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Dynamic Causal Modelling (DCM) is the predominant method for inferring effective connectivity from neuroimaging data. In the 15 years since its introduction, the neural models and statistical routines in DCM have developed in parallel,…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2019-07-15 Peter Zeidman , Amirhossein Jafarian , Nadège Corbin , Mohamed L. Seghier , Adeel Razi , Cathy J. Price , Karl J. Friston

We seek to narrow the gap between parametric and nonparametric modelling of stationary time series processes. The approach is inspired by recent advances in focused inference and model selection techniques. The paper generalises and extends…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-20 Gudmund Hermansen , Nils Lid Hjort , Martin Jullum

Functional brain dynamics is supported by parallel and overlapping functional network modes that are associated with specific neural circuits. Decomposing these network modes from fMRI data and finding their temporal characteristics is…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-12-08 Md Asadullah Turja , Martin Styner , Guorong Wu

Accurate multivariate time series forecasting hinges on inter-series correlations, which often evolve in complex ways across different temporal scales. Existing methods are limited in modeling these multi-scale dependencies and struggle to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-27 Shaoxun Wang , Xingjun Zhang , Qianyang Li , Jiawei Cao , Zhendong Tan

Functional connectivity (FC) refers to the investigation of interactions between brain regions to understand integration of neural activity in several regions. FC is often estimated using functional magnetic resonance images (fMRI). There…

Applications · Statistics 2023-01-24 Nathan Tung , Jerome Sanes , Eli Upfal , Ani Eloyan

Identifying a coupled dynamical system out of many plausible candidates, each of which could serve as the underlying generator of some observed measurements, is a profoundly ill posed problem that commonly arises when modelling real world…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2019-09-17 Amirhossein Jafarian , Peter Zeidman , Vladimir Litvak , Karl Friston

We propose a novel deep learning approach to nonparametric statistical inference for the conditional hazard function of survival time with right-censored data. We use a deep neural network (DNN) to approximate the logarithm of a conditional…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-24 Wen Su , Kin-Yat Liu , Guosheng Yin , Jian Huang , Xingqiu Zhao

Dynamic functional connectivity is an effective measure for the brain's responses to continuous stimuli. We propose an inferential method to detect the dynamic changes of brain networks based on time-varying graphical models. Whereas most…

Applications · Statistics 2020-06-23 Dingjue Ji , Junwei Lu , Yiliang Zhang , Hongyu Zhao , Siyuan Gao

This study introduces a novel nonparametric approach for detecting Differential Item Functioning (DIF) in binary items through direct comparison of Item Response Curves (IRCs). Building on prior work on nonparametric comparison of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-25 Adéla Hladká , Patrícia Martinková

The Dynamic-Mode Decomposition (DMD) is a well established data-driven method of finding temporally evolving linear-mode decompositions of nonlinear time series. Traditionally, this method presumes that all relevant dimensions are sampled…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-01-13 Christopher W. Curtis , Daniel Jay Alford-Lago

Time series forecasting has witnessed significant progress with deep learning. While prevailing approaches enhance forecasting performance by modifying architectures or introducing novel enhancement strategies, they often fail to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-31 Haonan Yang , Jianchao Tang , Zhuo Li

The central nervous system is composed of many individual units -- from cells to areas -- that are connected with one another in a complex pattern of functional interactions that supports perception, action, and cognition. One natural and…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2017-04-03 Ann E. Sizemore , Danielle S. Bassett

Correlations in multifractal series have been investigated, extensively. Almost all approaches try to find scaling features of a given time series. However, the analysis of such scaling properties has some difficulties such as finding a…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-02-03 Pouya Manshour

The center stage of neuro-imaging is currently occupied by studies of functional correlations between brain regions. These correlations define the brain functional networks, which are the most frequently used framework to represent and…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2022-10-27 Ignacio Cifre , Maria T. Miller Flores , Jeremi K. Ochab , Dante R. Chialvo

Canonical correlation analysis (CCA) is a widely used technique for estimating associations between two sets of multi-dimensional variables. Recent advancements in CCA methods have expanded their application to decipher the interactions of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-05 Hongju Park , Shuyang Bai , Zhenyao Ye , Hwiyoung Lee , Tianzhou Ma , Shuo Chen

Alzheimer's disease (AD) is the most prevalent form of dementia. Traditional methods cannot achieve efficient and accurate diagnosis of AD. In this paper, we introduce a novel method based on dynamic functional connectivity (dFC) that can…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-06-25 Xingwei An , Yutao Zhou , Yang Di , Dong Ming

We address the problem of uncertainty quantification in time series forecasting by exploiting observations at correlated sequences. Relational deep learning methods leveraging graph representations are among the most effective tools for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-09 Andrea Cini , Alexander Jenkins , Danilo Mandic , Cesare Alippi , Filippo Maria Bianchi

This paper addresses the problem of consistently estimating a continuous-time (CT) diffusively coupled network (DCN) to identify physical components in a physical network. We develop a three-step frequency-domain identification method for…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-25 Desen Liang , E. M. M. , Kivits , Maarten Schoukens , Paul M. J. Van den Hof

Establishing causality is a fundamental goal in fields like medicine and social sciences. While randomized controlled trials are the gold standard for causal inference, they are not always feasible or ethical. Observational studies can…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-12-03 Andrew Ying

Ensemble learning serves as a straightforward way to improve the performance of almost any machine learning algorithm. Existing deep ensemble methods usually naively train many different models and then aggregate their predictions. This is…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-12-15 Le Zhang , Qibin Hou , Yun Liu , Jia-Wang Bian , Xun Xu , Joey Tianyi Zhou , Ce Zhu