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A class of continuous-time autoregressive moving average (CARMA) process driven by simple semi-Levy measure is defined and its properties are studied. We discuss some new insights on the structure of the semi-Levy measure which is described…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-09 N. Modarresi , S. Rezakhah , S. Shoaee

Multivariate long-term and efficient time series forecasting is a key requirement for a variety of practical applications, and there are complex interleaving time dynamics in time series data that require decomposition modeling. Traditional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-11 Hang Ye , Gaoxiang Duan , Haoran Zeng , Yangxin Zhu , Lingxue Meng , Xiaoying Zheng , Yongxin Zhu

The Kumaraswamy distribution has been proposed as an alternative to the beta distribution with more benign algebraic properties. They have the same two parameters, the same support and qualitatively similar shape for any parameter values.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-06-21 Baltasar Trancón y Widemann

Continuous-time autoregressive and moving average (CARMA) models are extensively used to model high-frequency and irregularly sampled data. We study Whittle estimation for the model parameters when the process is observed at renewal times.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-09 Frank Bosserhoff , Giacomo Francisci , Robert Stelzer

A novel first-order moving-average model for analyzing time series observed at irregularly spaced intervals is introduced. Two definitions are presented, which are equivalent under Gaussianity. The first one relies on normally distributed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-14 Cesar Ojeda , Wilfredo Palma , Susana Eyheramendy , Felipe Elorrieta

A new five-parameter continuous distribution which generalizes the Kumaraswamy and the beta distributions as well as some other well-known distributions is proposed and studied. The model has as special cases new four- and three-parameter…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-04-07 Jalmar M. F. Carrasco , Silvia L. P. Ferrari , Gauss M. Cordeiro

A transformation relation between multivariate ARMA and CARMA processes is derived through a discretization procedure. This gives a direct relationship between the discrete time and continuous time analogues, serving as the basis for an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-12 Mari Dahl Eggen

Existing models for high-dimensional time series are overwhelmingly developed within the finite-order vector autoregressive (VAR) framework. However, the more flexible vector autoregressive moving averages (VARMA) have been much less…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-01 Feiqing Huang , Kexin Lu , Yao Zheng

Time series of matrix-valued data are increasingly available in various areas including economics, finance, social science, among others. These data may shed light on the inter-dynamical relationships between two sets of attributes, for…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-22 Fei Wu , Kung-Sik Chan

In this paper, we introduce and study the size-biased form of Kumaraswamy distribution. The Kumaraswamy distribution which has drawn considerable attention in hydrology and related areas was proposed by Kumarswamy. The new distribution is…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-09-30 Dreamlee Sharma , Tapan Kumar Chakrabarty

Celestial objects exhibit a wide range of variability in brightness at different wavebands. Surprisingly, the most common methods for characterizing time series in statistics -- parametric autoregressive modeling -- is rarely used to…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2019-01-24 Eric D. Feigelson , G. Jogesh Babu , Gabriel A. Caceres

We introduce L\'evy-driven causal CARMA random fields on $\mathbb{R}^d$, extending the class of CARMA processes. The definition is based on a system of stochastic partial differential equations which generalize the classical state-space…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-24 Viet Son Pham

Parametric autoregressive moving average models with exogenous terms (ARMAX) have been widely used in the literature. Usually, these models consider a conditional mean or median dynamics, which limits the analysis. In this paper, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-02 Alan Dasilva , Helton Saulo , Roberto Vila , Jose A. Fiorucci , Suvra Pal

Traditional statistical approaches for estimating the parameters of the Kumaraswamy distribution have dealt with precise information. However, in real world situations, some information about an underlying experimental process might be…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-02 Indranil Ghosh

The modeling and analysis of lifetimes is an important aspect of statistical work in a wide variety of scientific and technological fields. For the first time, the called Kumaraswamy Pareto distribution is introduced and studied. The new…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-12-05 Marcelo B. Pereira , Rodrigo B. Silva , Luz M. Zea , Gauss M. Cordeiro

A spectral representation for regularly varying L\'evy processes with index between one and two is established and the properties of the resulting random noise are discussed in detail giving also new insight in the $L^2$-case where the…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-05-16 Florian Fuchs , Robert Stelzer

Multivariate dynamic time series models are widely encountered in practical studies, e.g., modelling policy transmission mechanism and measuring connectedness between economic agents. To better capture the dynamics, this paper proposes a…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-10-06 Yayi Yan , Jiti Gao , Bin Peng

Autoregressive conditional duration (ACD) models are primarily used to deal with data arising from times between two successive events. These models are usually specified in terms of a time-varying conditional mean or median duration. In…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-10 Helton Saulo , Narayanaswamy Balakrishnan , Roberto Vila

Conditional autoregressive (CAR) models are commonly used to capture spatial correlation in areal unit data, and are typically specified as a prior distribution for a set of random effects, as part of a hierarchical Bayesian model. The…

Applications · Statistics 2012-05-17 Duncan Lee , Richard Mitchell

Traditional spatio-temporal models for areal data typically begin with spatial structure imposed at the level of random effects and later extend to include temporal dynamics. We propose an alternative hierarchical modeling framework that…