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Related papers: Identifying Coherent Anomalies in Multi-Scale Spat…

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Detecting anomalies in time series data is a challenging task with broad relevance in many applications. Existing methods work effectively only under idealized conditions, typically focusing on point anomalies or assuming a constant…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-01 Yiyin Zhang , Florian Pein , Idris Eckley

We consider daily rainfall observations at 32 stations in the province of North Holland (the Netherlands) during 30 years. Let $T$ be the total rainfall in this area on one day. An important question is: what is the amount of rainfall $T$…

Applications · Statistics 2008-07-28 T. A. Buishand , L. de Haan , C. Zhou

Temporal anomaly detection looks for irregularities over space-time. Unsupervised temporal models employed thus far typically work on sequences of feature vectors, and much less on temporal multiway data. We focus our investigation on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-22 Duc Nguyen , Phuoc Nguyen , Kien Do , Santu Rana , Sunil Gupta , Truyen Tran

Statistical methods are required to evaluate and quantify the uncertainty in environmental processes, such as land and sea surface temperature, in a changing climate. Typically, annual harmonics are used to characterize the variation in the…

Applications · Statistics 2020-03-17 Joshua S. North , Erin M. Schliep , Christopher K. Wikle

Spatial association measures for univariate static spatial data are widely used. When the data is in the form of a collection of spatial vectors with the same temporal domain of interest, we construct a measure of similarity between the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-26 Divya Kappara , Arup Bose , Madhuchhanda Bhattacharjee

Downscaling is necessary to generate high-resolution observation data to validate the climate model forecast or monitor rainfall at the micro-regional level operationally. Dynamical and statistical downscaling models are often used to get…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-02-28 Bipin Kumar , Rajib Chattopadhyay , Manmeet Singh , Niraj Chaudhari , Karthik Kodari , Amit Barve

Modeling a precipitation field is challenging due to its intermittent and highly scale-dependent nature. Motivated by the features of high-frequency precipitation data from a network of rain gauges, we propose a threshold space-time $t$…

Applications · Statistics 2016-02-10 Ying Sun , Michael L. Stein

Spatial time series (STS) data are fundamental to climate science, yet conventional approaches often conflate temporal co-evolution with genuine spatial dependence, obscuring subtle but critical climatic anomalies. We introduce a Random…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-10 Madhuchhanda Bhattacharjee , Arup Bose

Classical anomaly detection is principally concerned with point-based anomalies, anomalies that occur at a single data point. In this paper, we present a new mathematical model to express range-based anomalies, anomalies that occur over a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-02-13 Tae Jun Lee , Justin Gottschlich , Nesime Tatbul , Eric Metcalf , Stan Zdonik

We develop a method for analyzing spatial and spatiotemporal anomalies in geospatial data using topological data analysis (TDA). To do this, we use persistent homology (PH), which allows one to algorithmically detect geometric voids in a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-03-01 Abigail Hickok , Deanna Needell , Mason A. Porter

Google uses continuous streams of data from industry partners in order to deliver accurate results to users. Unexpected drops in traffic can be an indication of an underlying issue and may be an early warning that remedial action may be…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-08-15 Dominique T. Shipmon , Jason M. Gurevitch , Paolo M. Piselli , Stephen T. Edwards

In order to reach the supply/demand balance, electricity providers need to predict the demand and production of electricity at different time scales. This implies the need of modeling weather variables such as temperature, wind speed, solar…

Applications · Statistics 2017-10-24 Augustin Touron

A new approach for evaluating time-trends in extreme values accounting also for spatial dependence is proposed. Based on exceedances over a space-time threshold, estimators for a trend function and for extreme value parameters are given,…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-07-17 Ana Ferreira , Petra Friederichs , Laurens de Haan , Cláudia Neves , Martin Schlather

This paper investigates the modeling of an important class of degradation data, which are collected from a spatial domain over time; for example, the surface quality degradation. Like many existing time-dependent stochastic degradation…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-29 Xiao Liu , Kyongmin Yeo , Jayant Kalagnanam

Atmospheric flows exhibit fluctuations of all scales (space -time) ranging from turbulence (millimeters-seconds) to climate (thousands of kilometers-years). The apparently random fluctuations however exhibit long-range spatio-temporal…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-09-25 Suvarna Fadnavis , A. M. Selvam

Spatio-temporal covariances are important for describing the spatio-temporal variability of underlying random processes in geostatistical data. For second-order stationary processes, there exist subclasses of covariance functions that…

Applications · Statistics 2017-05-05 Huang Huang , Ying Sun

In this paper, the complexities in the relationship between rainfall and sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies during the winter monsoon (November-January) over India were evaluated statistically using scatter plot matrices and…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2010-09-28 Goutami Chattopadhyay , Surajit Chattopadhyay , Rajni Jain

We investigate the conditions under which cosmological variations in physical `constants' and scalar fields are detectable on the surface of local gravitationally-bound systems, such as planets, in non-spherically symmetric background…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2011-07-19 Douglas J. Shaw , John D. Barrow

In this work, long-term spatiotemporal changes in rainfall are analysed and evaluated using whole-year data from Rajasthan, India, at the meteorological divisional level. In order to determine how the rainfall pattern has changed over the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-11-17 Priti Kaushik , Randhir Singh Baghel

Traffic time series forecasting is challenging due to complex spatio-temporal dynamics time series from different locations often have distinct patterns; and for the same time series, patterns may vary across time, where, for example, there…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-06 Razvan-Gabriel Cirstea , Bin Yang , Chenjuan Guo , Tung Kieu , Shirui Pan