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We study the forgetting properties of the particle filter when its state - the collection of particles - is regarded as a Markov chain. Under a strong mixing assumption on the particle filter's underlying Feynman-Kac model, we find that the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-07 Joona Karjalainen , Anthony Lee , Sumeetpal S. Singh , Matti Vihola

We present a novel sampling-based method for estimating probabilities of rare or failure events. Our approach is founded on the Ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) for inverse problems. Therefore, we reformulate the rare event problem as an…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-12-15 Fabian Wagner , Iason Papaioannou , Elisabeth Ullmann

The filtering distribution in hidden Markov models evolves according to the law of a mean-field model in state-observation space. The ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) approximates this mean-field model with an ensemble of interacting…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-25 Eviatar Bach , Ricardo Baptista , Edoardo Calvello , Bohan Chen , Andrew Stuart

We analyze the convergence aspects of the invariant extended Kalman filter (IEKF), when the latter is used as a deterministic non-linear observer on Lie groups, for continuous-time systems with discrete observations. One of the main…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-10-20 Axel Barrau , Silvère Bonnabel

Learning governing equations from data is central to understanding the behavior of physical systems across diverse scientific disciplines, including physics, biology, and engineering. The Sindy algorithm has proven effective in leveraging…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-17 Gianluigi Pillonetto , Akram Yazdani , Aleksandr Aravkin

We consider the problem of randomly choosing the sensors of a linear time-invariant dynamical system subject to process and measurement noise. We sample the sensors independently and from the same distribution. We measure the performance of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-03-23 Christopher I. Calle , Shaunak D. Bopardikar

The Ensemble Kalman filter is a sophisticated and powerful data assimilation method for filtering high dimensional problems arising in fluid mechanics and geophysical sciences. This Monte Carlo method can be interpreted as a mean-field…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-10-04 Pierre Del Moral , Julian Tugaut

The real-world applications in signal processing generally involve estimating the system state or parameters in nonlinear, non-Gaussian dynamic systems. The estimation problem may get even more challenging when there are physical…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-03-15 Nesrine Amor , Ghulam Rasool , Nidhal C. Bouaynaya

Bootstrap particle filter (BPF) is the corner stone of many popular algorithms used for solving inference problems involving time series that are observed through noisy measurements in a non-linear and non-Gaussian context. The long term…

Computation · Statistics 2018-12-05 Kari Heine , Nick Whiteley , A. Taylan Cemgil

This paper is on learning the Kalman gain by policy optimization method. Firstly, we reformulate the finite-horizon Kalman filter as a policy optimization problem of the dual system. Secondly, we obtain the global linear convergence of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-10-30 Haoran Li , Yuan-Hua Ni

Stochastic models in biomolecular contexts can have a state-dependent process noise covariance. The choice of the process noise covariance is an important parameter in the design of a Kalman Filter for state estimation and the theoretical…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-08-05 Krishan Kumar Gola , Shaunak Sen

Stochastic filtering is defined as the estimation of a partially observed dynamical system. A massive scientific and computational effort is dedicated to the development of numerical methods for approximating the solution of the filtering…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-06-04 Dan Crisan , Kai Li

Recent years have bore witness to the proliferation of distributed filtering techniques, where a collection of agents communicating over an ad-hoc network aim to collaboratively estimate and track the state of a system. These techniques…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-02-23 Sayed Pouria Talebi , Stefan Werner , Vijay Gupta , Yih-Fang Huang

Fueled by applications in sensor networks, these years have witnessed a surge of interest in distributed estimation and filtering. A new approach is hereby proposed for the Distributed Kalman Filter (DKF) by integrating a local covariance…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-03-17 Ye Yuan , Ling Shi , Jun Liu , Zhiyong Chen , Hai-Tao Zhang , Jorge Goncalves

Estimating the statistics of the state of a dynamical system, from partial and noisy observations, is both mathematically challenging and finds wide application. Furthermore, the applications are of great societal importance, including…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-06-03 J. A. Carrillo , F. Hoffmann , A. M. Stuart , U. Vaes

A stochastic filter uses a series of measurements over time to produce estimates of unknown variables based on a dynamic model. For a quantum system, such an algorithm is provided by a quantum filter, which is also known as a stochastic…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2017-07-25 Muhammad F. Emzir , Matthew J. Woolley , Ian R. Petersen

The optimal fusion of estimates in a Distributed Kalman Filter (DKF) requires tracking of the complete network error covariance, problematic in terms of memory and communication. A scalable alternative is to fuse estimates under unknown…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-06-14 Eduardo Sebastián , Eduardo Montijano , Carlos Sagüés

This paper is concerned with the linear/nonlinear Kalman-like filtering problem under binary sensors. Since innovation represents new information in the sensor measurement and serves to correct the prediction for the Kalman-like filter…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-10-28 Zhongyao Hu , Bo Chen , Yuchen Zhang , Li Yu

The Kalman filter provides an optimal estimation for a linear system with Gaussian noise. However when the noises are non-Gaussian in nature, its performance deteriorates rapidly. For non-Gaussian noises, maximum correntropy Kalman filter…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-02-07 Joydeb Saha , Shovan Bhaumik

We consider the problem of filtering dynamical systems, possibly stochastic, using observations of statistics. Thus, the computational task is to estimate a time-evolving density $\rho(v, t)$ given noisy observations of the true density…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-12 Eviatar Bach , Tim Colonius , Isabel Scherl , Andrew Stuart