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When a predictive model is in production, it must be monitored in real-time to ensure that its performance does not suffer due to drift or abrupt changes to data. Ideally, this is done long before learning that the performance of the model…

The article addresses a long-standing open problem on the justification of using variational Bayes methods for parameter estimation. We provide general conditions for obtaining optimal risk bounds for point estimates acquired from…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-27 Debdeep Pati , Anirban Bhattacharya , Yun Yang

This paper introduces an algorithm for the detection of change-points and the identification of the corresponding subsequences in transient multivariate time-series data (MTSD). The analysis of such data has become more and more important…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-04-05 Jonas Köhne , Lars Henning , Clemens Gühmann

Recognizing new objects by learning from a few labeled examples in an evolving environment is crucial to obtain excellent generalization ability for real-world machine learning systems. A typical setting across current meta learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-30 Zhenyi Wang , Tiehang Duan , Le Fang , Qiuling Suo , Mingchen Gao

For data segmentation in high-dimensional linear regression settings, the regression parameters are often assumed to be sparse segment-wise, which enables many existing methods to estimate the parameters locally via $\ell_1$-regularised…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-08 Haeran Cho , Tobias Kley , Housen Li

Sequential (online) change-point detection involves continuously monitoring time-series data and triggering an alarm when shifts in the data distribution are detected. We propose an algorithm for real-time identification of alterations in…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-16 Yuhan Tian , Abolfazl Safikhani

Today Bayesian networks are more used in many areas of decision support and image processing. In this way, our proposed approach uses Bayesian Network to modelize the segmented image quality. This quality is calculated on a set of…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2015-01-23 Mohamed Ali Mahjoub , Mohamed Mhiri

We generalize the approach of Liu and Lawrence (1999) for multiple changepoint problems where the number of changepoints is unknown. The approach is based on dynamic programming recursion for efficient calculation of the marginal…

Computation · Statistics 2009-09-29 Heng Lian

How to include censored data in a statistical analysis is a recur-rent issue in statistics. In multivariate extremes, the dependence structure of large observations can be characterized in terms of a non parametric angular measure, while…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-12-03 Anne Sabourin

Novelty detection methods aim at partitioning the test units into already observed and previously unseen patterns. However, two significant issues arise: there may be considerable interest in identifying specific structures within the…

Applications · Statistics 2021-06-18 Francesco Denti , Andrea Cappozzo , Francesca Greselin

This paper addresses the problem of detecting and characterizing local variability in time series and other forms of sequential data. The goal is to identify and characterize statistically significant variations, at the same time…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-05 Jeffrey D. Scargle , Jay P. Norris , Brad Jackson , James Chiang

Change-point detection in a time series aims to discover the time points at which some unknown underlying physical process that generates the time-series data has changed. We found that existing approaches become less accurate when the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-04 Varsha Suresh , Wei Tsang Ooi

Due to the escalating growth of big data sets in recent years, new Bayesian Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) parallel computing methods have been developed. These methods partition large data sets by observations into subsets. However, for…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-21 Zheng Wei , Erin M. Conlon

We consider a change-point detection problem for a simple class of Piecewise Deterministic Markov Processes (PDMPs). A continuous-time PDMP is observed in discrete time and through noise, and the aim is to propose a numerical method to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-09-28 Alice Cleynen , Benoîte de Saporta

The dynamic nature of many real-world systems can lead to temporal outcome model shifts, causing a deterioration in model accuracy and reliability over time. This requires change-point detection on the outcome models to guide model…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-13 Zhuofan Dong , Yiwen Huang , Yan Dong , Mengying Yan , Ziye Tian , Chuan Hong , Doudou Zhou , Molei Liu

Without imposing prior distributional knowledge underlying multivariate time series of interest, we propose a nonparametric change-point detection approach to estimate the number of change points and their locations along the temporal axis.…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-13 Xiaodong Wang , Fushing Hsieh

In this paper, we present a novel approach for object recognition in real-time by employing multilevel feature analysis and demonstrate the practicality of adapting feature extraction into a Naive Bayesian classification framework that…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2017-10-31 Yang Cheng , Timeo Dubois

Classification of high dimensional data finds wide-ranging applications. In many of these applications equipping the resulting classification with a measure of uncertainty may be as important as the classification itself. In this paper we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-02-12 Andrea L. Bertozzi , Xiyang Luo , Andrew M. Stuart , Konstantinos C. Zygalakis

This article presents an approach to Bayesian semiparametric inference for Gaussian multivariate response regression. We are motivated by various small and medium dimensional problems from the physical and social sciences. The statistical…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-18 Georgios Papageorgiou , Benjamin C. Marshall

Spatially referenced data are increasingly available thanks to the development of modern GPS technology. They also provide rich opportunities for spatial analytics in the field of marketing science. Our main interest is to propose a new…

Applications · Statistics 2018-11-27 Won Chang , Sunghoon Kim , Heewon Chae