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Computer model calibration is a crucial step in building a reliable computer model. In the face of massive physical observations, a fast estimation for the calibration parameters is urgently needed. To alleviate the computational burden, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-24 Shurui Lv , Yan Wang , Jun Yu

Max-stable processes are increasingly widely used for modelling complex extreme events, but existing fitting methods are computationally demanding, limiting applications to a few dozen variables. $r$-Pareto processes are mathematically…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-06-14 Raphaël de Fondeville , Anthony C. Davison

In this work, a fully nonparametric geostatistical approach to estimate threshold exceeding probabilities is proposed. To estimate the large-scale variability (spatial trend) of the process, the nonparametric local linear regression…

This paper is devoted to parameter estimation for partially observed polynomial state space models. This class includes discretely observed affine or more generally polynomial Markov processes. The polynomial structure allows for the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-11 Jan Kallsen , Ivo Richert

We present a new nonparametric mixture-of-experts model for multivariate regression problems, inspired by the probabilistic k-nearest neighbors algorithm. Using a conditionally specified model, predictions for out-of-sample inputs are based…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-08-05 Tianfang Zhang , Rasmus Bokrantz , Jimmy Olsson

In the mixture of experts model, a common assumption is the linearity between a response variable and covariates. While this assumption has theoretical and computational benefits, it may lead to suboptimal estimates by overlooking potential…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-17 Yeongsan Hwang , Byungtae Seo , Sangkon Oh

We develop a non-linear semi-parametric Gaussian process model to estimate periods of Miras with sparsely-sampled light curves. The model uses a sinusoidal basis for the periodic variation and a Gaussian process for the stochastic changes.…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2016-11-18 Shiyuan He , Wenlong Yuan , Jianhua Z. Huang , James Long , Lucas M. Macri

Intensity estimation is a common problem in statistical analysis of spatial point pattern data. This paper proposes a nonparametric Bayesian method for estimating the spatial point process intensity based on mixture of finite mixture (MFM)…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-09 Junxian Geng , Wei Shi , Guanyu Hu

Mixtures of generalized normal distributions (MGND) have gained popularity for modelling datasets with complex statistical behaviours. However, the estimation of the shape parameter within the maximum likelihood framework is quite complex,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-03 Pierdomenico Duttilo , Stefano Antonio Gattone

Tempered stable distributions are frequently used in financial applications (e.g., for option pricing) in which the tails of stable distributions would be too heavy. Given the non-explicit form of the probability density function,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-08 Till Massing

We define two minimum distance estimators for dependent data by minimizing some approximated Maximum Mean Discrepancy distances between the true empirical distribution of observations and their assumed (parametric) model distribution. When…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-19 Pierre Alquier , Jean-David Fermanian , Benjamin Poignard

This paper develops a systematic parametric method for analyzing stochastic systems under volatility uncertainty within the $G$-expectation framework. Leveraging the dual representation of the $G$-expectation as a supremum over a family of…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-27 Guangqian Zhao

In this paper we study predictive mean matching mass imputation estimators to integrate data from probability and non-probability samples. We consider two approaches: matching predicted to predicted ($\hat{y}-\hat{y}$~matching; PMM A) and…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-18 Piotr Chlebicki , Łukasz Chrostowski , Maciej Beręsewicz

In this manuscript, we consider a finite nonparametric mixture model with non-independent marginal density functions. Dependence between the marginal densities is modeled using a copula device. Until recently, no deterministic algorithms…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-23 Michael Levine

It is widely admitted that structured nonparametric modeling that circumvents the curse of dimensionality is important in nonparametric estimation. In this paper we show that the same holds for semi-parametric estimation. We argue that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-04-25 Kyusang Yu , Enno Mammen , Byeong U. Park

In this paper, we perform registration of noisy curves. We provide an appropriate model in estimating the rotation and scaling parameters to adjust a set of curves through a M-estimation procedure. We prove the consistency and the…

Applications · Statistics 2018-11-16 Edouard Fournier , Stéphane Grihon , Thierry Klein

We study a new parametric approach for particular hidden stochastic models such as the Stochastic Volatility model. This method is based on contrast minimization and deconvolution. After proving consistency and asymptotic normality of the…

Applications · Statistics 2013-03-15 Salima El Kolei

We introduce PMODE (Partitioned Mixture Of Density Estimators), a general and modular framework for mixture modeling with both parametric and nonparametric components. PMODE builds mixtures by partitioning the data and fitting separate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-01 Robert A. Vandermeulen

Given a random sample of observations, mixtures of normal densities are often used to estimate the unknown continuous distribution from which the data come. Here we propose the use of this semiparametric framework for testing symmetry about…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-04-23 Silvia Bacci , Francesco Bartolucci

A challenge when dealing with survival analysis data is accounting for a cure fraction, meaning that some subjects will never experience the event of interest. Mixture cure models have been frequently used to estimate both the probability…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-15 Eni Musta , Valentin Patilea , Ingrid Van Keilegom
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