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We derive an explicit representation for the transition law of a $p$-tempered $\alpha$-stable process of Ornstein-Uhlenbeck-type and use it to develop a methodology for simulation. Our results apply in both the univariate and multivariate…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-20 Michael Grabchak

We study the correlations of the celebrated Sine$_\beta$ point process. This point process arises as the bulk scaling limit of $\beta$-ensembles and has a geometric description through the Brownian carousel, as shown by Valk\'o and Vir\'ag…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-17 Laure Dumaz , Martin Malvy

We consider a particle moving in $d\geq 2$ dimensions, its velocity being a reversible diffusion process, with identity diffusion coefficient, of which the invariant measure behaves, roughly, like $(1+|v|)^{-\beta}$ as $|v|\to \infty$, for…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-18 Nicolas Fournier , Camille Tardif

The infinite Atlas model describes the evolution of a countable collection of Brownian particles on the real line, where the lowest particle is given a drift of $\gamma \in [0,\infty)$. We study equilibrium fluctuations for the Atlas model…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-23 Sayan Banerjee , Amarjit Budhiraja , Peter Rudzis

We prove a law of the iterated logarithm (LIL) for an infinite sum of independent indicators parameterized by $t$ as $t\to\infty$. It is shown that if the expectation $b$ and the variance $a$ of the sum are comparable, then the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-04 Dariusz Buraczewski , Alexander Iksanov , Valeriya Kotelnikova

Fractional Brownian motion, a stochastic process with long-time correlations between its increments, is a prototypical model for anomalous diffusion. We analyze fractional Brownian motion in the presence of a reflecting wall by means of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-02-21 Alexander H. O. Wada , Thomas Vojta

Split conformal prediction provides finite-sample marginal coverage under exchangeability, but this guarantee averages over the random calibration sample. We study instead the law of the calibration-conditional coverage induced by a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-20 Thiago R. Ramos , Helton Graziadei , Luben M. C. Cabezas

When stock prices are observed at high frequencies, more information can be utilized in estimation of parameters of the price process. However, high-frequency data are contaminated by the market microstructure noise which causes significant…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-21 Vladimír Holý , Petra Tomanová

We describe a Markov-Chain-Monte-Carlo algorithm which can be used to generate naturally labeled n-element posets at random with a probability distribution of one's choice. Implementing this algorithm for the uniform distribution, we…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2015-04-23 Joe Henson , David P. Rideout , Rafael D. Sorkin , Sumati Surya

We propose a new multifractional stochastic process which allows for self-exciting behavior, similar to what can be seen for example in earthquakes and other self-organizing phenomena. The process can be seen as an extension of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-08-16 Fabian A. Harang , Marc Lagunas-Merino , Salvador Ortiz-Latorre

The hard edge and bulk scaling limits of $\beta$-ensembles are described by the stochastic Bessel and sine operators, which are respectively a random Sturm-Liouville operator and a random Dirac operator. By representing both operators as…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-08 Vincent Painchaud

We propose discrete random-field models that are based on random partitions of $\mathbb{N}^2$. The covariance structure of each random field is determined by the underlying random partition. Functional central limit theorems are established…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-13 Olivier Durieu , Yizao Wang

A self-stabilizing processes $\{Z(t), t\in [t_0,t_1)\}$ is a random process which when localized, that is scaled to a fine limit near a given $t\in [t_0,t_1)$, has the distribution of an $\alpha(Z(t))$-stable process, where $\alpha:…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-20 K. J. Falconer , J. Lévy Véhel

We study the persistence probability for processes with stationary increments. Our results apply to a number of examples: sums of stationary correlated random variables whose scaling limit is fractional Brownian motion, random walks in…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-01 Frank Aurzada , Nadine Guillotin-Plantard , Françoise Pène

We give a new expression for the law of the eigenvalues of the discrete Anderson model on the finite interval $[0,N]$, in terms of two random processes starting at both ends of the interval. Using this formula, we deduce that the tail of…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2017-12-01 Raphael Ducatez

We develop efficient methods for simulating processes of Ornstein-Uhlenbeck type related to the class of $p$-tempered $\alpha$-stable ($\ts$) distributions. Our results hold for both the univariate and multivariate cases and we consider…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-02 Michael Grabchak , Piergiacomo Sabino

We consider a multiscale system of stochastic differential equations in which the slow component is perturbed by a small fractional Brownian motion with Hurst index $H>1/2$ and the fast component is driven by an independent Brownian motion.…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-13 Siragan Gailus , Ioannis Gasteratos

The fractional Brownian motion with index $\alpha$ is introduced to construct the fractional excursion set model. A new mass function with single parameter $\alpha$ is derived within the formalism, of which the Press-Schechter mass function…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-11 Jun Pan

This paper addresses the problem of estimating drift parameter of the Ornstein - Uhlenbeck type process, driven by the sum of independent standard and fractional Brownian motions. The maximum likelihood estimator is shown to be consistent…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-08-03 Pavel Chigansky , Marina Kleptsyna

We use Brownian dynamics simulations to study a model of a cyclic bacterial heat engine based on a harmonically confined colloidal probe particle in a bath formed by active Brownian particles. For intermediate activities, active noise…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2025-02-04 Roland Wiese , Klaus Kroy , Viktor Holubec
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