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This article proposes a new method of truncated estimation to estimate the tail index $\alpha$ of the extremely heavy-tailed distribution with infinite mean or variance. We not only present two truncated estimators $\hat{\alpha}$ and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-09-13 F. Q. Tang , D. Han

The literature on statistical learning for time series assumes the asymptotic independence or ``mixing' of the data-generating process. These mixing assumptions are never tested, nor are there methods for estimating mixing rates from data.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-18 Daniel J. McDonald , Cosma Rohilla Shalizi , Mark Schervish

We propose a stochastic process driven by the memory effect with novel distributions which include both exponential and leptokurtic heavy-tailed distributions. A class of the distributions is analytically derived from the continuum limit of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-03-27 Jongwook Kim , Teppei Okumura

We consider the estimation of the location of the pole and memory parameter, \lambda ^0 and \alpha, respectively, of covariance stationary linear processes whose spectral density function f(\lambda) satisfies f(\lambda)\sim C| \lambda…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Javier Hidalgo

Parameter estimation and the variable selection are two pioneer issues in regression analysis. While traditional variable selection methods require prior estimation of the model parameters, the penalized methods simultaneously carry on…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-01 Yetkin Tuaç , Olcay Arslan

In this article, we introduce and study a one sided tempered stable first order autoregressive model called TAR(1). Under the assumption of stationarity of the model, the marginal probability density function of the error term is found. It…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-07-30 Niharika Bhootna , Arun Kumar

For multivariate distributions in the domain of attraction of a max-stable distribution, the tail copula and the stable tail dependence function are equivalent ways to capture the dependence in the upper tail. The empirical versions of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-09 John H. J. Einmahl , Johan Segers

We propose a sparse coefficient estimation and automated model selection procedure for autoregressive (AR) processes with heavy-tailed innovations based on penalized conditional maximum likelihood. Under mild moment conditions on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-09-24 Hailin Sang , Yan Sun

We construct a two-sample test for comparison of long memory parameters based on ratios of two rescaled variance (V/S) statistics studied in [Giraitis L., Leipus, R., Philippe, A., 2006. A test for stationarity versus trends and unit roots…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-02-16 Frédéric Lavancier , Anne Philippe , Donatas Surgailis

It is empirically established that order flow in the financial markets is positively auto-correlated and can serve as an example of a social system with long-range memory. Nevertheless, widely used long-range memory estimators give varying…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-10-02 Vygintas Gontis

We study the aggregation of AR processes and generalized Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) processes. Mixture of spectral densities with random poles are the main tool. In this context, we apply our results for the aggregation of doubly stochastic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-11-13 Didier Dacunha-Castelle , Lisandro J. Fermín

We consider the setting where a collection of time series, modeled as random processes, evolve in a causal manner, and one is interested in learning the graph governing the relationships of these processes. A special case of wide interest…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-08-30 Hossein Hosseini , Sreeram Kannan , Baosen Zhang , Radha Poovendran

The so-called partition function is a sample moment statistic based on blocks of data and it is often used in the context of multifractal processes. It will be shown that its behaviour is strongly influenced by the tail of the distribution…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-10-02 Danijel Grahovac , Mofei Jia , Nikolai N. Leonenko , Emanuele Taufer

This paper will focus on three different aspects in improving the current practice of stable random projections. Firstly, we propose {\em very sparse stable random projections} to significantly reduce the processing and storage cost, by…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2007-07-13 Ping Li

A new estimator is proposed for estimating the tail exponent of a heavy-tailed distribution. This estimator, referred to as the layered Hill estimator, is a generalization of the traditional Hill estimator, building upon a layered structure…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-20 Taegyu Kang , Takashi Owada

Longitudinal binary or count functional data are common in neuroscience, but are often too large to analyze with existing functional regression methods. We propose one-step penalized generalized estimating equations that supports…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-31 Gabriel Loewinger , Alex W. Levis , Erjia Cui , Francisco Pereira

It is generally accepted that many time series of practical interest exhibit strong dependence, i.e., long memory. For such series, the sample autocorrelations decay slowly and log-log periodogram plots indicate a straight-line…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-02 Rohit Deo , Meng-Chen Hsieh , Clifford M. Hurvich , Philippe Soulier

We propose GradTail, an algorithm that uses gradients to improve model performance on the fly in the face of long-tailed training data distributions. Unlike conventional long-tail classifiers which operate on converged - and possibly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-20 Zhao Chen , Vincent Casser , Henrik Kretzschmar , Dragomir Anguelov

Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) infers the long term dependency through a cell state maintained by the input and the forget gate structures, which models a gate output as a value in [0,1] through a sigmoid function. However, due to the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-19 Kyungwoo Song , JoonHo Jang , Seung jae Shin , Il-Chul Moon

This article reviews recent advances in fixed effect estimation of panel data models for long panels, where the number of time periods is relatively large. We focus on semiparametric models with unobserved individual and time effects, where…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-03-29 Iván Fernández-Val , Martin Weidner
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