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We discuss Stein's method for approximation by the stationary distribution of a single-birth Markov chain, in conjunction with stochastic monotonicity and similar assumptions. We use bounds on the increments of the solution of Poisson's…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-08 Fraser Daly

This paper presents a unified approach based on Wasserstein distance to derive concentration bounds for empirical estimates for two broad classes of risk measures defined in the paper. The classes of risk measures introduced include as…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-11 Prashanth L. A. , Sanjay P. Bhat

Stein operators allow to characterise probability distributions via differential operators. Based on these characterisations, we develop a new method of point estimation for marginal parameters of strictly stationary and ergodic processes,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-12-05 Bruno Ebner , Adrian Fischer , Robert E. Gaunt , Babette Picker , Yvik Swan

This paper introduces a comprehensive framework to adjust a discrete test statistic for improving its hypothesis testing procedure. The adjustment minimizes the Wasserstein distance to a null-approximating continuous distribution, tackling…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-13 Gonzalo Contador , Zheyang Wu

This paper addresses the problem of steering an initial probability distribution to a target probability distribution through a deterministic or stochastic linear control system. Our proposed approach is inspired by the flow matching…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-01-15 Yuhang Mei , Mohammad Al-Jarrah , Amirhossein Taghvaei , Yongxin Chen

Random forests have become an established tool for classification and regression, in particular in high-dimensional settings and in the presence of complex predictor-response relationships. For bounded outcome variables restricted to the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-21 Leonie Weinhold , Matthias Schmid , Marvin N. Wright , Moritz Berger

A continuous-time random walk in the quarter plane with homogeneous transition rates is considered. Given a non-negative reward function on the state space, we are interested in the expected stationary performance. Since a direct derivation…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-31 Xinwei Bai , Jasper Goseling

We show how the infinitesimal exchangeable pairs approach to Stein's method combines naturally with the theory of Markov semigroups. We present a multivariate normal approximation theorem for functions of a random variable invariant with…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-01 David Grzybowski , Mark Meckes

Motivated by the central limit problem for convex bodies, we study normal approximation of linear functionals of high-dimensional random vectors with various types of symmetries. In particular, we obtain results for distributions which are…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-07 Elizabeth S. Meckes , Mark W. Meckes

A Stein operator for the runs is derived as a perturbation of an operator for discrete Gibbs measure. Due to this fact, using perturbation technique, the approximation results for runs arising from identical and non-identical Bernoulli…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-16 Amit N Kumar , Neelesh S Upadhye

Flow Matching (FM) (also referred to as stochastic interpolants or rectified flows) stands out as a class of generative models that aims to bridge in finite time the target distribution $\nu^\star$ with an auxiliary distribution $\mu$,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-09-16 Marta Gentiloni Silveri , Giovanni Conforti , Alain Durmus

We present, in a unified way, a Stein methodology for infinitely divisible laws (without Gaussian component) having finite first moment. Based on a correlation representation, we obtain a characterizing non-local Stein operator which boils…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-08 Benjamin Arras , Christian Houdré

Gradient information on the sampling distribution can be used to reduce the variance of Monte Carlo estimators via Stein's method. An important application is that of estimating an expectation of a test function along the sample path of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-29 Chris J. Oates , Jon Cockayne , François-Xavier Briol , Mark Girolami

An important mathematical tool in the analysis of dynamical systems is the approximation of the reach set, i.e., the set of states reachable after a given time from a given initial state. This set is difficult to compute for complex systems…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-19 Abdelmouaiz Tebjou , Goran Frehse , Faïcel Chamroukhi

We propose a novel method for simulating conditioned diffusion processes (diffusion bridges) in Euclidean spaces. By training a neural network to approximate bridge dynamics, our approach eliminates the need for computationally intensive…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-23 Gefan Yang , Frank van der Meulen , Stefan Sommer

We consider the task of generating draws from a Markov jump process (MJP) between two time-points at which the process is known. Resulting draws are typically termed bridges and the generation of such bridges plays a key role in…

Computation · Statistics 2019-01-31 Andrew Golightly , Chris Sherlock

We develop a general approach to Stein's method for approximating a random process in the path space $D([0,T]\to R^d)$ by a real continuous Gaussian process. We then use the approach in the context of processes that have a representation as…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-24 A. D. Barbour , Nathan Ross , Guangqu Zheng

In this work we study systems consisting of a group of moving particles. In such systems, often some important parameters are unknown and have to be estimated from observed data. Such parameter estimation problems can often be solved via a…

Applications · Statistics 2023-07-11 Chen Cheng , Linjie Wen , Jinglai Li

Using Stein's method techniques, we develop a framework which allows one to bound the error terms arising from approximation by the Laplace distribution and apply it to the study of random sums of mean zero random variables. As a corollary,…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-10-29 John Pike , Haining Ren

This article studies a general divide-and-conquer algorithm for approximating continuous one-dimensional probability distributions with finite mean. The article presents a numerical study that compares pre-existing approximation schemes…