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We propose a novel iterative algorithm for estimating a deterministic but unknown parameter vector in the presence of model uncertainties. This iterative algorithm is based on a system model where an overall noise term describes both, the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-11-27 Oliver Lang , Michael Lunglmayr , Mario Huemer

In experiments to estimate parameters of a parametric model, Bayesian experiment design allows measurement settings to be chosen based on utility, which is the predicted improvement of parameter distributions due to modeled measurement…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-26 Robert D. McMichael , Sean M. Blakley

Stochastic processes offer a flexible mathematical formalism to model and reason about systems. Most analysis tools, however, start from the premises that models are fully specified, so that any parameters controlling the system's dynamics…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-01-11 Luca Bortolussi , Guido Sanguinetti

Manifold learning is a hot research topic in the field of computer science and has many applications in the real world. A main drawback of manifold learning methods is, however, that there is no explicit mappings from the input data…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2010-01-18 Hong Qiao , Peng Zhang , Di Wang , Bo Zhang

Making good predictions of a physical system using a computer code requires the inputs to be carefully specified. Some of these inputs called control variables have to reproduce physical conditions whereas other inputs, called parameters,…

Computation · Statistics 2018-04-04 Guillaume Damblin , Pierre Barbillon , Merlin Keller , Alberto Pasanisi , Eric Parent

This paper explores learning emulators for parameter estimation with uncertainty estimation of high-dimensional dynamical systems. We assume access to a computationally complex simulator that inputs a candidate parameter and outputs a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-04 Ruoxi Jiang , Rebecca Willett

Molecular simulations and biophysical experiments can be used to provide independent and complementary insights into the molecular origin of biological processes. A particularly useful strategy is to use molecular simulations as a modelling…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2019-12-10 Simone Orioli , Andreas Haahr Larsen , Sandro Bottaro , Kresten Lindorff-Larsen

Designing physical artifacts that serve a purpose - such as tools and other functional structures - is central to engineering as well as everyday human behavior. Though automating design has tremendous promise, general-purpose methods do…

Researchers develop models to explain the unknowns. These models typically involve parameters that capture tangible quantities, the estimation of which is desired. Parameter identifiability investigates the recoverability of the unknown…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-07-01 Anuththara Sarathchandra , Azadeh Aghaeeyan , Pouria Ramazi

An understanding of how input parameter uncertainty in the numerical simulation of physical models leads to simulation output uncertainty is a challenging task. Common methods for quantifying output uncertainty, such as performing a grid or…

Materials Science · Physics 2023-09-25 Samuel G. McCallum , James E. Lerpiniére , Kjeld O. Jensen , Alison B. Walker

The experimental design for a generalized linear model (GLM) is important but challenging since the design criterion often depends on model specification including the link function, the linear predictor, and the unknown regression…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-23 Yiou Li , Xinwei Deng

We present a novel view of nonlinear manifold learning using derivative-free optimization techniques. Specifically, we propose an extension of the classical multi-dimensional scaling (MDS) method, where instead of performing gradient…

High-fidelity physics simulations are powerful tools in the design and optimization of charged particle accelerators. However, the computational burden of these simulations often limits their use in practice for design optimization and…

Accelerator Physics · Physics 2020-04-15 Auralee Edelen , Nicole Neveu , Yannick Huber , Mattias Frey , Christopher Mayes , Andreas Adelmann

In this paper, a simple heuristic is proposed for the design of uncertainty aware predictive controllers for nonlinear models involving uncertain parameters. The method relies on Machine Learning-based approximation of ideal deterministic…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-02-05 Mazen Alamir

Though many safety-critical software systems use floating point to represent real-world input and output, programmers usually have idealized versions in mind that compute with real numbers. Significant deviations from the ideal can cause…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2018-05-02 Benjamin Sherman , Luke Sciarappa , Adam Chlipala , Michael Carbin

Modeling has become a widespread, useful tool in mathematics applied to diverse fields, from physics to economics to biomedicine. Practitioners of modeling may use algebraic or differential equations, to the elements of which they attribute…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2025-11-07 Andrea De Gaetano

The coordinate-exchange algorithm is commonly used to construct optimal experimental designs. Every execution of the coordinate-exchange algorithm produces a new, seemingly random, order of the selected design points. In this short…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-24 Arno Strouwen , Peter Goos

Optimizing the design of complex systems requires navigating interdependent decisions, heterogeneous components, and multiple objectives. Our monotone theory of co-design offers a compositional framework for addressing this challenge,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-08-13 Yujun Huang , Marius Furter , Gioele Zardini

For nonlinear reduced-order models, especially for those with non-polynomial nonlinearities, the computational complexity still depends on the dimension of the original dynamical system. As a result, the reduced-order model loses its…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2013-04-30 Zhu Wang

Systems with both quantitative and qualitative responses are widely encountered in many applications. Design of experiment methods are needed when experiments are conducted to study such systems. Classic experimental design methods are…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-24 Lulu Kang , Xinwei Deng , Ran Jin
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