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Related papers: Large-deviation properties of the extended Moran m…

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Recently observation of random walks in complex environments like the cell and other glassy systems revealed that the spreading of particles, at its tails, follows a spatial exponential decay instead of the canonical Gaussian. We use the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-03-23 Wanli Wang , Eli Barkai , Stanislav Burov

Evolutionary branching is analysed in a stochastic, individual-based population model under mutation and selection. In such models, the common assumption is that individual reproduction and life career are characterised by values of a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-10-01 S. Sagitov , B. Mehlig , P. Jagers , V. Vatutin

The Galton--Watson process is the simplest example of a branching process. The relationship between the offspring distribution, and, when the extinction occurs almost surely, the distribution of the total progeny is well known. In this…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-04-10 Claudio Macci , Barbara Pacchiarotti

The Time To the Most Recent Common Ancestor (TMRCA) based on human mitochondrial DNA (mtDNA) is estimated to be twice that based on the non-recombining part of the Y chromosome (NRY). These TMRCAs have special demographic implications…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-12-19 Maroussia Favre , Didier Sornette

Population dynamics provides a numerical tool allowing for the study of rare events by means of simulating a large number of copies of the system, supplemented with a selection rule that favours the rare trajectories of interest. The…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-06-07 Esteban Guevara Hidalgo

We consider the branching random walk on the real line where the underlying motion is of a simple random walk and branching is at least binary and at most decaying exponentially in law. It is well known that the normalized empirical measure…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-07-11 Oren Louidor , Will Perkins

We analyse numerically the effects of small population size in the initial transient regime of a simple example population dynamics. These effects play an important role for the numerical determination of large deviation functions of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-09-28 Esteban Guevara Hidalgo , Vivien Lecomte

We consider a stochastic version of the basic predator-prey differential equation model. The model, which contains a parameter \omega which represents the number of individuals for one unit of prey -- If x denotes the quantity of prey in…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2011-11-29 Fabien Campillo , Claude Lobry

In exponentially proliferating populations of microbes, the population typically doubles at a rate less than the average doubling time of a single-cell due to variability at the single-cell level. It is known that the distribution of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-29 Ethan Levien , Trevor GrandPre , Ariel Amir

The entropy rates of the Wright-Fisher process, the Moran process, and generalizations are computed and used to compare these processes and their dependence on standard evolutionary parameters. Entropy rates are measures of the variation…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2014-03-26 Marc Harper

An introduction to numerical large-deviation sampling is provided. First, direct biasing with a known distribution is explained. As simple example, the Bernoulli experiment is used throughout the text. Next, Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC)…

Computational Physics · Physics 2025-10-01 Alexander K. Hartmann

Traditionally, population models distinguish individuals on the basis of their current state. Given a distribution, a discrete time model then specifies (precisely in deterministic models, probabilistically in stochastic models) the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-09-21 B. Boldin , O. Diekmann , J. A. J. Metz

The Luria-Delbr\"uck distribution is a classical model of mutations in cell kinetics. It is obtained as a limit when the probability of mutation tends to zero and the number of divisions to infinity. It can be interpreted as a compound…

Applications · Statistics 2013-09-11 Agnès Hamon , Bernard Ycart

To understand the effect of assortative mating on the genetic evolution of a population, we consider a finite population in which each individual has a type, determined by a sequence of n diallelic loci. We assume that the population…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-30 Alison M. Etheridge , Sophie Lemaire

A transformation group approach to the prior for the parameters of the beta distribution is suggested which accounts for finite sets of data by imposing a limit to the range of parameter values under consideration. The relationship between…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-10-18 Robert W. Johnson

It is well known that the mean field theory of directed polymers in a random medium exhibits replica symmetry breaking with a distribution of overlaps which consists of two delta functions. Here we show that the leading finite size…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-10-12 Bernard Derrida , Peter Mottishaw

Biological tools such as genetic lineage tracing, three dimensional confocal microscopy and next generation DNA sequencing are providing new ways to quantify the distribution of clones of normal and mutated cells. Population-wide clone size…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2013-11-25 Roshan A , Jones PH , Greenman CD

A natural example of evolution can be described by a time-dependent two degrees-of-freedom Hamiltonian. We choose the case where initially the Hamiltonian derives from a general cubic potential, the linearised system has frequencies 1 and…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-11-03 Ferdinand Verhulst

If one goes backward in time, the number of ancestors of an individual doubles at each generation. This exponential growth very quickly exceeds the population size, when this size is finite. As a consequence, the ancestors of a given…

Biological Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 B. Derrida , S. C. Manrubia , D. H. Zanette

We construct an individual-based metapopulation model of population genetics featuring migration, mutation, selection and genetic drift. In the case of a single `island', the model reduces to the Moran model. Using the diffusion…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-04-16 George W. A. Constable , Alan J. McKane