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Adopting a zonal structure of electricity market requires specification of zones' borders. One of the approaches to identify zones is based on clustering of Locational Marginal Prices (LMP). The purpose of the paper is twofold: (i) we…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2013-10-21 Karol Wawrzyniak , Grzegorz Orynczak , Michal Klos , Aneta Goska , Marcin Jakubek

We propose a new structural model that can compute the electricity spot and forward prices in two coupled markets with limited interconnection and multiple fuels. We choose a structural approach in order to represent some key…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-04-21 Clemence Alasseur , Olivier Feron

Optimizing the total cost of power systems is a common tool for network operation and planning. Besides valuable information about how to run and possibly expand a power system, the optimization provides an optimal Locational Marginal Price…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-03-18 Fabian Hofmann , Markus Schlott

The potential of recovering the topology of a grid using solely publicly available market data is explored here. In contemporary whole-sale electricity markets, real-time prices are typically determined by solving the network-constrained…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-02-17 Vassilis Kekatos , Georgios B. Giannakis , Ross Baldick

The implementation of electricity markets based on locational marginal pricing in a multi-settlement process has allowed wholesale competition, with pricing mechanisms that incentivize the optimal allocation of generation, transmission, and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-12-29 Veronica R. Bosquezfoti , Andrew L. Liu

This paper analyzes stability conditions for wholesale electricity markets under real-time retail pricing and realistic consumption models with memory, which explicitly take into account previous electricity prices and consumption levels.…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-02-21 Datong P. Zhou , Mardavij Roozbehani , Munther A. Dahleh , Claire J. Tomlin

The smart grid vision entails advanced information technology and data analytics to enhance the efficiency, sustainability, and economics of the power grid infrastructure. Aligned to this end, modern statistical learning tools are leveraged…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-06-17 Vassilis Kekatos , Yu Zhang , Georgios B. Giannakis

Locational Marginal Price (LMP) is a dual variable associated with supply-demand matching and represents the cost of delivering power to a particular location if the load at that location increases. In recent times it become more volatile…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-11-07 Shantanu Chakraborty , Remco Verzijlbergh , Milos Cvetkovic , Kyri Baker , Zofia Lukszo

Electricity market price predictions enable energy market participants to shape their consumption or supply while meeting their economic and environmental objectives. By utilizing the basic properties of the supply-demand matching process…

Applications · Statistics 2019-06-11 Ana Radovanovic , Tommaso Nesti , Bokan Chen

In this paper we develop a novel method of wholesale electricity market modeling. Our optimization-based model decomposes wholesale supply and demand curves into buy and sell orders of individual market participants. In doing so, the model…

General Economics · Economics 2019-11-18 Sergei Kulakov , Florian Ziel

This paper investigates large fluctuations of Locational Marginal Prices (LMPs) in wholesale energy markets caused by volatile renewable generation profiles. Specifically, we study events of the form $\mathbb{P} \Big ( \mathbf{LMP} \notin…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-07-07 Tommaso Nesti , John Moriarty , Alessandro Zocca , Bert Zwart

The availability of accurate day-ahead electricity price forecasts is pivotal for electricity market participants. In the context of trade liberalisation and market harmonisation in the European markets, accurate price forecasting becomes…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-20 Wei Li , Denis Mike Becker

Adopting a zonal structure of electricity market requires specification of zones' borders. In this paper we use social welfare as the measure to assess quality of various zonal divisions. The social welfare is calculated by Market Coupling…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2014-05-06 Grzegorz Orynczak , Marcin Jakubek , Karol Wawrzyniak , Michal Klos

In this paper, statistical machine learning algorithms, as well as deep neural networks, are used to predict the values of the price gap between day-ahead and real-time electricity markets. Several exogenous features are collected and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-12-24 Nika Nizharadze , Arash Farokhi Soofi , Saeed D. Manshadi

In recent years, there has been a significant focus on advancing the next generation of power systems. Despite these efforts, persistent challenges revolve around addressing the operational impact of uncertainty on predicted data,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-03-15 Hien Thanh Doan , Minsoo Kim , Keunju Song , Hongseok Kim

Zonal pricing is a well-suited mechanism to incentivize grid-supporting behavior of profit-maximizing producers and consumers operating on a large-scale power system. In zonal electricity markets, local system operators create individual…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-06-22 Lukas Kölsch , Lena Zellmann , Rishabh Vyas , Martin Pfeifer , Sören Hohmann

This paper deals with the market-bidding problem of a cluster of price-responsive consumers of electricity. We develop an inverse optimization scheme that, recast as a bilevel programming problem, uses price-consumption data to estimate the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-11-04 Javier Saez-Gallego , Juan M. Morales , Marco Zugno , Henrik Madsen

We study the problem of forecasting and optimally trading day-ahead versus real-time (DART) price spreads in U.S. wholesale electricity markets. Building on the framework of Galarneau-Vincent et al., we extend spike prediction from a single…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-20 Emma Hubert , Dimitrios Lolas , Ronnie Sircar

Tie-line scheduling in multi-area power systems in the US largely proceeds through a market-based mechanism called Coordinated Transaction Scheduling (CTS). We analyze this market mechanism through a game-theoretic lens. Our analysis…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2021-02-02 Mariola Ndrio , Subhonmesh Bose , Lang Tong , Ye Guo

The conventional practice of retail electric utilities is to aggregate customers geographically. The utility purchases electricity for its customers via bulk transactions on the wholesale market, and it passes these costs along to its…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-08-08 Siddharth Patel , Raffi Sevlian , Baosen Zhang , Ram Rajagopal
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