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This paper develops and analyzes optimization models for rapid detection of viruses in large contact networks. In the model, a virus spreads in a stochastic manner over an undirected connected graph, under various assumptions on the spread…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-06-16 Sudesh K. Agrawal , John J. Hasenbein

Partially-observed data collected by sampling methods is often being studied to obtain the characteristics of information diffusion networks. However, these methods usually do not consider the behavior of diffusion process. In this paper,…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2014-05-30 Motahareh Eslami Mehdiabadi , Hamid R. Rabiee , Mostafa Salehi

Detecting malicious activity within an enterprise computer network can be framed as a temporal link prediction task: given a sequence of graphs representing communications between hosts over time, the goal is to predict which edges…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2023-03-29 Corentin Larroche

We study the problem of estimating the origin of an epidemic outbreak -- given a contact network and a snapshot of epidemic spread at a certain time, determine the infection source. Finding the source is important in different contexts of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-11-20 Andrey Y. Lokhov , Marc Mézard , Hiroki Ohta , Lenka Zdeborová

We study the following model of disease spread in a social network. At first, all individuals are either infected or healthy. Next, in discrete rounds, the disease spreads in the network from infected to healthy individuals such that a…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2024-09-04 Michal Dvořák , Dušan Knop , Šimon Schierreich

Researchers, policy makers, and engineers need to make sense of data from spreading processes as diverse as rumor spreading in social networks, viral infections, and water contamination. Classical questions include predicting infection…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2026-01-08 Ben Bals , Michelle Döring , Nicolas Klodt , George Skretas

Source detection is crucial for capturing the dynamics of real-world infectious diseases and informing effective containment strategies. Most existing approaches to source detection focus on conventional pairwise networks, whereas recent…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-07-04 Qiao Ke , Naoki Masuda , Zhen Jin , Chuang Liu , Xiu-Xiu Zhan

We discuss various models for epidemics on networks that rely on Markov chains. Random walks on graphs are often used to predict epidemic spread and to investigate possible control actions to mitigate them. In this study, we demonstrate…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-07-07 Sooyeong Kim , Jane Breen , Ekaterina Dudkina , Federico Poloni , Emanuele Crisostomi

We consider the problem of learning the weighted edges of a graph by observing the noisy times of infection for multiple epidemic cascades on this graph. Past work has considered this problem when the cascade information, i.e., infection…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-08-13 Jessica Hoffmann , Constantine Caramanis

We consider a network where an infection cascade has taken place and a subset of infected nodes has been partially observed. Our goal is to reconstruct the underlying cascade that is likely to have generated these observations. We reduce…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-11-21 Han Xiao , Cigdem Aslay , Aristides Gionis

This monograph provides an overview of the mathematical theories and computational algorithm design for contagion source detection in large networks. By leveraging network centrality as a tool for statistical inference, we can accurately…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-07-11 Chee Wei Tan , Pei-Duo Yu

We study the problem of parameter estimation based on infection data from an epidemic outbreak on a graph. We assume that successive infections occur via contagion; i.e., transmissions can only spread across existing directed edges in the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-06-15 Justin Khim , Po-Ling Loh

In this paper, we study a problem of detecting the source of diffused information by querying individuals, given a sample snapshot of the information diffusion graph, where two queries are asked: {\em (i)} whether the respondent is the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-10-23 Jaeyoung Choi , Sangwoo Moon , Jiin Woo , Kyunghwan Son , Jinwoo Shin , Yung Yi

The source detection problem arises when an epidemic process unfolds over a contact network, and the objective is to identify its point of origin, i.e., the source node. Research on this problem began with the seminal work of Shah and Zaman…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2026-05-28 Martin Sterchi , Nathan Brack , Lorenz Hilfiker

We propose a model for epidemic spreading on a finite complex network with a restriction to at most one contamination per time step. Because of a highly discrete character of the process, the analysis cannot use the continous approximation,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-07-23 Wojciech Ganczarek

In many cases, tainted information in a computer network can spread in a way similar to an epidemics in the human world. On the other had, information processing paths are often redundant, so a single infection occurrence can be easily…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-03-07 Franco Bagnoli , Emanuele Bellini , Emanuele Massaro

Nowadays it is not uncommon to have to deal with dissemination on multi-layered networks and often finding the source of said propagation can be a crucial task. In this paper we tackle this exact problem with a maximum likelihood approach…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-12-04 Robert Paluch , Łukasz G. Gajewski , K. Suchecki , Janusz A. Hołyst

We consider the problem of locating the source of a network cascade, given a noisy time-series of network data. Initially, the cascade starts with one unknown, affected vertex and spreads deterministically at each time step. The goal is to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-22 Anirudh Sridhar , H. Vincent Poor

Recent work has attempted to use whole-genome sequence data from pathogens to reconstruct the transmission trees linking infectors and infectees in outbreaks. However, transmission trees from one outbreak do not generalize to future…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2023-10-24 Eben Kenah , Tom Britton , M. Elizabeth Halloran , Ira M. Longini

This paper deals with the statistical signal pro- cessing over graphs for tracking infection diffusion in social networks. Infection (or Information) diffusion is modeled using the Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible (SIS) model. Mean field…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-11-01 Vikram Krishnamurthy , Sujay Bhatt , Tavis Pedersen