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Using observation data to estimate unknown parameters in computational models is broadly important. This task is often challenging because solutions are non-unique due to the complexity of the model and limited observation data. However,…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-12-18 Jiacheng Wu , Jian-Xun Wang , Shawn C. Shadden

Detailed dynamical systems' models used in the life sciences may include hundreds of state variables and many input parameters, often with physical meaning. Therefore, efficient and unique input parameter identification, from experimental…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2023-06-29 Harry Saxton , Xu Xu , Ian Halliday , Torsten Schenkel

Parameter estimation has a high importance in the geosciences. The ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) allows parameter estimation for large, time-dependent systems. For large systems, the EnKF is applied using small ensembles, which may lead to…

Applications · Statistics 2021-08-05 Johannes Keller , Harrie-Jan Hendricks Franssen , Wolfgang Nowak

The use of Kalman filtering, as well as its nonlinear extensions, for the estimation of system variables and parameters has played a pivotal role in many fields of scientific inquiry where observations of the system are restricted to a…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-02-15 Joseph Arthur , Adam Attarian , Franz Hamilton , Hien Tran

This paper investigates an approximation scheme of the optimal nonlinear Bayesian filter based on the Gaussian mixture representation of the state probability distribution function. The resulting filter is similar to the particle filter,…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-05-30 Ibrahim Hoteit , Xiaodong Luo , Dinh-Tuan Pham

We develop a simple and unified framework for nonlinear variable selection that incorporates uncertainty in the prediction function and is compatible with a wide range of machine learning models (e.g., tree ensembles, kernel methods, neural…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-05-30 Wenying Deng , Beau Coker , Rajarshi Mukherjee , Jeremiah Zhe Liu , Brent A. Coull

In this work, we study the emergence of sparsity and multiway structures in second-order statistical characterizations of dynamical processes governed by partial differential equations (PDEs). We consider several state-of-the-art multiway…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-12-09 Yu Wang , Alfred Hero

The ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) is a Monte Carlo approximation of the Kalman filter for high dimensional linear Gaussian state space models. EnKF methods have also been developed for parameter inference of static Bayesian models with a…

The estimation of static parameters in dynamical systems and control theory has been extensively studied, with significant progress made in estimating varying parameters in specific system types. Suppose, in the general case, we have data…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-07-10 Jamiree Harrison , Enoch Yeung

Data-informed predictive maintenance planning largely relies on stochastic deterioration models. Monitoring information can be utilized to update sequentially the knowledge on time-invariant deterioration model parameters either within an…

Computation · Statistics 2023-08-02 Antonios Kamariotis , Luca Sardi , Iason Papaioannou , Eleni Chatzi , Daniel Straub

We propose a method to account for model error due to unresolved scales in the context of the ensemble transform Kalman filter (ETKF). The approach extends to this class of algorithms the deterministic model error formulation recently…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2023-07-19 Lewis Mitchell , Alberto Carrassi

The Kalman Filter is a widely used approach for the linear estimation of dynamical systems and is frequently employed within nuclear and particle physics experiments for the reconstruction of charged particle trajectories, known as tracks.…

Instrumentation and Detectors · Physics 2025-03-04 Xiaocong Ai , Heather M. Gray , Andreas Salzburger , Nicholas Styles

This paper presents an approach for simultaneous estimation of the state and unknown parameters in a sequential data assimilation framework. The state augmentation technique, in which the state vector is augmented by the model parameters,…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2023-07-19 Naratip Santitissadeekorn , Chris Jones

Biomolecular systems are often modeled with partially known nonlinear stochastic dynamics, making state and parameter estimation a central challenge. While Kalman filtering techniques are widely used in this setting, their performance…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-28 Suryasnata Dash , Abhishek Dey

The Ensemble Kalman Filters (EnKF) employ a Monte-Carlo approach to represent covariance information, and are affected by sampling errors in operational settings where the number of model realizations is much smaller than the model state…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-06 Andrey A Popov , Adrian Sandu , Elias D. Nino-Ruiz , Geir Evensen

We examine the problem of time delay estimation, or temporal calibration, in the context of multisensor data fusion. Differences in processing intervals and other factors typically lead to a relative delay between measurement updates from…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-11-18 Jonathan Kelly , Christopher Grebe , Matthew Giamou

This paper proposes new methodology for sequential state and parameter estimation within the ensemble Kalman filter. The method is fully Bayesian and propagates the joint posterior density of states and parameters over time. In order to…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-14 Jonathan R. Stroud , Matthias Katzfuss , Christopher K. Wikle

We propose an information criterion for determining an unknown number of periodic components in functional time series. Identifying the number of frequencies in large-scale time series has been a central focus. To achieve this goal, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-24 Rinka Sagawa , Yan Liu , Valentin Patilea

In this paper, a dual estimation methodology is developed for both time-varying parameters and states of a nonlinear stochastic system based on the Particle Filtering (PF) scheme. Our developed methodology is based on a concurrent…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-06-29 Najmeh Daroogheh , Nader Meskin , Khashayar Khorasani

The iterative ensemble Kalman filter (IEnKF) is widely used in inverse problems to estimate system parameters from limited observations. However, the IEnKF, when applied to nonlinear systems, can be plagued by poor convergence. Here we…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-10-11 Jiacheng Wu , Jian-Xun Wang , Shawn C. Shadden