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We introduce a Bayesian approach to predictive density calibration and combination that accounts for parameter uncertainty and model set incompleteness through the use of random calibration functionals and random combination weights.…

Applications · Statistics 2016-10-26 Federico Bassetti , Roberto Casarin , Francesco Ravazzolo

Particle-based variational inference methods (ParVIs) have gained attention in the Bayesian inference literature, for their capacity to yield flexible and accurate approximations. We explore ParVIs from the perspective of Wasserstein…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-07-17 Chang Liu , Jingwei Zhuo , Pengyu Cheng , Ruiyi Zhang , Jun Zhu , Lawrence Carin

The emergence of large pre-trained vision-language models (VLMs) represents a paradigm shift in machine learning, with unprecedented results in a broad span of visual recognition tasks. CLIP, one of the most popular VLMs, has exhibited…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-01-14 Pablo Morales-Álvarez , Stergios Christodoulidis , Maria Vakalopoulou , Pablo Piantanida , Jose Dolz

Modern Bayesian inference involves a mixture of computational techniques for estimating, validating, and drawing conclusions from probabilistic models as part of principled workflows for data analysis. Typical problems in Bayesian workflows…

The Gaussian Process Latent Variable Model (GP-LVM) is a non-linear probabilistic method of embedding a high dimensional dataset in terms low dimensional `latent' variables. In this paper we illustrate that maximum a posteriori (MAP)…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-07-02 James Barrett , Anthony C. C. Coolen

Optimal design facilitates intelligent data collection. In this paper, we introduce a fully Bayesian design approach for spatial processes with complex covariance structures, like those typically exhibited in natural ecosystems. Coordinate…

Gaussian Process based Bayesian Optimization is a widely applied algorithm to learn and optimize under uncertainty, well-known for its sample efficiency. However, recently -- and more frequently -- research studies have empirically…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-20 Antonio Candelieri , Andrea Ponti , Francesco Archetti

We introduce a density basis of the trigonometric polynomials that is suitable to mixture modelling. Statistical and geometric properties are derived, suggesting it as a circular analogue to the Bernstein polynomial densities. Nonparametric…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-26 Olivier Binette , Simon Guillotte

This tutorial gives a quick introduction to Variational Bayes (VB), also called Variational Inference or Variational Approximation, from a practical point of view. The paper covers a range of commonly used VB methods and an attempt is made…

Computation · Statistics 2021-03-03 Minh-Ngoc Tran , Trong-Nghia Nguyen , Viet-Hung Dao

Using Linear Response Theory, with appropriate wave functions and energies from perturbation method, the absorption profiles can be calculated for all three classes of mixed-valence systems as defined by Robin and Day : Class III…

Materials Science · Physics 2024-10-18 Kin Yip Wong

Doppler Broadening (DB) of annihilation radiation is a well-established technique within Positron Annihilation Spectroscopy (PAS), used for probing the electronic structure of materials. The analysis of DB experimental data relies on gamma…

Materials Science · Physics 2025-09-16 Achiya Yosef Amrusi , Sharon May-Tal Beck , Hadar Steinberg , Guy Ron

We propose a Gaussian mixture model for background subtraction in infrared imagery. Following a Bayesian approach, our method automatically estimates the number of Gaussian components as well as their parameters, while simultaneously it…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2015-06-30 Konstantinos Makantasis , Anastasios Doulamis , Nikolaos Doulamis

This paper describes and illustrates new functionality for fitting spatially varying coefficients models in the spBayes (version 0.4-2) R package. The new spSVC function uses a computationally efficient Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm…

Computation · Statistics 2020-01-01 Andrew O. Finley , Sudipto Banerjee

Dynamic PET kinetic modeling increasingly demands voxelwise uncertainty quantification and robust model selection. Yet total-body PET (TB-PET) data volumes make conventional Bayesian approaches, such as per-voxel MCMC, computationally…

Applications · Statistics 2026-03-17 Qinlin Gu , Gaelle M. Emvalomenos , Evan D. Morris , Clara Grazian , Steven R. Meikle

We consider Bayesian inference of banded covariance matrices and propose a post-processed posterior. The post-processing of the posterior consists of two steps. In the first step, posterior samples are obtained from the conjugate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-26 Kwangmin Lee , Kyoungjae Lee , Jaeyong Lee

Bayesian calibration of black-box computer models offers an established framework to obtain a posterior distribution over model parameters. Traditional Bayesian calibration involves the emulation of the computer model and an additive model…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-30 Sébastien Marmin , Maurizio Filippone

Inverse problems, i.e., estimating parameters of physical models from experimental data, are ubiquitous in science and engineering. The Bayesian formulation is the gold standard because it alleviates ill-posedness issues and quantifies…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-28 Sharmila Karumuri , Ilias Bilionis

In variational inference, the benefits of Bayesian models rely on accurately capturing the true posterior distribution. We propose using neural samplers that specify implicit distributions, which are well-suited for approximating complex…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-10 Anshuk Uppal , Kristoffer Stensbo-Smidt , Wouter Boomsma , Jes Frellsen

Opacities of molecules in exoplanet atmospheres rely on increasingly detailed line-lists for these molecules. The line lists available today contain for many species up to several billions of lines. Computation of the spectral line profile…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2017-11-08 Michiel Min

This work develops a Bayesian non-parametric approach to signal separation where the signals may vary according to latent variables. Our key contribution is to augment Gaussian Process Latent Variable Models (GPLVMs) for the case where each…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-20 James Odgers , Ruby Sedgwick , Chrysoula Kappatou , Ruth Misener , Sarah Filippi