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This paper proposes novel noise-free Bayesian optimization strategies that rely on a random exploration step to enhance the accuracy of Gaussian process surrogate models. The new algorithms retain the ease of implementation of the classical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-18 Hwanwoo Kim , Daniel Sanz-Alonso

Gaussian process (GP) surrogate modeling for large computer experiments is limited by cubic runtimes, especially with data from stochastic simulations with input-dependent noise. A popular workaround to reduce computational complexity…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-01 D Austin Cole , Robert B Gramacy , Mike Ludkovski

Engineers widely use Gaussian process regression framework to construct surrogate models aimed to replace computationally expensive physical models while exploring design space. Thanks to Gaussian process properties we can use both samples…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-07-14 Evgeny Burnaev , Alexey Zaytsev

In modern science, computer models are often used to understand complex phenomena, and a thriving statistical community has grown around analyzing them. This review aims to bring a spotlight to the growing prevalence of stochastic computer…

Computer experiments have become ubiquitous in science and engineering. Commonly, runs of these simulations demand considerable time and computing, making experimental design extremely important in gaining high quality information with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-05-15 Benjamin Haaland , Wenjia Wang , Vaibhav Maheshwari

Computer simulations that demonstrate the valueof novel approaches are crucial to developing more flexibleand robust power systems operations with high penetrations ofrenewable energy at multiple geographic and temporal scales.However,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-09-01 Jose Daniel Lara , Jonathan T. Lee , Duncan Callaway , Bri-Mathias Hodge

Investigating uncertainties in computer simulations can be prohibitive in terms of computational costs, since the simulator needs to be run over a large number of input values. Building an emulator, i.e. a statistical surrogate model of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-18 Ayao Ehara , Serge Guillas

Learning for control in repeated tasks allows for well-designed experiments to gather the most useful data. We consider the setting in which we use a data-driven controller that does not have access to the true system dynamics. Rather, the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-02-21 Sean Anderson , Katie Byl , João P. Hespanha

Optimization of expensive computer models with the help of Gaussian process emulators in now commonplace. However, when several (competing) objectives are considered, choosing an appropriate sampling strategy remains an open question. We…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-10-03 Victor Picheny

Ensuring safety in industrial control systems usually involves imposing constraints at the design stage of the control algorithm. Enforcing constraints is challenging if the underlying functional form is unknown. The challenge can be…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-06-09 Marta Zagorowska , Efe C. Balta , Varsha Behrunani , Alisa Rupenyan , John Lygeros

The process of calibrating computer models of natural phenomena is essential for applications in the physical sciences, where plenty of domain knowledge can be embedded into simulations and then calibrated against real observations. Current…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-20 Rafael Oliveira , Dino Sejdinovic , David Howard , Edwin V. Bonilla

Stochastic simulators are ubiquitous in many fields of applied sciences and engineering. In the context of uncertainty quantification and optimization, a large number of simulations is usually necessary, which becomes intractable for…

Computation · Statistics 2022-02-09 X. Zhu , B. Sudret

The optimal selection of experimental conditions is essential to maximizing the value of data for inference and prediction, particularly in situations where experiments are time-consuming and expensive to conduct. We propose a general…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-12-04 Xun Huan , Youssef M. Marzouk

Continuous-time stochastic processes pervade everyday experience, and the simulation of models of these processes is of great utility. Classical models of systems operating in continuous-time must typically track an unbounded amount of…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2018-03-05 Thomas J. Elliott , Mile Gu

An important task of uncertainty quantification is to identify {the probability of} undesired events, in particular, system failures, caused by various sources of uncertainties. In this work we consider the construction of Gaussian…

Computation · Statistics 2016-04-20 Hongqiao Wang , Guang Lin , Jinglai Li

Space-filling designs are crucial for efficient computer experiments, enabling accurate surrogate modeling and uncertainty quantification in many scientific and engineering applications, such as digital twin systems and cyber-physical…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-06 Xinwei Deng , Lulu Kang , C. Devon Lin

Computer experiments have become an indispensable alternative to complex physical and engineering experiments. The Kriging model is the most widely used surrogate model, with the core goal of minimizing the discrepancy between the surrogate…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-26 Ruonan Zheng , Min-Qian Liu , Yongdao Zhou , Xuan Chen

The recent accelerated growth in the computing power has generated popularization of experimentation with dynamic computer models in various physical and engineering applications. Despite the extensive statistical research in computer…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-18 Ru Zhang , Chunfang Devon Lin , Pritam Ranjan

Sequential design is a highly active field of research in active learning which provides a general framework for designing computer experiments with limited computational budgets. It aims to create efficient surrogate models to replace…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-03 Paul Lartaud , Philippe Humbert , Josselin Garnier

Computer simulators can be computationally intensive to run over a large number of input values, as required for optimization and various uncertainty quantification tasks. The standard paradigm for the design and analysis of computer…

Computation · Statistics 2015-09-11 Joakim Beck , Serge Guillas