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Related papers: Random Walk Null Models for Time Series Data

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Let $\mathcal{T}$ be a supercritical Galton-Watson tree with a bounded offspring distribution that has mean $\mu >1$, conditioned to survive. Let $\varphi_{\mathcal{T}}$ be a random embedding of $\mathcal{T}$ into $\mathbb{Z}^d$ according…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-14 Remco van der Hofstad , Tim Hulshof , Jan Nagel

In this paper, we developed a novel method of nonparametric relative entropy (RlEn) for modelling loss of complexity in intermittent time series. The method consists of two steps. We first fit a nonlinear autoregressive model to each…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-08 Jie Li , Jian Zhang , Samantha L. Winter , Mark Burnley

Permutation entropy and its associated frameworks are remarkable examples of physics-inspired techniques adept at processing complex and extensive datasets. Despite substantial progress in developing and applying these tools, their use has…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-08-14 Leonardo G. J. M. Voltarelli , Arthur A. B. Pessa , Luciano Zunino , Rafael S. Zola , Ervin K. Lenzi , Matjaz Perc , Haroldo V. Ribeiro

The scan statistic is by far the most popular method for anomaly detection, being popular in syndromic surveillance, signal and image processing, and target detection based on sensor networks, among other applications. The use of the scan…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-28 Ery Arias-Castro , Rui M. Castro , Ervin Tánczos , Meng Wang

We investigate model assessment and selection in a changing environment, by synthesizing datasets from both the current time period and historical epochs. To tackle unknown and potentially arbitrary temporal distribution shift, we develop…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-05 Elise Han , Chengpiao Huang , Kaizheng Wang

We consider general transformations of random walks on groups determined by Markov stopping times and prove that the asymptotic entropy (resp., rate of escape) of the transformed random walks is equal to the asymptotic entropy (resp., rate…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-08-12 Behrang Forghani

The cover-time problem, i.e., time to visit every site in a system, is one of the key issues of random walks with wide applications in natural, social, and engineered systems. Addressing the full distribution of cover times for random walk…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-03-01 Jia-Qi Dong , Wen-Hui Han , Yisen Wang , Xiao-Song Chen , Liang Huang

We derive diffusion constants and martingales for senile random walks with the help of a time-change. We provide direct computations of the diffusion constants for the time-changed walks. Alternatively, the values of these constants can be…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-11-19 Wouter Kager

Random variables in metric spaces indexed by time and observed at equally spaced time points are receiving increased attention due to their broad applicability. The absence of inherent structure in metric spaces has resulted in a literature…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-24 Matthieu Bulté , Helle Sørensen

Random walks have been proposed as a simple method of efficiently searching, or disseminating information throughout, communication and sensor networks. In nature, animals (such as ants) tend to follow correlated random walks, i.e., random…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2015-02-03 Graeme Smith , J. W. Sanders , Qin Li

In this work, Transition Probability Matrix (TPM) is proposed as a new method for extracting the features of nodes in the graph. The proposed method uses random walks to capture the connectivity structure of a node's close neighborhood. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-07 Sarmad N. Mohammed , Semra Gündüç

A heterogeneous continuous time random walk is an analytical formalism for studying and modeling diffusion processes in heterogeneous structures on microscopic and macroscopic scales. In this paper we study both analytically and numerically…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-11-05 Liubov Tupikina , Denis S. Grebenkov

Dynamic systems characterized by diversified evolutions are not only more flexible, but also more resilient to attacks, failures and changing conditions. This article addresses the quantification of the diversity of non-linear transient…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-01-07 Luciano da Fontoura Costa

We analyse the mixing profile of a random walk on a dynamic random permutation, focusing on the regime where the walk evolves much faster than the permutation. Two types of dynamics generated by random transpositions are considered: one…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-28 Luca Avena , Remco van der Hofstad , Frank den Hollander , Oliver Nagy

We propose a variety of models of random walk, discrete in space and time, suitable for simulating stable random variables of arbitrary index $\alpha$ ($0< \alpha \le 2$), in the symmetric case. We show that by properly scaled transition to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Rudolf Gorenflo , Gianni De Fabritiis , Francesco Mainardi

This paper studies theory and inference related to a class of time series models that incorporates nonlinear dynamics. It is assumed that the observations follow a one-parameter exponential family of distributions given an accompanying…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-04-19 Richard A. Davis , Heng Liu

In this work we introduce a method for estimating entropy rate and entropy production rate from finite symbolic time series. From the point of view of statistics, estimating entropy from a finite series can be interpreted as a problem of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-02-24 Raul Salgado-Garcia , Cesar Maldonado

We investigate unimodular random networks. Our motivations include their characterization via reversibility of an associated random walk and their similarities to unimodular quasi-transitive graphs. We extend various theorems concerning…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-20 David Aldous , Russell Lyons

We introduce a new class of latent process models for dynamic relational network data with the goal of detecting time-dependent structure. Network data are often observed over time, and static network models for such data may fail to…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-11-15 Lucy F. Robinson , Carey E. Priebe

Interactive programming environments are powerful tools for promoting innovative network thinking, teaching science of complexity, and exploring emergent phenomena. This paper reports on our recent development of the deterministic random…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2023-07-18 Ayan Chatterjee , Qingtao Cao , Amirhossein Sajadi , Babak Ravandi