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Time series segmentation aims to identify potential change-points in a sequence of temporally dependent data, so that the original sequence can be partitioned into several homogeneous subsequences. It is useful for modeling and predicting…

Computation · Statistics 2024-04-12 Shubo Sun , Zifeng Zhao , Feiyu Jiang , Xiaofeng Shao

Background: Mathematical models based on ordinary differential equations (ODEs) are essential tools across various scientific disciplines, including biology, ecology, and healthcare informatics. They are used to simulate complex dynamic…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-09-03 Hamed Karami , Amanda Bleichrodt , Ruiyan Luo , Gerardo Chowell

We derive normal approximation bounds in the Wasserstein distance for sums of weighted U-statistics, based on a general distance bound for functionals of independent random variables of arbitrary distributions. Those bounds are applied to…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-28 Nicolas Privault , Grzegorz Serafin

We propose a general framework for regularization in M-estimation problems under time dependent (absolutely regular-mixing) data which encompasses many of the existing estimators. We derive non-asymptotic concentration bounds for the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-04 Demian Pouzo

The Neyman-Scott point process is a widely used point process model which is easily interpretable and easily extendable to include various types of inhomogeneity. The inference for such complex models is then complicated and fast methods,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-18 Jiří Dvořák , Radim Remeš , Ladislav Beránek , Tomáš Mrkvička

The sample mean is often used to aggregate different unbiased estimates of a parameter, producing a final estimate that is unbiased but possibly high-variance. This paper introduces the Bayesian median of means, an aggregation rule that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-05 Paulo Orenstein

In this article, we describe a {\tt R} package for sampling from an empirical likelihood-based posterior using a Hamiltonian Monte Carlo method. Empirical likelihood-based methodologies have been used in Bayesian modeling of many problems…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2022-09-07 Dang Trung Kien , Neo Han Wei , Sanjay Chaudhuri

We introduce an R package, PCMBase, to rapidly calculate the likelihood for multivariate phylogenetic comparative methods. The package is not specific to particular models but offers the user the functionality to very easily implement a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-12-13 Venelin Mitov , Krzysztof Bartoszek , Georgios Asimomitis , Tanja Stadler

The importance of proper data normalization for deep neural networks is well known. However, in continuous-time state-space model estimation, it has been observed that improper normalization of either the hidden state or hidden state…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-05-15 Jonas Weigand , Gerben I. Beintema , Jonas Ulmen , Daniel Görges , Roland Tóth , Maarten Schoukens , Martin Ruskowski

Understanding the dynamics of complex molecular processes is often linked to the study of infrequent transitions between long-lived stable states. The standard approach to the sampling of such rare events is to generate an ensemble of…

Computational Physics · Physics 2023-05-22 Sebastian Falkner , Alessandro Coretti , Salvatore Romano , Phillip Geissler , Christoph Dellago

When performing an aggregate data meta-analysis of a continuous outcome, researchers often come across primary studies that report the sample median of the outcome. However, standard meta-analytic methods typically cannot be directly…

This article explains the usage of R package CausalModels, which is publicly available on the Comprehensive R Archive Network. While packages are available for sufficiently estimating causal effects, there lacks a package that provides a…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-19 Joshua Wolff Anderson , Cyril Rakovski

Moderate calibration, the expected event probability among observations with predicted probability z being equal to z, is a desired property of risk prediction models. Current graphical and numerical techniques for evaluating moderate…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-14 Mohsen Sadatsafavi , John Petkau

Accurate and reliable probabilistic forecasts of hydrological quantities like runoff or water level are beneficial to various areas of society. Probabilistic state-of-the-art hydrological ensemble prediction models are usually driven with…

Applications · Statistics 2020-01-17 Sándor Baran , Stephan Hemri , Mehrez El Ayari

The regsem package in R, an implementation of regularized structural equation modeling (RegSEM; Jacobucci, Grimm, and McArdle 2016), was recently developed with the goal of incorporating various forms of penalized likelihood estimation in a…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-09-11 Ross Jacobucci

Averaging predictions from multiple competing inferential models frequently outperforms predictions from any single model, providing that models are optimally weighted to maximize predictive performance. This is particularly the case in…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-02 Nathaniel Haines , Conor Goold

Safe and reliable state estimation techniques are a critical component of next-generation robotic systems. Agents in such systems must be able to reason about the intentions and trajectories of other agents for safe and efficient motion…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-06-28 Harrison Delecki , Liam A. Kruse , Marc R. Schlichting , Mykel J. Kochenderfer

We present an R package bssm for Bayesian non-linear/non-Gaussian state space modelling. Unlike the existing packages, bssm allows for easy-to-use approximate inference based on Gaussian approximations such as the Laplace approximation and…

Computation · Statistics 2022-04-13 Jouni Helske , Matti Vihola

Normalizing flows model a complex target distribution in terms of a bijective transform operating on a simple base distribution. As such, they enable tractable computation of a number of important statistical quantities, particularly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-01 Chandramouli Shama Sastry , Andreas Lehrmann , Marcus Brubaker , Alexander Radovic

We consider the bridge linear regression modeling, which can produce a sparse or non-sparse model. A crucial point in the model building process is the selection of adjusted parameters including a regularization parameter and a tuning…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-02-19 Shuichi Kawano
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