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We consider the filtering of continuous-time finite-state hidden Markov models, where the rate and observation matrices depend on unknown time-dependent parameters, for which no prior or stochastic model is available. We quantify and…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-03-17 Andrew L. Allan

It is well-known that adaptive homodyne estimation of continuously varying optical phase provides superior accuracy in the phase estimate as compared to adaptive or non-adaptive static estimation. However, most phase estimation schemes rely…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-09-14 Shibdas Roy , Ian R. Petersen , Elanor H. Huntington

In this paper, we consider adaptive estimation of an unknown planar compact, convex set from noisy measurements of its support function on a uniform grid. Both the problem of estimating the support function at a point and that of estimating…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-08-18 Tony Cai , Adityanand Guntuboyina , Yuting Wei

A general non-Gaussian semiparametric model is adopted to characterize the measurement vectors, i.e.\ the \textit{snapshots}, collected by a linear array. Moreover, the recently derived \textit{robust semiparametric efficient} $R$-estimator…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-04-29 Stefano Fortunati , Alexandre Renaux , Frédéric Pascal

In one-dimensional density estimation on i.i.d. observations we suggest an adaptive cross-validation technique for the selection of a kernel estimator. This estimator is both asymptotic MISE-efficient with respect to the monotone oracle,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Clementine Dalelane

This paper investigates asymptotic properties of algorithms that can be viewed as robust analogues of the classical empirical risk minimization. These strategies are based on replacing the usual empirical average by a robust proxy of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-06-01 Stanislav Minsker

We propose an outlier robust multivariate time series model which can be used for detecting previously unseen anomalous sounds based on noisy training data. The presented approach doesn't assume the presence of labeled anomalies in the…

Sound · Computer Science 2022-02-07 Wo Jae Lee , Karim Helwani , Arvindh Krishnaswamy , Srikanth Tenneti

We propose an estimation procedure for linear functionals based on Gaussian model selection techniques. We show that the procedure is adaptive, and we give a non asymptotic oracle inequality for the risk of the selected estimator with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-10-27 Béatrice Laurent , Carenne Ludeña , Clémentine Prieur

The consistency of doubly robust estimators relies on consistent estimation of at least one of two nuisance regression parameters. In moderate to large dimensions, the use of flexible data-adaptive regression estimators may aid in achieving…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-30 Iván Díaz

In this work, we study the problem of aggregating a finite number of predictors for nonstationary sub-linear processes. We provide oracle inequalities relying essentially on three ingredients: (1) a uniform bound of the $\ell^1$ norm of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-11-18 Christophe Giraud , François Roueff , Andres Sanchez-Perez

We consider the nonparametric regression with a random design model, and we are interested in the adaptive estimation of the regression at a point $x\_0$ where the design is degenerate. When the design density is $\beta$-regularly varying…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Stéphane Gaiffas

Semi-functional linear regression models postulate a linear relationship between a scalar response and a functional covariate, and also include a non-parametric component involving a univariate explanatory variable. It is of practical…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-08 Graciela Boente , Matias Salibian-Barrera , Pablo Vena

In addition to high accuracy, robustness is becoming increasingly important for machine learning models in various applications. Recently, much research has been devoted to improving the model robustness by training with noise…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-30 Kun-Peng Ning , Lue Tao , Songcan Chen , Sheng-Jun Huang

Our focus is on robust recovery algorithms in statistical linear inverse problem. We consider two recovery routines - the much studied linear estimate originating from Kuks and Olman [42] and polyhedral estimate introduced in [37]. It was…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-09-14 Yannis Bekri , Anatoli Juditsky , Arkadi Nemirovski

The paper deals with asymptotic properties of the adaptive procedure proposed in the author paper (2007) for estimation of unknown nonparametric regression. We prove that this procedure is asymptotically efficient for a quadratic risk. It…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Leonid Galtchouk , Serguey Pergamenshchikov

Dynamical systems can confront one of two extreme types of disturbances: persistent zero-mean independent noise, and sparse nonzero-mean adversarial attacks, depending on the specific scenario being modeled. While mean-based estimators like…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-31 Jihun Kim , Javad Lavaei

We observe a $n$-sample, the distribution of which is assumed to belong, or at least to be close enough, to a given mixture model. We propose an estimator of this distribution that belongs to our model and possesses some robustness…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-06 Alexandre Lecestre

A nonhomogeneous hidden semi-Markov model is proposed to segment toroidal time series according to a finite number of latent regimes and, simultaneously, estimate the influence of time-varying covariates on the process' survival under each…

Applications · Statistics 2023-12-25 Francesco Lagona , Marco Mingione

Nonlinear vector autoregression (NVAR) and reservoir computing (RC) have shown promise in forecasting chaotic dynamical systems, such as the Lorenz-63 model and El Nino-Southern Oscillation. However, their reliance on fixed nonlinear…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-02 Azimov Sherkhon , Susana Lopez-Moreno , Eric Dolores-Cuenca , Sieun Lee , Sangil Kim

Structural failure time models are causal models for estimating the effect of time-varying treatments on a survival outcome. G-estimation and artificial censoring have been proposed to estimate the model parameters in the presence of…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-19 Shu Yang , Karen Pieper , Frank Cools