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We study the problem of modeling univariate distributions via their quantile functions. We introduce a flexible family of distributions whose quantile function is a linear combination of basis quantiles. Because the model is linear in its…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-05 Cheng Peng , Yizhou Li , Stan Uryasev

The standard asymmetric Laplace framework for Bayesian quantile regression (BQR) suffers from a fundamental decision-theoretic misalignment, yielding biased finite-sample estimates, and precludes gradient-based computation due to…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-14 Bingqi Liu , Kangqiang Li , Tianxiao Pang

Maximum simulated likelihood estimation of mixed multinomial logit (MMNL) or probit models requires evaluation of a multidimensional integral. Quasi-Monte Carlo (QMC) methods such as shuffled and scrambled Halton sequences and modified…

Computation · Statistics 2020-11-13 Prateek Bansal , Vahid Keshavarzzadeh , Angelo Guevara , Ricardo A. Daziano , Shanjun Li

Censored quantile regression (CQR) has become a valuable tool to study the heterogeneous association between a possibly censored outcome and a set of covariates, yet computation and statistical inference for CQR have remained a challenge…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-10-25 Xuming He , Xiaoou Pan , Kean Ming Tan , Wen-Xin Zhou

We introduce a new methodology for analyzing serial data by quantile regression assuming that the underlying quantile function consists of constant segments. The procedure does not rely on any distributional assumption besides serial…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-09 Laura Jula Vanegas , Merle Behr , Axel Munk

This paper introduces a new framework for multivariate quantile regression based on the multivariate distribution function, termed multivariate quantile regression (MQR). In contrast to existing approaches--such as directional quantiles,…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-01 Antonio F. Galvao , Gabriel Montes-Rojas

We address the problem of how to achieve optimal inference in distributed quantile regression without stringent scaling conditions. This is challenging due to the non-smooth nature of the quantile regression (QR) loss function, which…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-24 Kean Ming Tan , Heather Battey , Wen-Xin Zhou

Memoryless scalar quantization (MSQ) is a common technique to quantize frame coefficients of signals (which are used as a model for generalized linear samples), making them compatible with our digital technology. The process of quantization…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2020-09-15 Kateryna Melnykova , Ozgur Yilmaz

We propose a novel, succinct, and effective approach for distribution prediction to quantify uncertainty in machine learning. It incorporates adaptively flexible distribution prediction of $\mathbb{P}(\mathbf{y}|\mathbf{X}=x)$ in regression…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-21 Xing Yan , Yonghua Su , Wenxuan Ma

Statistical query (SQ) algorithms are algorithms that have access to an {\em SQ oracle} for the input distribution $D$ instead of i.i.d.~ samples from $D$. Given a query function $\phi:X \rightarrow [-1,1]$, the oracle returns an estimate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-04-18 Vitaly Feldman

We study the large sample properties of sparse M-estimators in the presence of pseudo-observations. Our framework covers a broad class of semi-parametric copula models, for which the marginal distributions are unknown and replaced by their…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-06-01 Jean-David Fermanian , Benjamin Poignard

The marginal structure quantile model (MSQM) provides a unique lens to understand the causal effect of a time-varying treatment on the full distribution of potential outcomes. Under the semiparametric framework, we derive the efficiency…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-13 Chao Cheng , Liangyuan Hu , Fan Li

Extreme environmental events frequently exhibit spatial and temporal dependence. These data are often modeled using max stable processes (MSPs). MSPs are computationally prohibitive to fit for as few as a dozen observations, with supposed…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-02 Emily C. Hector , Brian J. Reich

Constructing valid prediction intervals rather than point estimates is a well-established approach for uncertainty quantification in the regression setting. Models equipped with this capacity output an interval of values in which the ground…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-07 Thomas Pouplin , Alan Jeffares , Nabeel Seedat , Mihaela van der Schaar

Semiparametric models are often considered for analyzing longitudinal data for a good balance between flexibility and parsimony. In this paper, we study a class of marginal partially linear quantile models with possibly varying…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-11-19 Huixia Judy Wang , Zhongyi Zhu , Jianhui Zhou

Quantile regression is an effective technique to quantify uncertainty, fit challenging underlying distributions, and often provide full probabilistic predictions through joint learnings over multiple quantile levels. A common drawback of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-24 Youngsuk Park , Danielle Maddix , François-Xavier Aubet , Kelvin Kan , Jan Gasthaus , Yuyang Wang

A novel estimation approach for a general class of semi-parametric multivariate time series models is introduced where the conditional mean is modeled through parametric functions. The focus of the estimation is the conditional mean…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-21 Mirko Armillotta

Constrained stochastic nonlinear optimization problems have attracted significant attention for their ability to model complex real-world scenarios in physics, economics, and biology. As datasets continue to grow, online inference methods…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-27 Xinchen Du , Wanrong Zhu , Wei Biao Wu , Sen Na

This paper develops and analyzes three families of estimators that continuously interpolate between classical quantiles and the sample mean. The construction begins with a smoothed version of the $L_{1}$ loss, indexed by a location…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-23 Saïd Maanan , Azzouz Dermoune , Ahmed El Ghini

A new semi-parametric Expected Shortfall (ES) estimation and forecasting framework is proposed. The proposed approach is based on a two-step estimation procedure. The first step involves the estimation of Value-at-Risk (VaR) at different…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-16 Giuseppe Storti , Chao Wang
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