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In certain applications involving the solution of a Bayesian inverse problem, it may not be possible or desirable to evaluate the full posterior, e.g. due to the high computational cost of doing so. This problem motivates the use of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-27 Han Cheng Lie , T. J. Sullivan , Aretha Teckentrup

In Part I of this article (Banerjee and Kuchibhotla (2023)), we have introduced a new method to bound the difference in expectations of an average of independent random vector and the limiting Gaussian random vector using level sets. In the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-27 Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla

The approach used by Kalashnikov and Tsitsiashvili for constructing upper bounds for the tail distribution of a geometric sum with subexponential summands is reconsidered. By expressing the problem in a more probabilistic light, several…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-03-18 Andrew Richards

In this article, we provide a comprehensive analysis of the asymptotic behavior of Bell numbers, enhancing and unifying various results previously dispersed in the literature. We establish several explicit lower and upper bounds. The main…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2024-08-27 Jerzy Grunwald , Grzegorz Serafin

We present a general approach to deriving bounds on the generalization error of randomized learning algorithms. Our approach can be used to obtain bounds on the average generalization error as well as bounds on its tail probabilities, both…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-09-10 Fredrik Hellström , Giuseppe Durisi

We give an improved estimate for the regularity of the conditional distribution of the empiric mean of a finite sample of IID random variables, conditional on the sample "fluctuations", extending the well-known property of Gaussian IID…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-04-27 Victor Chulaevsky

In this paper we provide a priori error estimates with explicit constants for both the $L^2$-projection and the Ritz projection onto spline spaces of arbitrary smoothness defined on arbitrary grids. This extends the results recently…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-02-06 Espen Sande , Carla Manni , Hendrik Speleers

An exact upper bound on the Winsorised-tilted mean of a symmetric random variable in terms of its second moment is given. Such results are used in work on nonuniform Berry--Esseen-type bounds for general nonlinear statistics.

Probability · Mathematics 2012-05-24 Iosif Pinelis

Explicit pointwise error bounds for the interpolation of a smooth function by piecewise exponential splines of order four are given. Estimates known for cubic splines are extended to a natural class of piecewise exponential splines which…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-10-08 Ognyan Kounchev , Hermann Render

We investigate symmetric edge polytopes generated by Erd\H{o}s--R\'enyi random graphs in a high-dimensional regime. These objects provide a natural and largely unexplored model of random lattice polytopes, in which geometric properties are…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2026-03-12 Torben Donzelmann , Martina Juhnke , Benedikt Rednoß , Christoph Thäle

We analyze the forward error in the floating point summation of real numbers, for computations in low precision or extreme-scale problem dimensions that push the limits of the precision. We present a systematic recurrence for a martingale…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-03-31 Eric Hallman , Ilse C. F. Ipsen

This work develops central limit theorems for cross-validation and consistent estimators of its asymptotic variance under weak stability conditions on the learning algorithm. Together, these results provide practical, asymptotically-exact…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-03 Pierre Bayle , Alexandre Bayle , Lucas Janson , Lester Mackey

We provide a Lyapunov type bound in the multivariate central limit theorem for sums of independent, but not necessarily identically distributed random vectors. The error in the normal approximation is estimated for certain classes of sets,…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-24 Martin Raič

In this paper, we obtain error bound for binomial and negative binomial approximations to weighted sums of locally dependent random variables, using Stein's method. We also discuss approximation results for weighted sums of independent…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-20 Amit N. Kumar

In statistical learning theory, generalization error is used to quantify the degree to which a supervised machine learning algorithm may overfit to training data. Recent work [Xu and Raginsky (2017)] has established a bound on the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-01-16 Ankit Pensia , Varun Jog , Po-Ling Loh

This note presents sharp inequalities for deviation probability of a general quadratic form of a random vector \(\xiv\) with finite exponential moments. The obtained deviation bounds are similar to the case of a Gaussian random vector. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-02-08 Vladimir Spokoiny

We study the random conductance model on the lattice $\Z^d$, i.e. we consider a linear, finite-difference, divergence-form operator with random conductances $a$. We allow the conductances $a$ to be unbounded and degenerate. Assuming the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-20 Antoine Gloria , Siguang Qi

Motivated from option and derivative pricing, this note develops Edgeworth expansions both in the Kolmogorov and Wasserstein metric for many different types of discrete time volatility models and their possible transformations. This…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-07 Moritz Jirak

We derive exponential bounds for tail of distribution for natural, i.e. under ordinary logarithm, normalized sums of arrays of random variables, not necessarily independent.

We prove general exponential moment inequalities for averages of [0,1]-valued iid random variables and use them to tighten the PAC Bayesian Theorem. The logarithmic dependence on the sample count in the enumerator of the PAC Bayesian bound…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Andreas Maurer