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This paper proposes probabilistic conformal prediction (PCP), a predictive inference algorithm that estimates a target variable by a discontinuous predictive set. Given inputs, PCP construct the predictive set based on random samples from…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-22 Zhendong Wang , Ruijiang Gao , Mingzhang Yin , Mingyuan Zhou , David M. Blei

Machine-learning models have demonstrated great success in learning complex patterns that enable them to make predictions about unobserved data. In addition to using models for prediction, the ability to interpret what a model has learned…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-11-15 W. James Murdoch , Chandan Singh , Karl Kumbier , Reza Abbasi-Asl , Bin Yu

Tree-based models have been successfully applied to a wide variety of tasks, including time series forecasting. They are increasingly in demand and widely accepted because of their comparatively high level of interpretability. However, many…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-03 Matthias Jakobs , Amal Saadallah

We emphasize the importance of asking the right question when interpreting the decisions of a learning model. We discuss a natural extension of the theoretical machinery from Janzing et. al. 2020, which answers the question "Why did my…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-11 Debraj Basu

Random forests are a machine learning method used to automatically classify datasets and consist of a multitude of decision trees. While these random forests often have higher performance and generalize better than a single decision tree,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-31 Max Sondag , Christofer Meinecke , Dennis Collaris , Tatiana von Landesberger , Stef van den Elzen

Recent research has recognized interpretability and robustness as essential properties of trustworthy classification. Curiously, a connection between robustness and interpretability was empirically observed, but the theoretical reasoning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-16 Michal Moshkovitz , Yao-Yuan Yang , Kamalika Chaudhuri

We propose and study a method for learning interpretable representations for the task of regression. Features are represented as networks of multi-type expression trees comprised of activation functions common in neural networks in addition…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2019-03-26 William La Cava , Tilak Raj Singh , James Taggart , Srinivas Suri , Jason H. Moore

With the ever-increasing complexity of neural language models, practitioners have turned to methods for understanding the predictions of these models. One of the most well-adopted approaches for model interpretability is feature-based…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-06-10 Muhammad Bilal Zafar , Michele Donini , Dylan Slack , Cédric Archambeau , Sanjiv Das , Krishnaram Kenthapadi

Predictions in the form of sets of probability distributions, so-called credal sets, provide a suitable means to represent a learner's epistemic uncertainty. In this paper, we propose a theoretically grounded approach to credal prediction…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-16 Timo Löhr , Paul Hofman , Felix Mohr , Eyke Hüllermeier

We present a new approach to the global fairness verification of tree-based classifiers. Given a tree-based classifier and a set of sensitive features potentially leading to discrimination, our analysis synthesizes sufficient conditions for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-28 Stefano Calzavara , Lorenzo Cazzaro , Claudio Lucchese , Federico Marcuzzi

Selective inference methods are developed for group lasso estimators for use with a wide class of distributions and loss functions. The method includes the use of exponential family distributions, as well as quasi-likelihood modeling for…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-28 Yiling Huang , Sarah Pirenne , Snigdha Panigrahi , Gerda Claeskens

There exist applications of reinforcement learning like medicine where policies need to be ''interpretable'' by humans. User studies have shown that some policy classes might be more interpretable than others. However, it is costly to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-12 Hector Kohler , Quentin Delfosse , Waris Radji , Riad Akrour , Philippe Preux

We describe a method for predicting a classification of an object given classifications of the objects in the training set, assuming that the pairs object/classification are generated by an i.i.d. process from a continuous probability…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-02-01 Alex Gammerman , Volodya Vovk , Vladimir Vapnik

In this paper, a progressive learning technique for multi-class classification is proposed. This newly developed learning technique is independent of the number of class constraints and it can learn new classes while still retaining the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-01-24 Rajasekar Venkatesan , Meng Joo Er

A desirable property of interpretable models is small size, so that they are easily understandable by humans. This leads to the following challenges: (a) small sizes typically imply diminished accuracy, and (b) bespoke levers provided by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-26 Abhishek Ghose , Balaraman Ravindran

Shapley effects are a particularly interpretable approach to assessing how a function depends on its various inputs. The existing literature contains various estimators for this class of sensitivity indices in the context of nonparametric…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-27 Akira Horiguchi , Matthew T. Pratola

State of the art machine learning algorithms are highly optimized to provide the optimal prediction possible, naturally resulting in complex models. While these models often outperform simpler more interpretable models by order of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-24 Yotam Hechtlinger

We explore the use of class-conditional autoregressive (CA) models to perform image classification on MNIST-10. Autoregressive models assign probability to an entire input by combining probabilities from each individual feature; hence…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-01 Nathan Elazar

Machine learning (ML) has emerged as a powerful tool for tackling complex regression and classification tasks, yet its success often hinges on the quality of training data. This study introduces an ML paradigm inspired by domain knowledge…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-10 Mohsen Rashki

Modern predictive analytics underpinned by machine learning techniques has become a key enabler to the automation of data-driven decision making. In the context of business process management, predictive analytics has been applied to making…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-09 Renuka Sindhgatta , Chun Ouyang , Catarina Moreira