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Related papers: Time Series Prediction : Predicting Stock Price

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We present a large scale benchmark of modern deep learning architectures for a financial time series prediction and position sizing task, with a primary focus on Sharpe ratio optimization. Evaluating linear models, recurrent networks,…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-03 Adir Saly-Kaufmann , Kieran Wood , Jan Peter-Calliess , Stefan Zohren

This research aims to leverage machine learning to improve stock price prediction and support informed investment decisions related to buying, selling, and holding assets. Specifically, this work investigates transformer-based models for…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-26 Marie Soehl Coolsaet , Roberto Gallardo , Zhen Gao

Whether or not stocks are predictable has been a topic of concern for decades.The efficient market hypothesis (EMH) says that it is difficult for investors to make extra profits by predicting stock prices, but this may not be true,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-07-07 Yueshan Chen , Xingyu Xu , Tian Lan , Sihai Zhang

The existing literature provides evidence that limit order book data can be used to predict short-term price movements in stock markets. This paper proposes a new neural network architecture for predicting return jump arrivals in equity…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2021-09-17 Ymir Mäkinen , Juho Kanniainen , Moncef Gabbouj , Alexandros Iosifidis

Recent studies have shown the classification and prediction power of the Neural Networks. It has been demonstrated that a NN can approximate any continuous function. Neural networks have been successfully used for forecasting of financial…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2018-02-09 Bogdan Oancea , ŞTefan Cristian Ciucu

Many businesses and industries require accurate forecasts for weekly time series nowadays. However, the forecasting literature does not currently provide easy-to-use, automatic, reproducible and accurate approaches dedicated to this task.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-05 Rakshitha Godahewa , Christoph Bergmeir , Geoffrey I. Webb , Pablo Montero-Manso

Prediction of future movement of stock prices has been a subject matter of many research work. There is a gamut of literature of technical analysis of stock prices where the objective is to identify patterns in stock price movements and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-09-07 Sidra Mehtab , Jaydip Sen

This paper applies a recurrent neural network (RNN) method to forecast cotton and oil prices. We show how these new tools from machine learning, particularly Long-Short Term Memory (LSTM) models, complement traditional methods. Our results…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-18 Racine Ly , Fousseini Traore , Khadim Dia

While time series momentum is a well-studied phenomenon in finance, common strategies require the explicit definition of both a trend estimator and a position sizing rule. In this paper, we introduce Deep Momentum Networks -- a hybrid…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-09-29 Bryan Lim , Stefan Zohren , Stephen Roberts

With technological advancements and the exponential growth of data, we have been unfolding different capabilities of neural networks in different sectors. In this paper, I have tried to use a specific type of Neural Network known as…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2021-06-04 Kunal Bhardwaj

Stock market forecasting is a classic problem that has been thoroughly investigated using machine learning and artificial neural network based tools and techniques. Interesting aspects of this problem include its time reliance as well as…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-02-20 Raihan Tanvir , Md Tanvir Rouf Shawon , Md. Golam Rabiul Alam

The unpredictability and volatility of the stock market render it challenging to make a substantial profit using any generalised scheme. Many previous studies tried different techniques to build a machine learning model, which can make a…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2023-08-14 A. K. M. Amanat Ullah , Fahim Imtiaz , Miftah Uddin Md Ihsan , Md. Golam Rabiul Alam , Mahbub Majumdar

In an era where financial markets are heavily influenced by many static and dynamic factors, it has become increasingly critical to carefully integrate diverse data sources with machine learning for accurate stock price prediction. This…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-10 Furkan Karadaş , Bahaeddin Eravcı , Ahmet Murat Özbayoğlu

New fast estimation methods stemming from control theory lead to a fresh look at time series, which bears some resemblance to "technical analysis". The results are applied to a typical object of financial engineering, namely the forecast of…

Applications · Statistics 2009-03-23 Michel Fliess , Cédric Join

Stock price prediction is a challenging problem in the field of finance and receives widespread attention. In recent years, with the rapid development of technologies such as deep learning and graph neural networks, more research methods…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-05-13 Peng Zhu , Yuante Li , Yifan Hu , Qinyuan Liu , Dawei Cheng , Yuqi Liang

This article presents a novel method for prediction of stationary functional time series, in particular for trajectories that share a similar pattern but display variable phases. The limitation of most of the existing prediction…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-08 Shuhao Jiao , Hernando Ombao

This paper will discuss how headline data can be used to predict stock prices. The stock price in question is the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust, also known as SPY that tracks the performance of the largest 500 publicly traded corporations in the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-04 Ayaan Qayyum

Existing surveys on stock market prediction often focus on traditional machine learning methods instead of deep learning methods. This motivates us to provide a structured and comprehensive overview of the research on stock market…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-02-10 Jinan Zou , Qingying Zhao , Yang Jiao , Haiyao Cao , Yanxi Liu , Qingsen Yan , Ehsan Abbasnejad , Lingqiao Liu , Javen Qinfeng Shi

Time series prediction is a widespread and well studied problem with applications in many domains (medical, geoscience, network analysis, finance, econometry etc.). In the case of multivariate time series, the key to good performances is to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-09 Darko Drakulic , Jean-Marc Andreoli

A Spartan random process (SRP) is used to estimate the correlation structure of time series and to predict (extrapolate) the data values. SRP's are motivated from statistical physics, and they can be viewed as Ginzburg-Landau models. The…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-12-24 M. Zukovic , D. T. Hristopulos