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We present a unified approach to proving Ramsey-type theorems for graphs with a forbidden induced subgraph which can be used to extend and improve the earlier results of Rodl, Erdos-Hajnal, Promel-Rodl, Nikiforov, Chung-Graham, and…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2007-12-27 Jacob Fox , Benny Sudakov

This paper considers the problem of making statistical inferences about a parameter when a narrow interval centred at a given value of the parameter is considered special, which is interpreted as meaning that there is a substantial degree…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-09-07 Russell J. Bowater , Ludmila E. Guzmán-Pantoja

The Bayesian framework is ideally suited for induction problems. The probability of observing $x_t$ at time $t$, given past observations $x_1...x_{t-1}$ can be computed with Bayes' rule if the true distribution $\mu$ of the sequences…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2011-11-09 Marcus Hutter

As suggested by Currie, we apply the probabilistic method to problems regarding pattern avoidance. Using techniques from analytic combinatorics, we calculate asymptotic pattern occurrence statistics and use them in conjunction with the…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2014-06-03 Jim Tao

A number of recent works have sought to generalize the Kolmogorov-Sinai entropy of probability-preserving transformations to the setting of Markov operators acting on the integrable functions on a probability space $(X,\mu)$. These have…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-08-25 Tim Austin

We study full Bayesian procedures for high-dimensional linear regression. We adopt data-dependent empirical priors introduced in [1]. In their paper, these priors have nice posterior contraction properties and are easy to compute. Our paper…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-02-14 Xiao Fang , Malay Ghosh

The Rician distribution, a well-known statistical distribution frequently encountered in fields like magnetic resonance imaging and wireless communications, is particularly useful for describing many real phenomena such as signal process…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-30 Jesus Enrique Achire Quispe , Eduardo Ramos , Pedro Luiz Ramos

Likelihood-free inference (LFI) methods, such as approximate Bayesian computation, have become commonplace for conducting inference in complex models. Many approaches are based on summary statistics or discrepancies derived from synthetic…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-06 David T. Frazier , Christopher Drovandi , Lucas Kock , David J. Nott

We study repeated independent Blackwell experiments; standard examples include drawing multiple samples from a population, or performing a measurement in different locations. In the baseline setting of a binary state of nature, we compare…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-08 Xiaosheng Mu , Luciano Pomatto , Philipp Strack , Omer Tamuz

We study how much data a Bayesian observer needs to correctly infer the relative likelihoods of two events when both events are arbitrarily rare. Each period, either a blue die or a red die is tossed. The two dice land on side $1$ with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-05-11 Drew Fudenberg , Kevin He , Lorens Imhof

High dimensional statistics deals with the challenge of extracting structured information from complex model settings. Compared with the growing number of frequentist methodologies, there are rather few theoretically optimal Bayes methods…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-08-21 Chao Gao , Aad W. van der Vaart , Harrison H. Zhou

The application of Bayesian inference for the purpose of model selection is very popular nowadays. In this framework, models are compared through their marginal likelihoods, or their quotients, called Bayes factors. However, marginal…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-27 F. Llorente , L. Martino , E. Curbelo , J. Lopez-Santiago , D. Delgado

Solomonoff unified Occam's razor and Epicurus' principle of multiple explanations to one elegant, formal, universal theory of inductive inference, which initiated the field of algorithmic information theory. His central result is that the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2008-06-26 Marcus Hutter

This paper introduces a novel concept of interval probability measures that enables the representation of imprecise probabilities, or uncertainty, in a natural and coherent manner. Within an algebra of sets, we introduce a notion of weak…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-06 Marcello Basili , Luca Pratelli

Statistical modeling can involve a tension between assumptions and statistical identification. The law of the observable data may not uniquely determine the value of a target parameter without invoking a key assumption, and, while…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-06 Paul Gustafson

Modern applications routinely collect high-dimensional data, leading to statistical models having more parameters than there are samples available. A common solution is to impose sparsity in parameter estimation, often using penalized…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-08 Paolo Onorati , David B. Dunson , Antonio Canale

In 1975, G. P\'olya suggested that if two proofreaders found $a$ and $b$ errors in a text, of which $c$ errors were found by both of them, then a reasonable approximation of the unknown number $e$ of all errors is $e\approx ab/c$. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-27 Martin Klazar

A random set is a generalisation of a random variable, i.e. a set-valued random variable. The random set theory allows a unification of other uncertainty descriptions such as interval variable, mass belief function in Dempster-Shafer theory…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-11-27 Truong-Vinh Hoang , Hermann G. Matthies

Informally speaking, the categoricity of an axiom system means that its non-logical symbols have only one possible interpretation that renders the axioms true. Although non-categoricity has become ubiquitous in the second half of the 20th…

Logic · Mathematics 2020-05-26 Jouko Väänänen

Bayesian inference is limited in scope because it cannot be applied in idealized contexts where none of the hypotheses under consideration is true and because it is committed to always using the likelihood as a measure of evidential…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2019-09-17 Olav Benjamin Vassend