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We introduce Markov Random Geometric Graphs (MRGGs), a growth model for temporal dynamic networks. It is based on a Markovian latent space dynamic: consecutive latent points are sampled on the Euclidean Sphere using an unknown Markov…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-10 Quentin Duchemin , Yohann de Castro

Gibbsian structure in random point fields has been a classical tool for studying their spatial properties. However, exact Gibbs property is available only in a relatively limited class of models, and it does not adequately address many…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-05-26 Ujan Gangopadhyay , Subhro Ghosh , Kin Aun Tan

We introduce CUTS-GPR, a new method for performing numerically exact Gaussian process regression (GPR) in high-dimensional settings. The key component of CUTS-GPR is an extremely fast kernel matrix-vector product, which exhibits near-linear…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-11 Mads Greisen Højlund , August Smart Lykke-Møller , Henry Moss , Ove Christiansen

The L1-regularized Gaussian maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) has been shown to have strong statistical guarantees in recovering a sparse inverse covariance matrix, or alternatively the underlying graph structure of a Gaussian Markov…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-06-14 Cho-Jui Hsieh , Matyas A. Sustik , Inderjit S. Dhillon , Pradeep Ravikumar

P-splines provide a flexible setting for modeling nonlinear model components based on a discretized penalty structure with a relatively simple computational backbone. Under a Bayesian inferential framework based on Markov chain Monte Carlo,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-03 Oswaldo Gressani , Paul H. C. Eilers

This paper presents a new variable selection approach integrated with Gaussian process (GP) regression. We consider a sparse projection of input variables and a general stationary covariance model that depends on the Euclidean distance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-26 Chiwoo Park , David J. Borth , Nicholas S. Wilson , Chad N. Hunter

Maneuvering target tracking is a challenging problem for sensor systems because of the unpredictability of the targets' motions. This paper proposes a novel data-driven method for learning the dynamical motion model of a target.…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-11-28 Mengwei Sun , Mike E. Davies , Ian K. Proudler , James R. Hopgood

Quantifying the impacts of anthropogenic global warming requires accurate Earth system model (ESM) simulations. Statistical bias correction and downscaling can be applied to reduce errors and increase the resolution of ESMs. However,…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-06-24 Philipp Hess , Niklas Boers

A new model independent method is presented for the analysis of pulsar timing data and the estimation of the spectral properties of an isotropic gravitational wave background (GWB). We show that by rephrasing the likelihood we are able to…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2013-06-26 Lindley Lentati , Paul Alexander , Michael P. Hobson , Stephen Taylor , Jonathon Gair , Sreekumar T. Balan , Rutger van Haasteren

Modeling spatial processes that exhibit both smooth and rough features poses a significant challenge. This is especially true in fields where complex physical variables are observed across spatial domains. Traditional spatial techniques,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-30 Matthew Hofkes , Douglas Nychka

Graphical Transformation Models (GTMs) are introduced as a novel approach to effectively model multivariate data with intricate marginals and complex dependency structures semiparametrically, while maintaining interpretability through the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-28 Matthias Herp , Johannes Brachem , Michael Altenbuchinger , Thomas Kneib

Fine particulate matter and aerosol optical thickness are of interest to atmospheric scientists for understanding air quality and its various health/environmental impacts. The available data are extremely large, making uncertainty…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-05 Madelyn Clinch , Jonathan R. Bradley

Maximum likelihood estimation is an important statistical technique for estimating missing data, for example in climate and environmental applications, which are usually large and feature data points that are irregularly spaced. In…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2019-07-25 Sameh Abdulah , Hatem Ltaief , Ying Sun , Marc G. Genton , David E. Keyes

Spatiotemporal forecasting is critical in applications such as traffic prediction, climate modeling, and environmental monitoring. However, the prevalence of missing data in real-world sensor networks significantly complicates this task. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-20 Muhammad Bilal , Luis Carretero Lopez

We begin with isotropic Gaussian random fields, and show how the Bochner-Godement theorem gives a natural way to describe their covariance structure. We continue with a study of Mat\'ern processes on Euclidean space, spheres, manifolds and…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-11-24 N. H. Bingham , Tasmin L. Symons

We propose an efficient Markov Chain Monte Carlo method for sampling equilibrium distributions for stochastic lattice models, capable of handling correctly long and short-range particle interactions. The proposed method is a Metropolis-type…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2010-06-21 Evangelia Kalligiannaki , Markos A. Katsoulakis , Petr Plechac

In this article, we evaluate the performance of a data-driven background estimate method based on Gaussian Process Regression (GPR). A realistic background spectrum from a search conducted by CMS is considered, where a large sub-region…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2025-08-20 Jackson Barr , Bingxuan Liu

We study the nonparametric covariance estimation of a stationary Gaussian field X observed on a lattice. To tackle this issue, a neighborhood selection procedure has been recently introduced. This procedure amounts to selecting a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-02 Nicolas Verzelen

Improving the predictive accuracy of a dynamics model is crucial to obtaining good control performance and safety from Model Predictive Controllers (MPC). One approach involves learning unmodelled (residual) dynamics, in addition to nominal…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-11-19 Leroy D'Souza , Yash Vardhan Pant , Sebastian Fischmeister

In this paper we present a novel slanted-plane MRF model which reasons jointly about occlusion boundaries as well as depth. We formulate the problem as the one of inference in a hybrid MRF composed of both continuous (i.e., slanted 3D…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2012-04-09 Koichiro Yamaguchi , Tamir Hazan , David McAllester , Raquel Urtasun