Related papers: A path integral approach to Bayesian inference in …
Probabilistic inference provides a language for describing how organisms may learn from and adapt to their environment. The computations needed to implement probabilistic inference often require specific representations, akin to having the…
The literature on Bayesian methods for the analysis of discrete-time semi-Markov processes is sparse. In this paper, we introduce the semi-Markov beta-Stacy process, a stochastic process useful for the Bayesian non-parametric analysis of…
Stochastic quantization in physics has been considered to provide a path integral representation of a probability distribution for Ito processes. It has been indicated that the stochastic quantization can involve a potential term, if the…
Probablistic solutions of the so called Schr\"{o}dinger boundary data problem provide for a unique Markovian interpolation between any two strictly positive probability densities designed to form the input-output statistics data for a…
We introduce two new integral transforms of the quantum mechanical transition kernel that represent physical information about the path integral. These transforms can be interpreted as probability distributions on particle trajectories…
An approximation method is presented for probabilistic inference with continuous random variables. These problems can arise in many practical problems, in particular where there are "second order" probabilities. The approximation, based on…
An analytical formula for the occurence probability of Markovian stochastic paths with repeatedly visited and/or equal departure rates is derived. This formula is essential for an efficient investigation of the trajectories belonging to…
Probability distributions which can be obtained from superpositions of Gaussian distributions of different variances v = \sigma ^2 play a favored role in quantum theory and financial markets. Such superpositions need not necessarily obey…
Recent advances in stochastic gradient variational inference have made it possible to perform variational Bayesian inference with posterior approximations containing auxiliary random variables. This enables us to explore a new synthesis of…
In this paper we consider Bayesian estimation for the parameters of inverse Gaussian distribution. Our emphasis is on Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods. We provide complete implementation of the Gibbs sampler algorithm. Assuming an…
The stochastization of the Jacobi second equality of classical mechanics, by Gaussian white noises for the Lagrangian of a particle in an arbitrary field is considered. The quantum mechanical Hamilton operator similar to that in Euclidian…
We propose a very fast approximate Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling framework that is applicable to a large class of sparse Bayesian inference problems, where the computational cost per iteration in several models is of order…
Reinforced processes are known to provide a stochastic representation for the quasi-stationary distribution of a given killed Markov process - describing the killed Markov process at fixed time instants. In this paper we shall adapt the…
Work statistics characterizes important features of a non-equilibrium thermodynamic process. But the calculation of the work statistics in an arbitrary non-equilibrium process is usually a cumbersome task. In this work, we study the work…
We present a new Markov chain Monte Carlo method for estimating posterior probabilities of structural features in Bayesian networks. The method draws samples from the posterior distribution of partial orders on the nodes; for each sampled…
Markov jump processes are continuous-time stochastic processes with a wide range of applications in both natural and social sciences. Despite their widespread use, inference in these models is highly non-trivial and typically proceeds via…
In this work a Feynman-Kac path integral method based on Levy measure has been proposed for solving the Cauchy problems associated with the space-time fractional Schroedinger equations arising in interacting systems in fractional quantum…
Bayesian inference typically relies on specifying a parametric model that approximates the data-generating process. However, misspecified models can yield poor convergence rates and unreliable posterior calibration. Bayesian empirical…
Epidemics are inherently stochastic, and stochastic models provide an appropriate way to describe and analyse such phenomena. Given temporal incidence data consisting of, for example, the number of new infections or removals in a given time…
The derivation of path integrals is reconsidered. It is shown that the expression for the discretized action is not unique, and the path integration domain can be deformed so that at least Gaussian path integrals become probabillistic. This…