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The potential of recovering the topology of a grid using solely publicly available market data is explored here. In contemporary whole-sale electricity markets, real-time prices are typically determined by solving the network-constrained…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-02-17 Vassilis Kekatos , Georgios B. Giannakis , Ross Baldick

The rapid expansion of distributed energy resources (DERs) is one of the most significant changes to electricity systems around the world. Examples of DERs include solar panels, small natural gas-fueled generators, combined heat and power…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-03-29 Zuguang Gao , Khaled Alshehri , John R. Birge

Some consumers, particularly households, are unwilling to face volatile electricity prices, and they can perceive as unfair price differentiation in the same local area. For these reasons, nodal prices in distribution networks are rarely…

General Economics · Economics 2021-06-09 Iacopo Savelli , Thomas Morstyn

While the field of electricity price forecasting has benefited from plenty of contributions in the last two decades, it arguably lacks a rigorous approach to evaluating new predictive algorithms. The latter are often compared using unique,…

Applications · Statistics 2022-04-07 Jesus Lago , Grzegorz Marcjasz , Bart De Schutter , Rafał Weron

We introduce a general, simple, and computationally efficient framework for predicting day-ahead supply and demand merit-order curves, from which both point and probabilistic electricity price forecasts can be derived. We conduct a rigorous…

Applications · Statistics 2026-01-12 Guillaume Koechlin , Filippo Bovera , Piercesare Secchi

Modeling price risks is crucial for economic decision making in energy markets. Besides the risk of a single price, the dependence structure of multiple prices is often relevant. We therefore propose a generic and easy-to-implement method…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-03-03 Oliver Grothe , Fabian Kächele , Fabian Krüger

Electricity storage is used for intertemporal price arbitrage and for ancillary services that balance unforeseen supply and demand fluctuations via frequency regulation. We present an optimization model that computes bids for both arbitrage…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-12 Dirk Lauinger , Luc Coté , Andy Sun

The European power grid can be divided into several market areas where the price of electricity is determined in a day-ahead auction. Market participants can provide continuous hourly bid curves and combinatorial bids with associated…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-03-02 Alexander Martin , Johannes C. Müller , Sebastian Pokutta

Renewable power sources have low marginal pro-duction costs, but may result in high balancing costs due to the inherent production uncertainty. Current day-ahead markets elicit only point production profiles and neglect the degree of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-06 Shobhit Singhal , Lesia Mitridati , Licio Romao

Electricity price forecasting is an essential task in all the deregulated markets of the world. The accurate prediction of the day-ahead electricity prices is an active research field and available data from various markets can be used as…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-11-18 Salih Gunduz , Umut Ugurlu , Ilkay Oksuz

The increasing vulnerability of power systems has heightened the need for operating reserves to manage contingencies such as generator outages, line failures, and sudden load variations. Unlike energy costs, driven by consumer demand,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-06 Luiza Ribeiro , Alexandre Street , Jose Manuel Arroyo , Rodrigo Moreno

Electricity markets are experiencing a rapid increase in energy storage unit participation. Unlike conventional generation resources, quantifying the competitive operation and identifying if a storage unit is exercising market power is…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-01-16 Yiqian Wu , Bolun Xu , James Anderson

We consider a market model that consists of financial investors and producers of a commodity. Producers optionally store some production for future sale and go short on forward contracts to hedge the uncertainty of the future commodity…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2017-01-24 Michail Anthropelos , Michael Kupper , Antonis Papapantoleon

To enable an efficient electricity market, a good pricing scheme is of vital importance. Among many practical schemes, customized pricing is commonly believed to be able to best exploit the flexibility in the demand side. However, due to…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2019-12-13 Jingshi Cui , Haoxiang Wang , Chenye Wu , Yang Yu

Minimizing the peak power consumption and matching demand to supply, under fixed threshold polices, are two key requirements for the success of the future electricity market. In this work, we consider dynamic pricing methods to minimize the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-10-26 Zaid Almahmoud , Jacob Crandall , Khaled Elbassioni , Trung Thanh Nguyen , Mardavij Roozbehani

Traditionally, the electric distribution system operates with uniform energy prices across all system nodes. However, as the adoption of distributed energy resources (DERs) propels a shift from passive to active distribution network (ADN)…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-11-21 Xiaofei Wang , Fangxing Li , Linquan Bai , Xin Fang

The price of solar panels is decreasing rapidly and governments around the world are investing in solar power plants to increase the portion of solar energy in the smart grid. The price of electricity produced by solar power plants is much…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-02-12 Muhammad Hamad Zaheer

A distributed, hierarchical, market based approach is introduced to solve the economic dispatch problem. The approach requires only a minimal amount of information to be shared between a central market operator and the end-users. Price…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2020-09-07 Cornelis Jan van Leeuwen , Joost Stam , Arun Subramanian , Koen Kok

Efficient markets are characterised by profit-driven participants continuously refining their positions towards the latest insights. Margins for profit generation are generally small, shaping a difficult landscape for automated trading…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-04-16 Robin Bruneel , Mathijs Schuurmans , Panagiotis Patrinos

The growing share of proactive actors in the electricity markets calls for more attention on prosumers and more support for their decision-making under decentralized electricity markets. In view of the changing paradigm, it is crucial to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-05-24 Ni Wang , Remco Verzijlbergh , Petra Heijnen , Paulien Herder