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This study aims to estimate the parameters of a stochastic exposed-infected epidemiological model for the transmission dynamics of notifiable infectious diseases, based on observations related to isolated cases counts only. We use the…

Applications · Statistics 2024-04-15 Ibrahim Bouzalmat , Benoîte de Saporta , Solym M. Manou-Abi

Bond rating Transition Probability Matrices (TPMs) are built over a one-year time-frame and for many practical purposes, like the assessment of risk in portfolios or the computation of banking Capital Requirements (e.g. the new IFRS 9…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-10-17 Greig Smith , Goncalo dos Reis

Community detection is considered for a stochastic block model graph of n vertices, with K vertices in the planted community, edge probability p for pairs of vertices both in the community, and edge probability q for other pairs of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-01-17 Bruce Hajek , Yihong Wu , Jiaming Xu

We consider the problem of inference in a linear regression model in which the relative ordering of the input features and output labels is not known. Such datasets naturally arise from experiments in which the samples are shuffled or…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-04-04 Abubakar Abid , James Zou

We consider the spectral properties of balanced stochastic block models of which the average degree grows slower than the number of nodes (sparse regime) or proportional to it (dense regime). For both regimes, we prove a phase transition of…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-18 Yoochan Han , Ji Oon Lee , Wooseok Yang

One of the challenges in model-based control of stochastic dynamical systems is that the state transition dynamics are involved, and it is not easy or efficient to make good-quality predictions of the states. Moreover, there are not many…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-08-02 Behnoosh Parsa , Keshav Rajasekaran , Franziska Meier , Ashis G. Banerjee

Motivated by problems in data clustering, we establish general conditions under which families of nonparametric mixture models are identifiable, by introducing a novel framework involving clustering overfitted \emph{parametric} (i.e.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-19 Bryon Aragam , Chen Dan , Eric P. Xing , Pradeep Ravikumar

Expectation-Maximization (EM) algorithm is a widely used iterative algorithm for computing maximum likelihood estimate when dealing with Gaussian Mixture Model (GMM). When the sample size is smaller than the data dimension, this could lead…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-07-06 Pierre Houdouin , Matthieu Jonkcheere , Frederic Pascal

Community structure is prevalent in real-world networks, with empirical studies revealing heterogeneous distributions where a few dominant majority communities coexist with many smaller groups. These small-scale groups, which we term…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Jiaze Li , Leto Peel

One of the most fundamental problems in network study is community detection. The stochastic block model (SBM) is a widely used model, for which various estimation methods have been developed with their community detection consistency…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-09 Sihan Huang , Jiajin Sun , Yang Feng

We prove the existence of an asymptotic phase transition threshold on community detectability for the spectral modularity method [M. E. J. Newman, Phys. Rev. E 74, 036104 (2006) and Proc. National Academy of Sciences. 103, 8577 (2006)]…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-06-22 Pin-Yu Chen , Alfred O. Hero

The Metropolis algorithm is one of the Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods that realize sampling from the target probability distribution. In this paper, we are concerned with the sampling from the distribution in non-identifiable cases…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-04 Kenji Nagata , Yoh-ichi Mototake

Community detection is the problem of identifying community structure in graphs. Often the graph is modeled as a sample from the Stochastic Block Model, in which each vertex belongs to a community. The probability that two vertices are…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-11-12 Souvik Dhara , Julia Gaudio , Elchanan Mossel , Colin Sandon

Hidden semi-Markov models (HSMMs) are latent variable models which allow latent state persistence and can be viewed as a generalization of the popular hidden Markov models (HMMs). In this paper, we introduce a novel spectral algorithm to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-03-01 Igor Melnyk , Arindam Banerjee

It is now widely accepted that knowledge can be acquired from networks by clustering their vertices according to connection profiles. Many methods have been proposed and in this paper we concentrate on the Stochastic Block Model (SBM). The…

Applications · Statistics 2010-07-27 Pierre Latouche , Etienne Birmele , Christophe Ambroise

The stochastic block model is one of the most studied network models for community detection. It is well-known that most algorithms proposed for fitting the stochastic block model likelihood function cannot scale to large-scale networks.…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-31 Jiangzhou Wang , Jingfei Zhang , Binghui Liu , Ji Zhu , Jianhua Guo

Modeling relations between individuals is a classical question in social sciences and clustering individuals according to the observed patterns of interactions allows to uncover a latent structure in the data. Stochastic block model (SBM)…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-01-27 Pierre Barbillon , Sophie Donnet , Emmanuel Lazega , Avner Bar-Hen

Community detection in multi-layer networks is a fundamental task in complex network analysis across various areas like social, biological, and computer sciences. However, most existing algorithms assume that the number of communities is…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-26 Huan Qing

A principled approach to characterize the hidden structure of networks is to formulate generative models, and then infer their parameters from data. When the desired structure is composed of modules or "communities", a suitable choice for…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-08-23 Tiago P. Peixoto

Handling missing values plays an important role in the analysis of survival data, especially, the ones marked by cure fraction. In this paper, we discuss the properties and implementation of stochastic approximations to the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-22 Sandip Barui , Suvra Pal , Nutan Mishra , Katherine Davies