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The event of large losses plays an important role in credit risk. As these large losses are typically rare, and portfolios usually consist of a large number of positions, large deviation theory is the natural tool to analyze the tail…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-03 Vincent Leijdekker , Michel Mandjes , Peter Spreij

We study the short-time behavior of the probability distribution $\mathcal{P}(H,t)$ of the surface height $h(x=0,t)=H$ in the Kardar-Parisi-Zhang (KPZ) equation in $1+1$ dimension. The process starts from a stationary interface: $h(x,t=0)$…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-09-29 Michael Janas , Alex Kamenev , Baruch Meerson

We study Donsker-Watanabe's delta functions associated with strongly hypoelliptic diffusion processes indexed by a small parameter. They are finite Borel measures on the Wiener space and admit a rough path lift. Our main result is a large…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-01-12 Yuzuru Inahama

The dynamics of polymers in a random smooth flow is investigated in the framework of the Hookean dumbbell model. The analytical expression of the time-dependent probability density function of polymer elongation is derived explicitly for a…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-11-10 A. Celani , S. Musacchio , D. Vincenzi

Gradient compression has surfaced as a key technique to address the challenge of communication efficiency in distributed learning. In distributed deep learning, however, it is observed that gradient distributions are heavy-tailed, with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-07 Guangfeng Yan , Tan Li , Yuanzhang Xiao , Hanxu Hou , Linqi Song

We consider the optimal paths in a $d$-dimensional lattice, where the bonds have isotropically correlated random weights. These paths can be interpreted as the ground state configuration of a simplified polymer model in a random potential.…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-07 Roland Schorr , Heiko Rieger

Consider a random walk in random environment on a supercritical Galton--Watson tree, and let $\tau_n$ be the hitting time of generation $n$. The paper presents a large deviation principle for $\tau_n/n$, both in quenched and annealed cases.…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-01-11 Elie Aidekon

We introduce new probabilistic arguments to derive optimal-order central moment bounds in planar directed last-passage percolation. Our technique is based on couplings with the increment-stationary variants of the model, and is presented in…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-04 Elnur Emrah , Nicos Georgiou , Janosch Ortmann

In line with Pomeau's conjecture about the relevance of directed percolation (DP) to turbulence onset/decay in wall-bounded flows, we propose a minimal stochastic model dedicated to the interpretation of the spatially intermittent regimes…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2020-12-18 Paul Manneville , Masaki Shimizu

We investigate the density large deviation function for a multidimensional conservation law in the vanishing viscosity limit, when the probability concentrates on weak solutions of a hyperbolic conservation law conservation law. When the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-03-14 Julien Barré , Cedric Bernardin , Raphaël Chetrite

For regularized estimation, the upper tail behavior of the random Lipschitz coefficient associated with empirical loss functions is known to play an important role in the error bound of Lasso for high dimensional generalized linear models.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-09-07 Zhiyi Chi

Enumeration of various types of lattice polygons and in particular polyominoes is of primary importance in many machine learning, pattern recognition, and geometric analysis problems. In this work, we develop a large deviation principle for…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-04-20 Ilya Soloveychik , Vahid Tarokh

The universality of the directed polymer model and the analogous KPZ equation is supported by numerical simulations using non-Gaussian random probability distributions in two, three and four dimensions. It is shown that although in the…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2016-08-31 Ehud Perlsman , Shlomo Havlin

We study the empirical version of halfspace depths with the objective of establishing a connection between the rates of convergence and the tail behaviour of the corresponding underlying distributions. The intricate interplay between the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-03 Sibsankar Singha , Marie Kratz , Sreekar Vadlamani

The upper tail problem in the Erd\H{o}s--R\'enyi random graph $G\sim\mathcal{G}_{n,p}$ asks to estimate the probability that the number of copies of a graph $H$ in $G$ exceeds its expectation by a factor $1+\delta$. Chatterjee and Dembo…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2019-11-12 Bhaswar B. Bhattacharya , Shirshendu Ganguly , Eyal Lubetzky , Yufei Zhao

This article discusses modelling of the tail of a multivariate distribution function by means of a large deviation principle (LDP), and its application to the estimation of the probability of a multivariate extreme event from a sample of n…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-02-23 Cees de Valk

Macroscopic properties of heterogeneous media are frequently modelled by regular lattice models, which are based on a relatively small basic cluster of lattice sites. Here, we extend one of such models to any cluster's size kxk. We also…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-03-24 W. Olchawa , R. Wiśniowski , D. Frączek , R. Piasecki

It is well-known that large deviations of random walks driven by independent and identically distributed heavy-tailed random variables are governed by the so-called principle of one large jump. We note that further subtleties hold for such…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-30 Harald Bernhard , Bikramjit Das

We study the asymptotic behavior of the principal eigenvector and eigenvalue of the random conductance Laplacian in a large domain of $\mathbb{Z}^d$ ($d\geq 2$) with zero Dirichlet condition. We assume that the conductances $w$ are positive…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-19 Franziska Flegel

We discuss the adsorption of semiflexible polymers to a planar attractive wall and focus on the questions of the adsorption threshold for polymers of {\it finite} length and their loop and tail distributions using both Monte-Carlo…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2017-07-19 Tobias Alexander Kampmann , Jan Kierfeld
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