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Probabilistic Bisection Algorithm performs root finding based on knowledge acquired from noisy oracle responses. We consider the generalized PBA setting (G-PBA) where the statistical distribution of the oracle is unknown and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-03 Sergio Rodriguez , Mike Ludkovski

The probabilistic bisection algorithm (PBA) solves a class of stochastic root-finding problems in one dimension by successively updating a prior belief on the location of the root based on noisy responses to queries at chosen points. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-12-14 Peter I. Frazier , Shane G. Henderson , Rolf Waeber

Motivated by the goal of improving the efficiency of small sample design, we propose a novel Bayesian stochastic approximation method to estimate the root of a regression function. The method features adaptive local modelling and…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-05-08 Jin Xu , Cui Xiong , Rongji Mu

We present a novel distributed probabilistic bisection algorithm using social learning with application to target localization. Each agent in the network first constructs a query about the target based on its local information and obtains a…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-12-30 Athanasios Tsiligkaridis , Theodoros Tsiligkaridis

We propose a version of WalkSAT algorithm, named as BetaWalkSAT. This method uses probabilistic reasoning for biasing the starting state of the local search algorithm. Beta distribution is used to model the belief over boolean values of the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-12-05 Reazul Hasan Russel

The hierarchical and recursive expressive capability of rooted trees is applicable to represent statistical models in various areas, such as data compression, image processing, and machine learning. On the other hand, such hierarchical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-25 Yuta Nakahara , Shota Saito , Akira Kamatsuka , Toshiyasu Matsushima

Probability estimation is one of the fundamental tasks in statistics and machine learning. However, standard methods for probability estimation on discrete objects do not handle object structure in a satisfactory manner. In this paper, we…

Applications · Statistics 2018-11-06 Cheng Zhang , Frederick A. Matsen

The posterior in probabilistic programs with stochastic support decomposes as a weighted sum of the local posterior distributions associated with each possible program path. We show that making predictions with this full posterior…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-15 Tim Reichelt , Luke Ong , Tom Rainforth

Approximate Bayesian Computation is a family of likelihood-free inference techniques that are well-suited to models defined in terms of a stochastic generating mechanism. In a nutshell, Approximate Bayesian Computation proceeds by computing…

Computation · Statistics 2010-07-28 Michael Blum

Reinforcement learning (RL) aims to find an optimal policy by interaction with an environment. Consequently, learning complex behavior requires a vast number of samples, which can be prohibitive in practice. Nevertheless, instead of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-23 Sarah Müller , Alexander von Rohr , Sebastian Trimpe

We introduce Sequential Probability Ratio Bisection (SPRB), a novel stochastic approximation algorithm that adapts to the local behavior of the (regression) function of interest around its root. We establish theoretical guarantees for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-26 Yue Yu , Moulinath Banerjee , Ya'acov Ritov

When collaborating with an AI system, we need to assess when to trust its recommendations. If we mistakenly trust it in regions where it is likely to err, catastrophic failures may occur, hence the need for Bayesian approaches for…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-02-23 Federico Cerutti , Lance M. Kaplan , Angelika Kimmig , Murat Sensoy

Probe-level models have led to improved performance in microarray studies but the various sources of probe-level contamination are still poorly understood. Data-driven analysis of probe performance can be used to quantify the uncertainty in…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2013-04-09 Leo Lahti , Laura L. Elo , Tero Aittokallio , Samuel Kaski

It has recently been shown that many of the existing quasi-Newton algorithms can be formulated as learning algorithms, capable of learning local models of the cost functions. Importantly, this understanding allows us to safely start…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-04-06 Adrian G. Wills , Thomas B. Schön

Bayesian optimization devolves the global optimization of a costly objective function to the global optimization of a sequence of acquisition functions. This inner-loop optimization can be catastrophically difficult if it involves posterior…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-02 Taiwo A. Adebiyi , Bach Do , Ruda Zhang

The Poisson compound decision problem is a long-standing problem in statistics, where empirical Bayes methodologies are commonly used to estimate Poisson's means in static or batch domains. In this paper, we study the Poisson compound…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-10 Stefano Favaro , Sandra Fortini

A quality-Bayesian approach, combining the direct sampling method and the Bayesian inversion, is proposed to reconstruct the locations and intensities of the unknown acoustic sources using partial data. First, we extend the direct sampling…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-04-10 Zhaoxing Li , Yanfang Liu , Jiguang Sun , Liwei Xu

We consider Bayesian algorithm execution (BAX), a framework for efficiently selecting evaluation points of an expensive function to infer a property of interest encoded as the output of a base algorithm. Since the base algorithm typically…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-29 Chu Xin Cheng , Raul Astudillo , Thomas Desautels , Yisong Yue

We develop a likelihood methodology which can be used to search for evidence of burst repetition in the BATSE catalog, and to study the properties of the repetition signal. We use a simplified model of burst repetition in which a number…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-10-28 Carlo Graziani , Donald Q. Lamb

We revisit random search for stochastic optimization, where only noisy function evaluations are available. We show that the method works under weaker smoothness assumptions than previously considered, and that stronger assumptions enable…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-19 El Mahdi Chayti , Taha El Bakkali El Kadi , Omar Saadi , Martin Jaggi
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