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Understanding dependencies between variables is critical for interpretability and efficient generation in masked diffusion models (MDMs), yet these models primarily expose marginal conditional distributions and do not explicitly represent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-21 Jai Sharma , Yifan Wang , Bryan Li

As inductive inference and machine learning methods in computer science see continued success, researchers are aiming to describe ever more complex probabilistic models and inference algorithms. It is natural to ask whether there is a…

Logic · Mathematics 2019-11-19 Nathanael L. Ackerman , Cameron E. Freer , Daniel M. Roy

Probabilistic conditioning is concerned with the identification of a distribution of a random variable $X$ given a random variable $Y$. It is a cornerstone of scientific and engineering applications where modeling uncertainty is key. This…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-13 Panos Tsimpos , Edoardo Calvello , Ayoub Belhadji , Nicholas H. Nelsen

This paper introduces a new property of estimators of the strength of statistical association, which helps characterize how well an estimator will perform in scenarios where dependencies between continuous and discrete random variables need…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-01-12 Kiran Karra , Lamine Mili

In this paper we consider finite conditional random quantities and conditional previsions assessments in the setting of coherence. We use a suitable representation for conditional random quantities; in particular the indicator of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-04-13 Angelo Gilio , Giuseppe Sanfilippo

We study the problem of using i.i.d. samples from an unknown multivariate probability distribution $p$ to estimate the mutual information of $p$. This problem has recently received attention in two settings: (1) where $p$ is assumed to be…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-02-28 Shashank Singh , Barnabás Pøczos

We address the practical problems of estimating the information relations that characterize large networks. Building on methods developed for analysis of the neural code, we show that reliable estimates of mutual information can be obtained…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2007-07-13 Noam Slonim , Gurinder S. Atwal , Gasper Tkacik , William Bialek

There are several estimators of conditional probability from observed frequencies of features. In this paper, we propose using the lower limit of confidence interval on posterior distribution determined by the observed frequencies to…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-09-26 Masato Kikuchi , Eiko Yamamoto , Mitsuo Yoshida , Masayuki Okabe , Kyoji Umemura

Multivariate pattern analyses approaches in neuroimaging are fundamentally concerned with investigating the quantity and type of information processed by various regions of the human brain; typically, estimates of classification accuracy…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-10-11 Charles Y. Zheng , Yuval Benjamini

A simpler approach to the characterization of vanishing conditional mutual information is presented. Some remarks are given as well. More specifically, relating the conditional mutual information to a commutator is a very promising approach…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2013-05-08 Lin Zhang

Learning high-dimensional distributions is a significant challenge in machine learning and statistics. Classical research has mostly concentrated on asymptotic analysis of such data under suitable assumptions. While existing works…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-19 Sutanu Gayen , Sanket Kale , Sayantan Sen

Estimating mutual information from text usually requires training a task-specific critic, which limits its use in low-data settings. We ask whether large language models can instead estimate pointwise mutual information zero-shot, using…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-05-22 Juliette Woodrow , Chris Piech

We study properties of two resampling scenarios: Conditional Randomisation and Conditional Permutation schemes, which are relevant for testing conditional independence of discrete random variables $X$ and $Y$ given a random variable $Z$.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-14 Małgorzata Łazęcka , Bartosz Kołodziejek , Jan Mielniczuk

One of the most fundamental questions one can ask about a pair of random variables X and Y is the value of their mutual information. Unfortunately, this task is often stymied by the extremely large dimension of the variables. We might hope…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-06-21 Ryan G. James , John R. Mahoney , James P. Crutchfield

We introduce a test for the conditional independence of random variables $X$ and $Y$ given a random variable $Z$, specifically by sampling from the joint distribution $(X,Y,Z)$, binning the support of the distribution of $Z$, and conducting…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-05 Andrew Warren

The joint distribution $P(X,Y)$ cannot be determined from its marginals $P(X)$ and $P(Y)$ alone; one also needs one of the conditionals $P(X|Y)$ or $P(Y|X)$. But is there a best guess, given only the marginals? Here we answer this question…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-26 Richard Rohwer

If $X,Y,Z$ denote sets of random variables, two different data sources may contain samples from $P_{X,Y}$ and $P_{Y,Z}$, respectively. We argue that causal inference can help inferring properties of the 'unobserved joint distributions'…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-05-18 Dominik Janzing

Mutual information (MI) is a promising candidate measure for the assessment and optimization of localization systems, as it captures nonlinear dependencies between random variables. However, the high cost of computing MI, especially for…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-11-04 Sven Hinderer , Manuel Buchfink , Bin Yang

An information-theoretic development is given for the problem of compound Poisson approximation, which parallels earlier treatments for Gaussian and Poisson approximation. Let $P_{S_n}$ be the distribution of a sum $S_n=\Sumn Y_i$ of…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-05 A. D. Barbour , Oliver Johnson , Ioannis Kontoyiannis , Mokshay Madiman

Diffusion bridge models in both continuous and discrete state spaces have recently become powerful tools in the field of generative modeling. In this work, we leverage the discrete state space formulation of bridge matching models to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-10 Iryna Zabarianska , Sergei Kholkin , Grigoriy Ksenofontov , Ivan Butakov , Alexander Korotin
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