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We address the problem of detection and estimation of one or two change-points in the mean of a series of random variables. We use the formalism of set estimation in regression: To each point of a design is attached a binary label that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-09-07 Victor-Emmanuel Brunel

We consider a model where a signal (discrete or continuous) is observed with an additive Gaussian noise process. The signal is issued from a linear combination of a finite but increasing number of translated features. The features are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-23 Cristina Butucea , Jean-François Delmas , Anne Dutfoy , Clément Hardy

The stochastic block model is a popular tool for detecting community structures in network data. Detecting the difference between two community structures is an important issue for stochastic block models. However, the two-sample test has…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-21 Kang Fu , Jianwei Hu , Seydou Keita , Hao Liu

We give the first efficient algorithm for learning the structure of an Ising model that tolerates independent failures; that is, each entry of the observed sample is missing with some unknown probability p. Our algorithm matches the…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2019-02-14 Surbhi Goel , Daniel M. Kane , Adam R. Klivans

We study the multivariate nonparametric change point detection problem, where the data are a sequence of independent $p$-dimensional random vectors whose distributions are piecewise-constant with Lipschitz densities changing at unknown…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-26 Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla , Yi Yu , Daren Wang , Alessandro Rinaldo

Changes in the structure of observed social and complex networks' structure can indicate a significant underlying change in an organization, or reflect the response of the network to an external event. Automatic detection of change points…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-02-22 Hadar Miller , Osnat Mokryn

We consider the offline change point detection and localization problem in the context of piecewise stationary networks, where the observable is a finite sequence of networks. We develop algorithms involving some suitably modified CUSUM…

In this paper, we study the effect of dependence on detecting a class of signals in Ising models, where the signals are present in a structured way. Examples include Ising Models on lattices, and Mean-Field type Ising Models…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-11 Nabarun Deb , Rajarshi Mukherjee , Sumit Mukherjee , Ming Yuan

We study the problem of testing, using only a single sample, between mean field distributions (like Curie-Weiss, Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi) and structured Gibbs distributions (like Ising model on sparse graphs and Exponential Random Graphs). Our…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-05-24 Guy Bresler , Dheeraj Nagaraj

Recent attention in quickest change detection in the multi-sensor setting has been on the case where the densities of the observations change at the same instant at all the sensors due to the disruption. In this work, a more general…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-11-18 Vasanthan Raghavan , Venugopal V. Veeravalli

In this paper, we study the information-theoretic limits of learning the structure of Bayesian networks (BNs), on discrete as well as continuous random variables, from a finite number of samples. We show that the minimum number of samples…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-28 Asish Ghoshal , Jean Honorio

In this paper, Bayesian quickest change detection problems with sampling right constraints are considered. Specifically, there is a sequence of random variables whose probability density function will change at an unknown time. The goal is…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2014-07-16 Jun Geng , Erhan Bayraktar , Lifeng Lai

Detection of sparse signals arises in a wide range of modern scientific studies. The focus so far has been mainly on Gaussian mixture models. In this paper, we consider the detection problem under a general sparse mixture model and obtain…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2012-11-13 T. Tony Cai , Yihong Wu

We consider testing for the parameters of Ferromagnetic Ising models. While testing for the presence of possibly sparse magnetizations, we provide a general lower bound of minimax separation rates which yields sharp results in high…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-04 Rajarshi Mukherjee , Gourab Ray

We investigate minimax testing for detecting local signals or linear combinations of such signals when only indirect data is available. Naturally, in the presence of noise, signals that are too small cannot be reliably detected. In a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-21 Markus Pohlmann , Frank Werner , Axel Munk

Graphical models are widely used in scienti fic and engineering research to represent conditional independence structures between random variables. In many controlled experiments, environmental changes or external stimuli can often alter…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-03-19 Bai Zhang , Yue Wang

We provide high-probability sample complexity guarantees for exact structure recovery and accurate predictive learning using noise-corrupted samples from an acyclic (tree-shaped) graphical model. The hidden variables follow a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-18 Konstantinos E. Nikolakakis , Dionysios S. Kalogerias , Anand D. Sarwate

Motivated by change point problems in time series and the detection of textured objects in images, we consider the problem of detecting a piece of a Gaussian Markov random field hidden in white Gaussian noise. We derive minimax lower bounds…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-10-15 Ery Arias-Castro , Sébastien Bubeck , Gábor Lugosi , Nicolas Verzelen

Given a heterogeneous Gaussian sequence model with unknown mean $\theta \in \mathbb R^d$ and known covariance matrix $\Sigma = \operatorname{diag}(\sigma_1^2,\dots, \sigma_d^2)$, we study the signal detection problem against sparse…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-08-03 Julien Chhor , Rajarshi Mukherjee , Subhabrata Sen

We study the problem of online network change point detection. In this setting, a collection of independent Bernoulli networks is collected sequentially, and the underlying distributions change when a change point occurs. The goal is to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-15 Yi Yu , Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla , Daren Wang , Alessandro Rinaldo