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Related papers: Day-Ahead Solar Forecasting Based on Multi-level S…

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Accurate forecasts of distributed solar generation are necessary to reduce negative impacts resulting from the increased uptake of distributed solar photovoltaic (PV) systems. However, the high variability of solar generation over short…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-19 Maneesha Perera , Julian De Hoog , Kasun Bandara , Saman Halgamuge

With the emergence of cost effective battery storage and the decline in the solar photovoltaic (PV) levelized cost of energy (LCOE), the number of behind-the-meter solar PV systems is expected to increase steadily. The ability to estimate…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-05-19 Xinlei Chen , Moosa Moghimi Haji , Omid Ardakanian

Solar forecasting from ground-based sky images has shown great promise in reducing the uncertainty in solar power generation. With more and more sky image datasets open sourced in recent years, the development of accurate and reliable deep…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-12-06 Yuhao Nie , Quentin Paletta , Andea Scott , Luis Martin Pomares , Guillaume Arbod , Sgouris Sgouridis , Joan Lasenby , Adam Brandt

Distributed photovoltaic (DPV) systems are essential for advancing renewable energy applications and achieving energy independence. Accurate DPV power forecasting can optimize power system planning and scheduling while significantly…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-11 Huapeng Lin , Miao Yu

The increasing penetration level of energy generation from renewable sources is demanding for more accurate and reliable forecasting tools to support classic power grid operations (e.g., unit commitment, electricity market clearing or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-17 Michela Moschella , Mauro Tucci , Emanuele Crisostomi , Alessandro Betti

As the use of solar power increases, having accurate and timely forecasts will be essential for smooth grid operators. There are many proposed methods for forecasting solar irradiance / solar power production. However, many of these methods…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-11 Timothy Cargan , Dario Landa-Silva , Isaac Triguero

Accurate day-ahead forecasts of solar irradiance are required for the large-scale integration of solar photovoltaic (PV) systems into the power grid. However, current forecasting solutions lack the temporal and spatial resolution required…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-07 Baptiste Schubnel , Jelena Simeunović , Corentin Tissier , Pierre-Jean Alet , Rafael E. Carrillo

With an ever-increasing share of intermittent renewable energy in the world's energy mix,there is an increasing need for advanced solar power forecasting models to optimize the operation and control of solar power plants. In order to…

The increasing global demand for clean and environmentally friendly energy resources has caused increased interest in harnessing solar power through photovoltaic (PV) systems for smart grids and homes. However, the inherent unpredictability…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-24 Saman Soleymani , Shima Mohammadzadeh

This project presents an extension to the GraphCast model, a state-of-the-art graph neural network (GNN) for global weather forecasting, by integrating solar energy production forecasting capabilities. The proposed approach leverages the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-21 Cale Colony , Razan Andigani

The uncertainty of the energy generated by photovoltaic systems incurs an additional cost for a guaranteed, reliable supply of energy (i.e., energy storage). This investigation aims to decrease the additional cost by introducing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-19 Guillermo Terrén-Serrano , Manel Martínez-Ramón

Ahead-of-time forecasting of incident solar-irradiance on a panel is indicative of expected energy yield and is essential for efficient grid distribution and planning. Traditionally, these forecasts are based on meteorological physics…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-01-16 Talha A. Siddiqui , Samarth Bharadwaj , Shivkumar Kalyanaraman

High variability of solar PV and sudden changes in load (e.g., electric vehicles and storage) can lead to large voltage fluctuations in the distribution system. In recent years, a number of controllers have been designed to optimize voltage…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-15 Wenqi Cui , Yiheng Xie , Steven Low , Adam Wierman , Baosen Zhang

Short-term forecasting of solar photovoltaic energy (PV) production is important for powerplant management. Ideally these forecasts are equipped with error bars, so that downstream decisions can account for uncertainty. To produce…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-31 Sean Nassimiha , Peter Dudfield , Jack Kelly , Marc Peter Deisenroth , So Takao

Accurate prediction of non-dispatchable renewable energy sources is essential for grid stability and price prediction. Regional power supply forecasts are usually indirect through a bottom-up approach of plant-level forecasts, incorporate…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-24 Eloi Lindas , Yannig Goude , Philippe Ciais

Solar based electricity generations have experienced strong and impactful growth in recent years. The regulation, scheduling, dispatching, and unit commitment of intermittent solar power is dependent on the accuracy of the forecasting…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-03-30 Shaktinarayana Mishra , Lokanath Tripathy , Prachitara Satapathy , P. K. Dash , Nitasha Sahani

Utilizing solar energy to meet space heating and domestic hot water demand is very efficient (in terms of environmental footprint as well as cost), but in order to ensure that user demand is entirely covered throughout the year needs to be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-17 Tatiana Boura , Natalia Koliou , George Meramveliotakis , Stasinos Konstantopoulos , George Kosmadakis

In this paper a model is developed to solve the on/off scheduling of (non-linear) dynamic electric loads based on predictions of the power delivery of a (standalone) solar power source. Knowledge of variations in the solar power output is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-03-29 Abdulelah H. Habib , Jan Kleissl , Raymond A. de Callafon

We describe a simple and succinct methodology to develop hourly auto-regressive moving average (ARMA) models to forecast power output from a photovoltaic solar generator. We illustrate how to build an ARMA model, to use statistical tests to…

Applications · Statistics 2018-09-12 Bismark Singh , David Pozo

This paper aims to introduce a new statistical learning technique based on sparsity promoting for data-driven modeling and control of solar photovoltaic (PV) systems. Compared with conventional sparse regression techniques that might…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-05-07 Zhongtian Zhang , Javad Khazaei , Rick S. Blum
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