Specifically, the channels or sources generate observations that are independent over time,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-26 Anamitra Chaudhuri , Georgios Fellouris , Ali Tajer

Power system outages expose market participants to significant financial risk unless promptly detected and hedged. We develop an outage identification method from public market signals grounded in the parametric quickest change detection…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-01-21 Milad Hoseinpour , Shubhanshu Shekhar , Vladimir Dvorkin

We address the sequential change-point detection problem for the Gaussian model where baseline distribution is Gaussian with variance \sigma^2 and mean \mu such that \sigma^2=a\mu, where a>0 is a known constant; the change is in \mu from…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-03-06 Aleksey S. Polunchenko , Alexander G. Tartakovsky , Nitis Mukhopadhyay

Through theoretical and experimental validation, unlike all existing adaptive methods like Adam which penalize frequently-changing parameters and are only applicable to sparse gradients, we propose the simplest SGD enhanced method,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-04 Gongyue Zhang , Dinghuang Zhang , Shuwen Zhao , Donghan Liu , Carrie M. Toptan , Honghai Liu

Sequential change point tests aim at giving an alarm as soon as possible after a structural break occurs while controlling the asymptotic false alarm error. For such tests it is of particular importance to understand how quickly a break is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-20 Claudia Kirch , Christina Stoehr

We study the Bayesian problems of detecting a change in the drift rate of an observable diffusion process with linear and exponential penalty costs for a detection delay. The optimal times of alarms are found as the first times at which the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-11-08 Pavel V. Gapeev , Albert N. Shiryaev

In the sequential change-point detection literature, most research specifies a required frequency of false alarms at a given pre-change distribution $f_{\theta}$ and tries to minimize the detection delay for every possible post-change…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Yajun Mei