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Scheduling a residential building short-term to optimize the electricity bill can be difficult with the inclusion of capacity-based grid tariffs. Scheduling the building based on a proposed measured-peak (MP) grid tariff, which is a cost…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-08-25 Kasper Emil Thorvaldsen , Sigurd Bjarghov , Hossein Farahmand

This paper addresses the problem of planning under uncertainty in large Markov Decision Processes (MDPs). Factored MDPs represent a complex state space using state variables and the transition model using a dynamic Bayesian network. This…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2011-06-10 C. Guestrin , D. Koller , R. Parr , S. Venkataraman

Efficiently computing the optimal control policy concerning a complicated future with stochastic disturbance has always been a challenge. The predicted stochastic future disturbance can be represented by a scenario tree, but solving the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-08-31 Ran Jing , Xiangrui Zeng

Predicting future operational risk losses gives rise to a significant challenge due to the heterogeneous and time-dependent structures present in real-world data. Furthermore, stress test exercises require examining the relationship with…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-24 Nikeethan Selvaratnam , Dorinel Bastide , Clément Fernandes , Wojciech Pieczynski

This paper deals with the question of how to most effectively conduct experiments in Partially Observed Markov Decision Processes so as to provide data that is most informative about a parameter of interest. Methods from Markov decision…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2018-01-31 Leifur Thorbergsson , Giles Hooker

Temperature control in refrigerated delivery vehicles is critical for preserving product quality, yet existing approaches neglect critical operational uncertainties, such as stochastic door opening durations and heterogeneous initial…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-08 Francesco Giliberto , Rosario Paradiso , David Wozabal

Due to the fluctuating nature of the wind and the increasing use of wind energy as a power source, wind power will have an increasing negative influence on the stability of the power grid. In this paper, a model predictive control strategy…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-07-14 Valentijn van de Scheur , Sjoerd Boersma

We consider a dynamic programming (DP) approach to approximately solving an infinite-horizon constrained Markov decision process (CMDP) problem with a fixed initial-state for the expected total discounted-reward criterion with a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-08-08 Hyeong Soo Chang

To capture the stochastic characteristics of renewable energy generation output, the chance-constrained unit commitment (CCUC) model is widely used. Conventionally, analytical solution for CCUC is usually based on simplified probability…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-05-30 Yue Yang , Wenchuan Wu , Bin Wang , Mingjie Li

In this paper, a model predictive control scheme for wind farms is presented. Our approach considers wake dynamics including their influence on local wind conditions and allows to track a given power reference. In detail, a Gaussian wake…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-05-22 Arnold Sterle , Christian A. Hans , Jörg Raisch

Reducing energy consumption has become a pressing need for modern machine learning, which has achieved many of its most impressive results by scaling to larger and more energy-consumptive neural networks. Unfortunately, the main algorithm…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-10 Risi Jaiswal , Supriyo Datta , Joseph G. Makin

Energy harvesting from the surroundings is a promising solution to perpetually power-up wireless sensor communications. This paper presents a data-driven approach of finding optimal transmission policies for a solar-powered sensor node that…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2014-05-29 Meng-Lin Ku , Yan Chen , K. J. Ray Liu

The most common approaches for solving stochastic resource allocation problems in the research literature is to either use value functions ("dynamic programming") or scenario trees ("stochastic programming") to approximate the impact of a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-01-06 Saeed Ghadimi , Raymond T. Perkins , Warren B. Powell

Many applications -- including power systems, robotics, and economics -- involve a dynamical system interacting with a stochastic and hard-to-model environment. We adopt a reinforcement learning approach to control such systems.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-08-26 Abed AlRahman Al Makdah , Oliver Kosut , Lalitha Sankar , Shaofeng Zou

We study the joint scheduling of behind-the-meter distributed energy resources (DERs), including flexible loads, renewable generation, and battery energy storage systems, under net energy metering tariffs with demand charges. The problem is…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-01-07 Ruixiao Yang , Gulai Shen , Ahmed S. Alahmed , Chuchu Fan

A nonhomogeneous hidden semi-Markov model is proposed to segment toroidal time series according to a finite number of latent regimes and, simultaneously, estimate the influence of time-varying covariates on the process' survival under each…

Applications · Statistics 2023-12-25 Francesco Lagona , Marco Mingione

Microgrids are integrated systems that gather and operate energy production units to satisfy consumers demands. This paper details different mathematical methods to design the Energy Management System (EMS) of domestic microgrids. We…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-01-22 François Pacaud , Pierre Carpentier , Jean-Philippe Chancelier , Michel De Lara

Model predictive control (MPC) is pervasive in research and industry. However, designing the cost function and the constraints of the MPC to maximize closed-loop performance remains an open problem. To achieve optimal tuning, we propose a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-12-02 Riccardo Zuliani , Efe C. Balta , John Lygeros

Our study focuses on fractional order compartment models derived from underlying physical stochastic processes, providing a more physically grounded approach compared to models that use the dynamical system approach by simply replacing…

We address the problem of scheduling water resources in a power system via approximate dynamic programming.To this goal, we model a finite horizon economic dispatch problemwith convex stage cost and affine dynamics, and consider aquadratic…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-10-06 Agustin Castellano , Camila Martínez , Pablo Monzón , Juan Andrés Bazerque , Andrés Ferragut , Fernando Paganini
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