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We develop the methodology and a detailed case study in use of a class of Bayesian predictive synthesis (BPS) models for multivariate time series forecasting. This extends the recently introduced foundational framework of BPS to the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-07 Kenichiro McAlinn , Knut Are Aastveit , Jouchi Nakajima , Mike West

Contextuality, the impossibility of assigning a single random variable to represent the outcomes of the same measurement procedure under different experimental conditions, is a central aspect of quantum mechanics. Thus defined, it appears…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2016-02-17 J. Acacio de Barros , Gary Oas

This survey is focused on certain sequential decision-making problems that involve optimizing over probability functions. We discuss the relevance of these problems for learning and control. The survey is organized around a framework that…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-01-13 Emiland Garrabe , Giovanni Russo

Rather than point estimators, states of a quantum system that represent one's best guess for the given data, we consider optimal regions of estimators. As the natural counterpart of the popular maximum-likelihood point estimator, we…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-06-15 Jiangwei Shang , Hui Khoon Ng , Arun Sehrawat , Xikun Li , Berthold-Georg Englert

In this thesis, I present several results on quantum statistical inference in the following two directions. Firstly, I demonstrate that quantum algorithms can be applied to enhance the computing and training of Gaussian processes (GPs), a…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2018-12-13 Zhikuan Zhao

Nonuniform subsampling methods are effective to reduce computational burden and maintain estimation efficiency for massive data. Existing methods mostly focus on subsampling with replacement due to its high computational efficiency. If the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-06 Jun Yu , HaiYing Wang , Mingyao Ai , Huiming Zhang

Quantum search has emerged as one of the most promising fields in quantum computing. State-of-the-art quantum search algorithms enable the search for specific elements in a distribution by monotonically increasing the density of these…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-01-14 Rodolphe Griset , Ioannis Lavdas , Jiri Guth Jarkovsky

Quantum machine learning with quantum kernels for classification problems is a growing area of research. Recently, quantum kernel alignment techniques that parameterise the kernel have been developed, allowing the kernel to be trained and…

Regardless of the domain, forecasting the future behaviour of a running process instance is a question of interest for decision makers, especially when multiple instances interact. Fostered by the recent advances in machine learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-04 Stefan Hill , David Fitzek , Patrick Delfmann , Carl Corea

Quantum computing is a new field that has recently attracted researchers from a broad range of fields due to its representation power, flexibility and promising results in both speed and scalability. Since 2020, laboratories around the…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-08-30 Gabriel San Martín , Enrique López Droguett

We study the spatio-temporal prediction problem and introduce a novel point-process-based prediction algorithm. Spatio-temporal prediction is extensively studied in Machine Learning literature due to its critical real-life applications such…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-17 Oguzhan Karaahmetoglu , Suleyman S. Kozat

Simultaneous estimation of multiple parameters in quantum metrological models is complicated by factors relating to the (i) existence of a single probe state allowing for optimal sensitivity for all parameters of interest, (ii) existence of…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2019-02-01 Sammy Ragy , Marcin Jarzyna , Rafal Demkowicz-Dobrzanski

Bayesian inference in function space has gained attention due to its robustness against overparameterization in neural networks. However, approximating the infinite-dimensional function space introduces several challenges. In this work, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-23 Sophie Steger , Christian Knoll , Bernhard Klein , Holger Fröning , Franz Pernkopf

Sequential sampling occurs when the entire population is not known in advance and data are obtained one at a time or in groups of units. This manuscript proposes a new algorithm to sequentially select a balanced sample. The algorithm…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-04 Raphaël Jauslin , Bardia Panahbehagh , Yves Tillé

This article proposes an PQR search method for probabilistic objects. The main idea of our method is to use a strategy called \textit{pre-approximation} that can reduce the initial problem to a highly simplified version, implying that it…

Databases · Computer Science 2018-07-04 Jack Wang

Model-based approaches bear great promise for decision making of agents interacting with the physical world. In the context of spatial environments, different types of problems such as localisation, mapping, navigation or autonomous…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-21 Atanas Mirchev , Baris Kayalibay , Maximilian Soelch , Patrick van der Smagt , Justin Bayer

In multiple scientific and technological applications we face the problem of having low dimensional data to be justified by a linear model defined in a high dimensional parameter space. The difference in dimensionality makes the problem…

Other Computer Science · Computer Science 2016-08-04 Jorge Fernandez-de-Cossio-Diaz , Roberto Mulet

We introduce a unified probabilistic framework for solving sequential decision making problems ranging from Bayesian optimisation to contextual bandits and reinforcement learning. This is accomplished by a probabilistic model-based approach…

This research applies concepts from algorithmic probability to Boolean and quantum combinatorial logic circuits. A tutorial-style introduction to states and various notions of the complexity of states are presented. Thereafter, the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-04-06 Bao Gia Bach , Akash Kundu , Tamal Acharya , Aritra Sarkar

Considering the issue of estimating small probabilities p, ie. measuring a rare domain F = {x | g(x) > q} with respect to the distribution of a random vector X, Multilevel Splitting strategies (also called Subset Simulation) aim at writing…

Computation · Statistics 2015-09-10 Clément Walter
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